Well, we un-informed folks who see it as a gain of 15% (13% to 15% is a 15.4% increase, for me by taking off both shoes and using all my fingers, too) from previous levels in the poll (simple math, I reckon) as pretty much a surge, but then, we're not as astute as others who are wayyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy more knowledgable than us.
If your "candidate" had a 15% increase in his poll numbers, would you consider that significant?
So, if Hunter goes from 1% to 2% we can call it a “100% surge”?
I dunno. Is that 2% increase in total support within the 5% stated margin of error for the poll?
Pretty sure it is.
Well....my candidate (Paul) had a 300 percent increase.....so I guess I can be charitable and concede that the 15 percent increase in the support of your candidate is a “surge.”