Good point. On the RAT side, I think independents will break more for Obama than Edwards or Clinton. On the GOP side, independents will break for McCain but I don’t think McCain has a chance, even if he does win NH.
I agree with you. Lieberman’s endorsement probably tilted the independents to McCain.
The Republicans in order of hardest to defeat would be, imho:
A Cheney
B- Thompson
B- Romney
C+ Hunter
C McCain
C Huckabee
F Giuliani
F Keyes