Skip to comments.Misreading the Iran Report: Why Spying and Policymaking Don't Mix (Kissinger)
Posted on 12/13/2007 7:23:34 AM PST by shrinkermd
Some brief exerpts:
(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonpost.com ...
More and more, I see important articles like this one posted on FR with no or minimal comments. Disheartening, to say the least.
Kissenger does not buy the NIE either.
Perceptive and cogent - and probably influential - summary by someone who has gravitas if anyone has gravitas. Thanks for the post.
Some Freepers just hate Kissinger. It may be that he has some moral shortcomings but he has a political mind like the western world has rarely seen. When he analyzes a point, he takes you through a logical process that runs through the contigencies of each possibility. He then adds his own vast experience to the analysis.
HEnry might be old and crusty, but he’s still sharp as a needle and still get’s it.
Kissinger's thoughts certainly speak for themselves. Why do you think comments are necessary?
Are you looking for a "Bush's Fault" type comment? Perhaps the online community is just taking in this info preparatory to making a more informed "comment" on it later.
The poster has done us all a service by calling Kissinger's thoughts to our attention. Good post.
” In short, if my analysis is correct, we could be witnessing not a halt of the Iranian weapons program — as the NIE asserts — but a subtle, ultimately more dangerous, version of it that will phase in the warhead when fissile material production has matured.”
What Kissinger’s article concludes is that an unelected and irresponsible bureaucracy now determines the course of US foreign policy on the most vital issues, according to its own whims and dictates, the elected leadership of the country be damned. If that’s not worthy of comment, I don’t know what is.
Be realistic, Mojo! Of course, the sad demise on a foreign island of a great big beautiful blonde with 45" of silicone enhanced mammary tissue is worth 11,000 X 4 of FREEP posts!
At the same time, the World-Wide War against Islamic Fascist Terror, sworn to the destruction of our republic and the conversion or death of all infidels, rates 10 or 12 learned comments.
The uneniable fact that you noticed this phenomenon escaped my notice. As you say "What Kissingers article concludes is that an unelected and irresponsible bureaucracy now determines the course of US foreign policy on the most vital issues, according to its own whims and dictates, the elected leadership of the country be damned. If thats not worthy of comment, I dont know what is." I do sincerely apologize ... and actually agree. Not only is it worthy of comment, but your comment is quite worthy, IMO.
OTOH,Mr. Kissinger gave us what is in essence a blinding glimpse of the obvious, while you totally ignore world-shaking (or something shaking) events back on that silicone-enhanced tropical isle......
It garnered six comments.
The NIE does not so much reject this theory; it does not even examine it. It concludes that "Tehran's decisions are guided by a cost-benefit approach rather than a rush to a weapon." But a cost-benefit analysis does not exclude a rush to weapons on a systematic basis. It depends on the criteria by which costs and benefits are determined. Similarly, in pursuing the cost-benefit rationale, the estimate concludes that a combination of international scrutiny along with security guarantees might "prompt Tehran to extend the current halt to its nuclear weapons program." That is a policy, not an intelligence, judgment.
Kissenger is a master of duplicitous diplomacy, but his thoughts on this NIE are sharp. I wonder if he would have crafted it any differently...