last estimates I saw was that the early voting percentage was closer to 20%, but you are right that it may make exit polling a lot less reliable.
But speaking of polling, who saw Obama by 28%?
All I can picture in my mind is three weeks ago Rudy was pulling in well over a 1,000 people at rallys, before the other candidates even showed their faces in Florida. I could picture him saying, "OK you guys, leave here today, and go directly to your polling place (which opened already) and vote for me". If I was a supporter at a rally like that, the enthusiasm that usually goes along with that type of event would have propelled me to do just that, go out and vote that day. I also had seen, in the last week two different estimates, one had Rudy up in the early polling, and one with McCain up, but none with Mitt up in the early voting, so that is why I am saying take the late "surge" with a grain of salt.
I was gone last night, and never turned on the TV, or came to Freep until this morning, so when I saw Obamas win I was shocked. I don't think any "poll" out there came close did it?
On another subject, how long does John Edwards stay in after his pitiful performance? South Carolina could be the demise of the two opposite party hopefuls, Thompson and Edwards.
polls are contrived mechanisms to control the electorate opinion on how/who they will vote for.
the polls by definition are unscientific due to the fact of not being able to collect a random sample.
they assume a random sample but can not achieve that due to their liberal bias.
what they do accomplish is that they can tank a candidacy like Rudy’s just by dropping his poll values.
it gets people to think, hey i better vote for a winner.
but all they really end up doing is voting for who the liberal press wants them to.
we’re doomed if we the people can’t start to see this better for what it is.