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To: John Valentine
Polls are all over the place and especially a poll like Rusmussen that is taken daily. Here are the last 3 days numbers and you can see how they bounce around. National tracking polls aren't necessary indicative of the state by state polls and don't reflect the outcome should one of the candidates get back to back early wins.
               12/27    12/28    12/29 
Mike Huckabee   20%       17       16
Rudy Giuliani   18%       19       15
John McCain     14%       15       17 
Mitt Romney     13%       13       16
Fred Thompson   11%       12       12

6 posted on 12/30/2007 8:55:01 AM PST by deport (---4 days Iowa Caucuses--- 9 days New Hampshire votes--- [ Meanwhile:-- Cue Spooky Music--])
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To: deport

Rassmussen is a four day rolling average poll with a 95% probablility that the true value is within plus or minus five percent of the reported value.

It is useful for spotting trends. We can also say with certainty that nationally all these candidates are even and that Giuliani and Huckabee are on discint downward trajectories. McCain is on a possible upward trajectories and Thompson and Romney are holding steady within the margin of error.

As of today. Wait until tomorrow and the situation can change. All that can be said for sure is that the Huckaboom has become the Huckabust and that John McCain has been the immediate beneficiary of international uncertainty.


10 posted on 12/30/2007 11:01:25 AM PST by John Valentine
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To: deport

Are they polling Democrats?


14 posted on 12/30/2007 12:54:17 PM PST by CaptainK (...please make it stop. Shake a can of pennies at it.)
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To: deport
Mitt Romney 13% 13 16

A nice upward trend seems to be developing for Mitt...

17 posted on 12/30/2007 1:01:08 PM PST by Michael A. Velli ("I’m not particularly interested in running for president" -- Fred Thompson)
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