Thompson needs to win South Carolina, and then probably get at least second in Florida.
If he can’t win South Carolina, where can he win? Not enough places to get anywhere near enough delegates to be a factor.
If McCain wins SC, there will not be a brokered convention. Bloomberg will enter the race killing Rudy and clearing the way for McCain to steal the nomination.
I agree. I wish Hunter had more impact so he and Thompson could team up.
However, there are two candidates I absolutely will not vote for and if they get the nomination the GOP will most likely explode. Huck & McPain. LronPaul does not count, he should be running as a Libertarian.
I would eventually get behind any of the others in the the General. Why? SC appointments.
Michael Steele and his group GOPAC have been pushing 6 months for one. Remind them to bring the Cigars.
to many faulty premises here. McCain will win SC. Thompson, at the absolute best, will crawl into third.
But the bigger problem here is that going to the convention without a nominee will GUARANTEE defeat in November. Two months is too short to campaign in a nation of 300 million. How will any candidate raise the kind of money necessary in those two months? It’s impossible. Sure, we convention junkies would love it, but that’s not much of a trade off - our entertainment, versus 4 years of Hillary/Barack.
I’m a Fred supporter, but I’m also a realist. He’s gaining some traction in South Carolina, but he has to gain a lot more. If he does not at least pass Romney and come close to McCain there he’s in trouble. If that happens I’m for a brokered convention. We need someone who can unite the three main factions of the party (social and economic conservatives and national security hawks). Fred is the only one out of the current candidates (besides Duncan Hunter who is polling at 1%). If we can’t have Fred then I would rather another candidate step forward at a brokered convention such as Newt.
I think that we would be looking at a Mitt/Fred ticket or Fred/Mitt coming out of the brokered convention.
Either one is fine by me. However, should the RINO’s rear their ugly heads and insist on Trudy being on the ticket, the party would need to balance that flaming lib with a true, rock-ribbed conservative.
Duncan Hunter. At the TOP of that ticket.
I was looking at Intrade today. I hate that site. Manipulation by money to get a point across. But I noticed that in the long list of names, Condoleezza Rice was on the list. I stopped and thought how she wasn’t running and that people even saying that at this point and time would be a long shot. But then I thought back to the Brokered Convention Talk... and a amusing what if scenario popped into my head. now I know this will probably never happen, but I’ll say it anyway...
The Dems are blasting each other over what sex the candidate is, or what race. Then the dems call truces, yet people still swoon over the possibility of either a woman president or black president. If such things actually mattered, imagine a Rice running for president from a Brokered Convention. I bet that would make the dems happy.
See? Amusing thought. That’s all.