Florida, a vital early state like SC, is also starting to trend poorly for Fred. Interestingly, Huckabee's rise coincides with Fred's decline.
Mitt? He's still riding the escalator up.
Posted on 11/11/2007 1:30:47 PM PST by Plutarch
I don’t know where McCain support comes from. Still, if he’s our man, I will walk over glass to pull the lever.
I like Romney but I didn’t like his response when Rush was being attacked for the “phoney soldiers” comment.
I’m not blaming anybody .. I’m just saying AGAIN - I’m not buying it. I don’t give a rip if you are!!
Good news. McCain back in the lead. Romney moving up.
The weekends polls for Fred are not good.
For the first time in forever, he was at one point (statistical noise only, but still there) behind both McCain and Romney.
Mitt Romney: Prettiest man ever to run for the White House!
-—”Fred Thompson’s support, on the other hand peaked early and is dropping off.”-—
It’s a little misleading though. Nobody has really felt the Romney boom yet for the simple reason that he has to wait unitl he wins those early primaries to actually have the “momentum” for all to see. It’s not that it isn’t there yet - it’s that conditions make it under-the-radar, so to speak.
The same is true with Fred. We’re not seeing a lot of polls in the South yet, where a large chunk of the delegates will be earned. The few we have seen (SC excepted) show rather asounding leads for FDT.
So while the national trend shows Fred with a slight tailing and Mitt as stagnant and maybe maxed-out, neither one is based on total information - just on a current snapshot of “likely voters” taken over many states, with slightly more polling done in larger states because of population.
I happen to think that both Mitt’s and Fred’s support, espcially what their support will ultimately be when people vote, is higher than current polls advertise.
In short, irrespective of his actual policy statements he is showing that he has the talent and energy to be an extraordinarily effective executive. This is the all-important subtext that can make a profound persuasive difference in influencing voters.
I even sense that he has very coolly calculated not to peak too early. He may well be holding stuff (money, exceptionally effective ads) in reserve so that he charges and rides the classic hockey stick exponential surge in support at exactly the right moment.
In decades to come Mitt's campaign may well be studied and dissected by political mavens as THE model campaign of its kind in American history.
I'm not saying yet that Mitt WILL win, but that he has shown genius in clearing and pursuing a path that gives him the best possible chance to win in light of his vulnerabilities.
I cannot say the same for Fred. Fred relies far too much on luck, good timing, and raw amiability in my opinion.
Florida, a vital early state like SC, is also starting to trend poorly for Fred. Interestingly, Huckabee's rise coincides with Fred's decline.
Mitt? He's still riding the escalator up.
Florida, a vital early state like SC, is also starting to trend poorly for Fred. Interestingly, Huckabee's rise coincides with Fred's decline.
Mitt? He's still riding the escalator up.
Florida is not the “South” per se. Not really.
But it’s good to see Mitt making some headway there. I have a hard time seeing anyone win FL but Rud911 - though I can hope.
There’s about 2,000,000 ex-New Yorkers in FL.
BTW - Bush 41 once ridiculed Reagan’s Primary campaign as “splintered, disorganized, and starved.” Amiability can go a long way....
All I’m saying is, especially with the South under-polled, don’t start digging Fred Thompson’s grave just yet.
FWIW - I have seen Romney’s organization first-hand; it is HUGE and MOTIVATED. If organization can win this thing, it won’t even be CLOSE.
Don't underestimate the power of one's appearance. You won't believe how many people make their voting decision based upon how good someone looks. And you know how first impressions are. The first time many people see Romney on TV they are impressed that he just plain looks like presidential and that's all some voters ever pay attention to.
Mitt tops Fred
The Washington Times
Stephan Dinan
12 November 2007A new Rasmussen poll finds that voters see Mitt Romney as a conservative candidate more than Fred Thompson — the first time Thompson has not led on that measure.
In the last month the number of Republicans viewing Romney as conservative has jumped 10 points, to 46 percent, while Thompson has fallen 11 points, to 40 percent.
[SNIP]
Here's the conservative rating for the top six Republican candidates:
Romney 46 percent
Thompson 40 percent
Huckabee 38 percent
McCain 28 percent
Giuliani 21 percent
Paul 16 percent
— Stephen Dinan, national political reporter, The Washington Times
Romney passes Thompson by a point over the weekend (for the first time) ending up tied with him today. Thompson sees his lowest point since Rasmussen started tracking him in their daily polls. Thompson's support has slipped 40% since his announcement in September. McCain's numbers are slightly down and Huckabee pays a brief and soon to be repeated visit back down into the single digits. The real concern is that Giuliani has recovered some of his support, achieving a level he's not Giuliani's closest business associate/partner and former chief of police, Bernard Kerik, was indicted for corruption on Friday.
My thoughts exactly. WHeres Rudy, (sorry Rudy haters for bringing him up) where's Fred, wheres ANYONE! THis is weird, like it was written before the primaries started when McCain was the Polling favorite at the time.
Romney is finally starting get traction in the national name recognition poll? Amazing. I didn’t expect that until after Iowa. Something is happening here. The ground is starting to rumble and roll.
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