Posted on 01/12/2008 10:01:22 AM PST by jdm
If anyone films a documentary on the John McCain campaign, it ought to be George Romero. While the press had McCain as a dead man walking last summer, the Senator from Arizona has proven them all wrong -- and now looks as though he could sweep his way into Super Tuesday and the nomination. CNN has McCain taking a significant national polling lead, and he's jumped eight points above Rudy Giuliani in a Florida poll:
McCain has the support of 34 percent of registered Republicans in a CNN/Opinion Research Corp. survey out Friday. That's a 21-point jump from the last CNN/Opinion Research poll, taken in December, well before the Iowa caucuses and New Hampshire primary earlier this month.
Former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee, who won the Iowa Republican caucuses, is in second place in the new survey, with 21 percent of those registered Republicans polled supporting him for the GOP nomination.
Rudy Giuliani follows with 18 percent, a drop of six points from the December poll, when the former New York City mayor was the front-runner.
A few caveats are in order about the CNN poll. The sample isn't exactly sturdy. It only includes 397 registered Republicans, not likely primary voters. This doesn't make for a reliable predictive model, but at least one can see some trends that won't make the rest of the campaigns terribly happy.
One of those trends is voter enthusiasm. Among the entire Republican sample, McCain generates the highest amount of enthusiasm at 31%, and the lowest amount for dissatisfied and upset. Giuliani and Huckabee fall 10 and 11 points behind on enthusiasm, while Romney falls to the lowest enthusiasm number, 14%, among the top four candidates.
The Survey USA poll of Floridians looks more reliable, and the news remains good for McCain. They surveyed 502 likely Republican primary voters -- a stronger sample and one that is more predictive -- and found McCain in front of Rudy, 27%-19%. Huckabee and Romney tie at 17%, while Thompson comes in fifth at 8%. McCain takes all age groups but 18-34, and he wins 39% of black Republican votes (with Mitt a surprising second at 36%). Huckabee outdoes him in the panhandle and Romney on the Northeast, but McCain wins all of the other regions.
If McCain wins Michigan, he may build enough momentum to take Florida and all of its winner-take-all delegates. That will give him a lead and the momentum heading into Super Tuesday, and the potential to clinch the nomination. Rudy has to focus on his firewall if he wants to stop McCain from snatching the nomination with the cold-dead grip of a media-declared corpse, which is to say a lively candidate indeed.
Quite an image...
;^)
I believe most repubbies don’t put immigration to the front (they should). I believe it is more important than abortion from the standpoint that a president can only effect abortion through judicial appointments whereas the border is a critical and imminent problem that a pres can fix.
I believe most repubbies don’t put immigration to the front (they should). I believe it is more important than abortion from the standpoint that a president can only effect abortion through judicial appointments whereas the border is a critical and imminent problem that a pres can fix.
sorry for the double
It was worth repeating...
>I can’t stand McCain.Wouldn’t walk across the street to p—s on him if his pants were on fire.<
They are on fire and the voters are blind!
Almost all you see on C-Span from the GOP is McCain.
I can’t believe how many people tell him they are going to vote for him because he always tells the truth.
People! Get the cotton out of your ears already!
Does anyone have a Youtube of McCain tearing into Maria Shriver in 2000?
Well,Benedict Arnold was a war hero too-but his career didn’t work out too well in the end.After the amnesty fiasco I view McCain and all his cronies who supported THAT as traitors.
McCain telling the truth?! heheheheheh. He lied to his first wife. He lied to the voters re his amnesty. He is quick with the lie.
I agree with rosnefan, dean.
I hereby promise that I WOULD cross the street to piss on McCain if his pants were on fire.
McCain is not going to get my vote.
Any way you size it up he supports amnesty for illegals.
Starting out in coming to this or any country you should try it legally. Otherwise you should be deported with NO rights.
Also McCain is a RINO.
This poll was taken prior to the SC debate and was not released until Friday.
Have you noticed that the media has not released any polls taken after the SC debate? Wonder why?
Is it because McShame might not be polling so great and that Fred Thompson might be moving up?
“This is the most depressing election since the slickster ran for reelection in ‘96.”
... and once McCain does win (if he does, IMHO the best chance to stop the McCain express is for Romney to beat mcCain in MI), Hillary just has to dust off the 1996 campaign playbook and run it against McCain.
McCain has been as bad as Dole in his performances - old, old, old - and the ONLY issue he has is the surge. BFD - that was BUSH’S decision.
http://www.investors.com/editorial/cartoons/IMAGES/CARTOONS/toon010808.gif
I can’t believe how many people tell him they are going to vote for him because he always tells the truth.”
So believing the global warming cr*p, the campaign finance reform cr*p, the lies that tax cuts are ‘for the rich’ is the “truth”? yikes.
McCain/Huckabee - The RINO-nannystate-amnesty-envirowacko ticket
It’s almost enough to make a grown man weep. I’ve never seen such a weak field of GOP candidates. It’s coming down to a choice of which RINO to vote for.
I’m pretty much pinning my hopes on Fred Thompson, but even he isn’t as conservative as I would wish, and so far he’s not doing well in the polls.
So were Benedict Arnold, Adolf Hitler (Iron Cross in WW1) and Tim McVeigh. That means zip.
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