Live Thread: Australian Federal Election Count

24th November 2007

[naturalman1975]

The Prime Minister is in serious trouble in his own seat of Bennelong.

[Heatseeker]

Wentworth looks to be a hold - thank you Sweet Caroline. ;)

[Dundee]

At 7:30:10 PM

Coalition 26.
Labor 39.
Independent 1.
Unknown. 84.

[naturalman1975]

ABC is stating Labor has a ten seat gain at this point - including the PMs seat of Bennelong.

[Tex_GOP_Cruz]

The Prime Minister is in serious trouble in his own seat of Bennelong.

Yes, unfortunately that looks to be true:

Projected Two Candidate Preferred
Polling Places Returned: 8 of 47 Votes Counted: 4.57%
Candidate Party Votes This Election (%) Last Election (%) Swing (%)
HOWARD, John Winston Liberal - 47.39 54.13 -6.74
McKEW, Maxine Labor - 52.61 45.87 +6.74

http://vtr.aec.gov.au/HouseDivisionFirstPrefs-13745-105.htm

[naturalman1975]

ABC Scoreboard
Coalition 56
Labor 56
Others 1

[naturalman1975]

ABC on Bennelong - ALP gain at this point.

[Dundee]

This does not look good. God help us because we sure aren’t helping ourselves.

[Dundee]

At 7:39:39 PM

Coalition 30.
Labor 46.
Independent 1.
Unknown. 73.

[Grimmy]

swing is showing at +5 labor atm.

[Dundee]

As at 7:46:00 PM

Liberal/National Coalition
Votes: 931,857
Percent: 47.48%
Swing: -5.04%

Australian Labor Party
Votes: 1,030,874
Percent: 52.52%
Swing: +5.04%

[Dundee]

At 7:49:09 PM

Coalition 31.
Labor 51.
Independent 1.
Unknown. 67.

[naturalman1975]

ABC - ‘cautious’ prediction of 78 seats to Labor - a majority and government.

[Grimmy]

How politically moderate is the ABC? The general impression given from reading around on Oz blogs is that it’s a bit like what would be expected if the PBS and CBC merged but with less desire to try for any real integrity.

[naturalman1975]

The ABC is generally biased to the left. But their election coverage is generally accurate.

[Grimmy]

Good to know. Thanks.

[Dundee]

It’s just to the left of the BBC.

[naturalman1975]

ABC Computer Prediction

Coalition 45
Labor 63
Other 2

[naturalman1975]

ABC has shifted Bennelong back into the In Doubt column - no longer giving it to Labor.

[BlackVeil]

Thanks for much for these updates. I would add that because of the time zones, the results from Western Aust do not come in yet, and they are likely to be significant.