From your current analysis, how many additional points would you expect Sen. Thompson to add do to his endorsement of NRLC?
Paul has already said he wouldn’t run third party, as I remember.
From my numbers (I have been tracking the estimated daily numbers on a spreadsheet,) he would have had to get at least a 17 today to bring the average up a point. A low number should fall off tomorrow and then on Saturday. It will be interesting to watch.
Romney gains another point and stays in 2nd place for the 4th day in a row. Giulinai drops one, Thompson gains one, but remains in 4th place, 1 point above Huckabee. McCain hold steady in 3rd place.
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This is the first time that I've heard that Rasmussen uses a four-day average. I've looked at the information on their site and it doesn't say this anywhere that I've seen. Can you provide a source for this information?
I think we should eliminate elections as they are costly and time-consuming. Why bother with silly elections when we can let the Rasmussen Poll decide who our president is for us?
Every thread touting a poll receives this comment.
Thompson never should have entered the race. He would have a better chance of winning by staying out of it! ;)
The poll results from 5 February 08 are all that matter, at this point. (Two days after my double nickel day!)
“Because the Rasmussen Daily Tracking Poll is really a four-day average, the effect of NRLC’s endorsement of Fred is minimal in today’s daily results.”
Before I write, let state clearly that I’m in the undecided category and currently don’t have a candidate in mind. I’m not taking sides here. I will state that I am against Guiliani.
What you wrote is exactly correct. We won’t see what effect the NRLC’s endorsement will have for several days. Notice, that Thompson is already up against Huckabee.
The only significant thing I think one can draw from these numbers is that the group supporting Guiliani is pretty consistent. While others pop up and down. In fact he seems to be getting a very stable support from whomever is supporting him. I was shocked when Robertson endorsed Guiliani and thought it would be meaningless, but I think I was wrong about that. It looks like Robertson’s endorsement has helped Guiliani - at least it help solidify his lead.
As things stand now - and this is just a moment in time - it appears that it will take one or more of the minority candidates to drop out of the race (like Brownback did) and throw their support to someone more likely to beat Guiliani and best represent the GOP in the general election. I think Brownback’s endorsement of McCain has definitely help McCain’s numbers. If Hunter and Tancredo were to bow out and throw their support to another it might make a great deal of difference.
I know many here are strong Hunter supporters, with very good reason. He could have his greatest impact on the election by leaving and endorsing another. Also, picking him as a VP would be a wise move.
If the field were to be narrowed to just Guiliani, Thompson, Romney, McCain, and Huckabee the debates could be more focused and voters could probably see the differences between these men. Right now their are too many voices screaming to be heard. Of course a further culling would be desireable also and make the process even better.
Guiliani is benefiting from the fact that he has about 25% of the GOP vote solidy on his side nationwide. And that the rest of the vote is split between the other candidates.
Until several (and it is not my place to say whom) candidates to the right of Guiliani bow out and throw their support to whom they feel will best represent the GOP (that is their call also), then the party is really in danger of having a Noreastern Liberal represent it. Guiliani’s only positives are his (I hate to admit it) charisma, and his reputation (real or perceived - I don’t know) as a leader in NYC after 9-11. He is also strong on national defense.
On just about every other issue he is to the left of center - sometimes far left.
Whatever, until there is a culling Guiliani will continue to hold sway.
Mitt is trending up! WooHoo!