Pat has it nailed down pretty firmly here. The only point I would quibble with is that I don’t think Thompson would drop out and throw his weight behind McCain in New Hampshire, as he would wait to see what would happen in South Carolina, where Thompson still has a chance. If he could pull out a win in South Carolina, then he might be able to capitalize on that in the Feb. 5th primaries. Otherwise I agree with most of what Pat says.
Barring a miracle surge by Thompson, Pat has this one pretty much figured right.
Pat leaves out the possibility of a Huck win in Iowa, a Romney win in New Hampshire, a Thompson win in S. Carolina and a Guilianni win in Florida. Heading us towards a decision at the convention . . .