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ARG Poll: Florida GOP Primary
ARG ^ | 1/25/08 | ARG

Posted on 01/25/2008 8:32:06 PM PST by Norman Bates

John McCain
31%

Mitt Romney
26%

Mike Huckabee
15%

Rudy Giuliani
14%

Ron Paul
3%

Alan Keyes
1%

Conducted Jan. 23-24
Sample: 600 LVs
MoE: ± 4%


TOPICS: Politics/Elections; US: Florida
KEYWORDS: 2008; fl2008; polls
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To: jveritas

“McCain beats any democrat as well.”

Yeah, lets all vote for Ted Kennedys’ favorite Republican.


21 posted on 01/25/2008 8:46:38 PM PST by Grunthor (What if Mitt offered the VP slot to Ralph Reed?)
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To: Pravious
I think Romney and Rudy are the only two candidates who have ANY chance at winning the general election

That's probably why they do the worst in head-to-head match-ups with Hillary and Obama?

I don't know where people come up with these theories....

22 posted on 01/25/2008 8:47:12 PM PST by JohnnyZ ("Make all the promises you have to" -- Mitt Romney)
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To: Kuksool

“For Florida, Real Clear Politics isn’t including the ARG polls into the Florida averages.”

Why?


23 posted on 01/25/2008 8:47:25 PM PST by Grunthor (What if Mitt offered the VP slot to Ralph Reed?)
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To: fantom

You are factual, sensible, accurate and reasonable.

I want you to stop posting here immediately ;)


24 posted on 01/25/2008 8:48:37 PM PST by citizen (Capt. McQueeg: "Have any of you an explanation for the quart of missing strawberries?" (click-clack))
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To: Norman Bates

“So it doesn’t seem too far off.”

If Mitt wins by 4 or more, ARG needs to be investigated for ties to Campo Juan.


25 posted on 01/25/2008 8:49:16 PM PST by Grunthor (What if Mitt offered the VP slot to Ralph Reed?)
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To: Grunthor

I don’t know who Ted’s favorite Republican is, but McCain can carry Ted’s state. That’ll give him heartburn!

McCain 50%
Obama 45%

McCain 45%
Hillary 49%

(SUSA: Mass., 1/23)


26 posted on 01/25/2008 8:49:52 PM PST by Norman Bates
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To: Norman Bates

“but McCain can carry Ted’s state. That’ll give him heartburn!”

I don’t know why it would, they are apparantly very good friends and they both hate conservatives.


27 posted on 01/25/2008 8:51:05 PM PST by Grunthor (What if Mitt offered the VP slot to Ralph Reed?)
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To: nckerr

I couldn’t help myself! :-)


28 posted on 01/25/2008 8:52:11 PM PST by Norman Bates
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To: Norman Bates

They included 35 independents. I bet they freaked out. They can’t vote! Independents cannot vote in primaries. I say this is flawed.


29 posted on 01/25/2008 8:54:27 PM PST by libbylu (Why vote for a democrat with an R next to his name? I'm a MITTen.)
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To: Norman Bates
McCain +5 (from +7).

Free Image Hosting at allyoucanupload.com

30 posted on 01/25/2008 8:59:52 PM PST by Plutarch
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To: Norman Bates

Norman RCP took that one poll off the front page. when you look at the totals by party Mitt leads it by 7 and they list dems and indys who cannot vote in the republican primary. Very strange.they took it off the front page after I emailed them,it is still underneath if you click for “all polls”.

And the poll above included 35 independents WHO CANNOT vote in the republican primary. Rasmussen market - Mitt went up 6 between the debate starting and ending, mcpain went down 5.


31 posted on 01/25/2008 9:01:15 PM PST by libbylu (Why vote for a democrat with an R next to his name? I'm a MITTen.)
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To: Norman Bates

Everybody says ARG is bad, but it is so bad that RCP left them out of their famous averages. Ouch.


32 posted on 01/25/2008 9:01:59 PM PST by Plutarch
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To: Norman Bates

IA isn’t a tie as I posted above. Mitt is up by 7..... when you take out the dems and indys who cannot vote in the republican primary.


33 posted on 01/25/2008 9:02:46 PM PST by libbylu (Why vote for a democrat with an R next to his name? I'm a MITTen.)
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To: libbylu

I don’t know what the explanation is for that but Romney’s not up 7 in FL. No poll shows that. Even when you take out the 6% of ind in this poll, McCain leads among Republicans. Don’t ask me. All I know is RCP has IA cited and if they felt it strange they would’ve pulled it. A tie makes sense.


34 posted on 01/25/2008 9:07:06 PM PST by Norman Bates
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To: Plutarch

Thank you for the graphic.


35 posted on 01/25/2008 9:07:45 PM PST by Norman Bates
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To: Ingtar
Romney and Guiliani were quite the au pair last night, working as a team.

My tagline reflects that assessment, not what I want to be.

I'd think Mitt would pick a Southerner for VP (DU is already ripping apart Blunt) but he may well keep Rudy.

We can beat the Clinton machine with Romney. We just have to go medieval, every day, all day on 'em.

The more moral of their rat base is disgusted by their co-ordinating the rat primaries as a Jerry Springer Show, and they're losing their base every day.

Reagan Democrats are disgusted, and can be swayed to Romney if we push the same wave for him as we did Fred.

Sniff. I hope you're happy, Fred.

36 posted on 01/25/2008 9:08:04 PM PST by txhurl (Yes there were WMDs /Romney/Guiliani '08 / Yes you will vote against Clinton)
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To: Norman Bates

My vote is already cast...early voted this afternoon for Romney. Killed me that I wanted to vote for Fred but Mitt was my 2nd choice and I wanted it to mean something as I know he will need every vote he can get in this state.

If Florida goes McCain..it will go Clinton in November.


37 posted on 01/25/2008 9:09:44 PM PST by My Favorite Headache (No One Gets To Their Heaven Without A Fight)
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To: jveritas
McCain beats any democrat as well

But even if he does they still win.

38 posted on 01/25/2008 9:10:54 PM PST by Mygirlsmom (Wish for Fred in one hand and Mitt in the other and see what you have more of.)
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To: Plutarch

That Ron Paul revolution is just about over I would say with those numbers.


39 posted on 01/25/2008 9:11:43 PM PST by My Favorite Headache (No One Gets To Their Heaven Without A Fight)
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To: Norman Bates
Rudy’s decline has been staggering. I kind of feel sorry for him. Whoever designed his campaign strategy seriously miscalculated.

With Rudy, primaries are like marriages. The first few don't really count...

40 posted on 01/25/2008 9:11:51 PM PST by hunter112 (With Fred gone, our best hope is for a compromise candidate from a brokered convention.)
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