Nope. Not a chance. I like Hunter, but he has no personality to speak of. That's why he resonates with almost nobody, not even in our own party. The only winnables in this election are Abortiani (charm; 9-11; a nightmare for our party if he wins the nomination, causing him to almost not be winnable), McCain (media favorite; moderate; war-time P.O.W.), Paul (antiwar Republican; small government, rebellious Libertarian; would draw votes from the Democrat side; will never get the nomination, though), and Huckabee (not perfectly conservative, but is the most conservative of the winnable candidates; great personality and sense of humor will stand in stark contrast to the Hildabeast; great debater). Of the winnables, my vote is certainly for Huckabee.
Here’s a snapshot of today’s Iowa caucus for Intrade. Significantly, you don’t mention Thompson, who has been holding off Hunter due to name recognition. But right now there are 20 points missing from the results (they don’t add to 100) and as you can see, there’s wild swings lately between Huckster and Romney, more than 30 points in one day. Iowans are dissatisfied with the front runners.
Winner of 2008 Republican Iowa Caucus
REP.IOWA.HUCKABEE
Mike Huckabee to Win M 48.1 53.9 50.0 1973 +5.0
REP.IOWA.ROMNEY
Mitt Romney to Win M 32.0 46.2 20.0 2463 -30.0
REP.IOWA.THOMPSON(F)
Fred Thompson to Win M 0.3 0.8 0.1 700 0
REP.IOWA.MCCAIN
John McCain to Win M 0.4 3.5 0.4 912 0
REP.IOWA.GIULIANI
Rudy Giuliani to Win M - 0.1 0.1 701 0
REP.IOWA.GINGRICH
Newt Gingrich to Win M - 0.1 0.1 0 0
REP.IOWA.HAGEL
Chuck Hagel to Win M - 0.1 0.1 0 0
REP.IOWA.FIELD
Field (any other individual) to Win M 4.7 5.7 5.0 1618 +0.2