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Crack in McCain's Armor? He can't win a caucus (Vanity)

Posted on 02/03/2008 6:48:01 AM PST by Truthsearcher

In the Iowa Caucus, McCain finished 4th with 13%, In the Wyoming Caucus McCain was tied for last, in the Nevada Caucus, he finished 3rd with 13%, behind Ron Paul, and yesterday in the Maine Caucus, he finished 2nd with just 22%, some 30 points behind Romney.

He can't win in a caucus state because it's the hardcore Republicans who attend them, and McCain has real trouble with that group of voters.

Well, looking ahead, there are still 344 delegates in caucus states up for grabs. Including 203 on Super Tuesday. If he does as poorly in them as he has so far, then things won't look nearly as rosy for him on Wednesday morning.


TOPICS: Your Opinion/Questions
KEYWORDS: mccain; romney; yahanothervanity
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1 posted on 02/03/2008 6:48:02 AM PST by Truthsearcher
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To: Truthsearcher

McCain: caucus envy?


2 posted on 02/03/2008 6:49:50 AM PST by period end of story
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To: Truthsearcher

great and hopefully valid points


3 posted on 02/03/2008 6:49:57 AM PST by gusopol3
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To: Truthsearcher

McCain has liberals voting for him. He has lost conservatives.


4 posted on 02/03/2008 6:51:01 AM PST by bmwcyle (What is the American voter thinking?)
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To: Truthsearcher

I just love the stories about the Maine Rino sisters Snowe and Collins going to different caucus events to shill for McCain and GETTING BOOED!!


5 posted on 02/03/2008 6:52:20 AM PST by elizabetty (John McCain Hates Michael Reagan...........John McCain Hates Me, too. The feeling is mutual.)
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To: PJ-Comix

Ping! Here’s an interesting point!


6 posted on 02/03/2008 6:52:30 AM PST by bcsco (Tag space for rent: "aPaulogists" need not apply.)
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To: elizabetty

I haven’t seen those stories...but I would love the links...


7 posted on 02/03/2008 6:58:12 AM PST by JaneNC (I)
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To: elizabetty
Missed that. Maine seems to be a breeding ground for RINOs. Who votes for these fools?

I haven't heard a coherent argument for supporting McCain yet. The only argument I hear is: "He's electable." Ah, McCain had 69% of Maricopa County (Phoenix Arizona) Republicans vote against him. Is the GOP going to make the same mistake as the Dem's in '04, by going for the "electable" candidate. Say hello to President John Kerry. Kerry was so "electable" that he couldn't even run again this year, due to his "botched joke" about our soldiers in Iraq.

8 posted on 02/03/2008 7:00:30 AM PST by Jabba the Nutt (Just laugh at them!)
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To: Truthsearcher

Yes, but if he wins every election but loses the caucuses he’ll win the nomination in a landslide.


9 posted on 02/03/2008 7:00:44 AM PST by gondramB (Preach the Gospel at all times, and when necessary, use words.)
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To: Truthsearcher

> He can’t win in a caucus state <

I heard that McCain would probably win the Louisiana caucuses, but then Louisiana is peculiar in more ways than one!


10 posted on 02/03/2008 7:01:07 AM PST by Hawthorn
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To: Hawthorn

LA is not a caucus state.

They have a primary on Feb 9th to pick half their delegates, then a state convention on the 16th to pick the other half.


11 posted on 02/03/2008 7:04:22 AM PST by Truthsearcher
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To: Truthsearcher

Good explanation.

Republicans who are active enough to get involved in these caucuses KNOW McCain - they KNOW what he is, and they KNOW, that depsite leftist media hype, he is being set up as a house of cards to be demolished in November.


12 posted on 02/03/2008 7:04:30 AM PST by ZULU (Non nobis, non nobis Domine, sed nomini tuo da gloriam. God, guts and guns made America great.)
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To: Truthsearcher
A faint glimmer of hope. But will the caucus types hold their ground if it appears that McCain is an irresistable steamroller, and they and their states will be punished by this notoriously vindictive man somewhere down the road? McCain hates the Republican faithful anyway. If he is elected, he will feel no obligation to conservatives at all.

On the other hand, if Romney somehow gets the nomination, he will owe it entirely to conservatives.

13 posted on 02/03/2008 7:07:15 AM PST by hellbender
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To: gondramB

Of course, *if* he does that he’s the nominee. The point is that he’s still beatable.


14 posted on 02/03/2008 7:08:21 AM PST by Truthsearcher
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To: bmwcyle
McCain has liberals voting for him.

Yes - and they keep showing up at Republican primaries.

15 posted on 02/03/2008 7:13:42 AM PST by floozy22
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To: Jabba the Nutt

“I haven’t heard a coherent argument for supporting McCain yet.”

That’s because there isn’t any, as you say “Coherent” argument for his support. Zip, Zero, Nada, unless of course the voter is Democrat.


16 posted on 02/03/2008 7:14:11 AM PST by rockinqsranch (Dems, Libs, Socialists...call 'em what you will...They ALL have fairies livin' in their trees.)
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To: Truthsearcher

What I find particularly amusing is that most of the GOP leadership is openly endorsing for its presidential nominee a guy who just a few short years ago was considering leaving the Republican Party! What does that tell you?


17 posted on 02/03/2008 7:15:36 AM PST by ought-six
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To: Truthsearcher
McCain is winning almost every winner-take-all state on Super Tuesday.

Connecticut, New York, New Jersey, Missouri, and Arizona.

Plus leads in proportional states including Illinois, Georgia, Tennessee, Alabama, Minnesota, and Oklahoma.

The best Mitt can do is Utah, split California, maybe Colorado, maybe Montana, Massachusetts.

18 posted on 02/03/2008 7:18:07 AM PST by JohnnyZ ("Make all the promises you have to" -- Mitt Romney)
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To: Truthsearcher

BTTT. Good thread/comments.


19 posted on 02/03/2008 7:20:35 AM PST by PGalt
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To: Truthsearcher
JUST A FEW OF MCCAIN'S PROBLEMS:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LkcVXIhssCI

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1963304/posts

http://www.lauraingraham.com/pg/jsp/charts/streamingAudioMaster.jsp?dispid=302&headerDest=L3BnL2pzcC9tZWRpYS9mbGFzaHdlbGNvbWUuanNwP3BpZD01MjM5JnBsYXlsaXN0PXRydWUmY2hhcnR0eXBlPWNoYXJ0JmNoYXJ0SUQ9MzAyJnBsYXlsaXN0U2l6ZT0xMA==

McCain vs McCain:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ioy90nF2anI

20 posted on 02/03/2008 7:22:23 AM PST by W04Man (DON'T BLAME ME, I was With Fred http://Vets4Fred.net)
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