:-)
There are two people I won’t vote for, Romney is one of them.
Why is this being presented as news “now”? Romney has been ahead in South Carolina since sometime in September. He’s still way behind Guiliani, Thompson, and McCain in national polls, although he looks somewhat like a challenger for third place against McCain.
And since Romney’s popularity was fueled by misled social conservatives, losing Pat Robertson’s endorsement to Guiliani could hurt him.
Wow! Even after all the money Romney has spent in SC, Fred is within one percentage point.
Go Fred...
How does SC apportion delegates? Winner-take-all, or some sort of formula?
Poll Date Sample Romney Giuliani Thompson McCain Huckabee Spread:
RCP Average 09/26 - 10/29 Romney +0.3
ARG 10/26 - 10/29 Romney +6.0
Winthrop Univ. 10/07 - 10/28 Thompson +1.0
Insider Advantage 10/02 - 10/02 1281 Thompson +5.0
Rasmussen 09/26 - 09/27 Thompson +4.0
This does seem a bit skewed by the fact the ARG poll is so dramatically different from the rest of the polls. 7 points different then Winthrop, 11 points different from Insider, 10 points different from Rasmussen.
Specifically Romney/Thompson:
RCP Average: 19.3/18.3 - Romney +1
ARG: 29/10 - Romney +19
Winthrop: 17/18 - Thompson +1
Insider: 16/21 - Thompson +5
Rasmussen: 15/24 - Thompson +9
Here, ARG seems really different. 18 point difference from RCP average. 20 point difference from Winthrop. 24 point difference from Insider. 28 point difference from Rasmussen.
Only because the powers that be want him to.
Romney’s not my first choice, but anytime Giuliani is going down, that’s good news in my book.
Mitt Romney must be writing a book:
“How to Buy the Presidency: A Guide on Fooling the Masses with Mass Amounts of Money”
No other polling firm has ever had Romney leading in South Carolina. Every other polling firm since August has had Fred Thompson leading in South Carolina.
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Three guys, one percentage point.
Mitt's working hard, and he's working smart. He's spending money too, of course. But it's honest money and it's honest effort. He isn't doing anything that Fred and Rudy couldn't do if they had the mind or ability to.
I haven't read the other posts here but I suspect there's at least a dozen of them from Fred supporters whining that the poll is "meaningless" or that Mitt "bought" the results or that Fred is just starting his engine.
Maybe he is, maybe he is. Fred hasn't shown half the effort, organization, or drive that Mitt has to this point, however. With his name recognition and confortable southern drawl, he ought to be annihilating Mitt in South Carolina.
Maybe as South Carolinans get to know Mitt better, they start to like him better.
It’s a statstical dead heat. This should get interesting.
It looks to me like Fred is trying to lose. Not that I'm upset about it since he is not my guy. But his campaign is a case study of how *NOT* to run a campaign.
South Carolina (like Texas) may be Republican but they both have more than their fair share of Rino’s.
