Posted on 02/09/2008 1:13:49 AM PST by Kurt Evans
Austin pollster Ralph Bordie did a quick look-in with likely GOP voters in Texas after former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney suspended his campaign Thursday. And, he says, it looks like Sen. John McCain gained support in Texas from Romney’s departure.
Bordie speculates, though, that former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee could gain on McCain if he wins over voters favoring U.S. Rep. Ron Paul and Alan Keyes. See his quick take here [see post #2].
The latest numbers: McCain, 43 percent; Huckabee, 33 percent; Paul, 9 percent, Keyes, 3 percent, Undecided, 13 percent (up from 10 percent the previous week). Bordie polled 510 likely voters on Thursday. The margin of error is plus or minus 4.3 percent.
http://ivrpolls.com/index.php?task=view&id=34
Did a quick poll tonight to see how Mitt Romney’s exit from the GOP primary would change things in Texas.
Last week, Romney was just ahead of John McCain, 30 to 29, with Mike Huckabee following at 20. Ron Paul and Alan Keyes were in single digits. Huckabee did best among voters under 40, while McCain did best with voters over 60. Romney’s support was fairly even through the different ages.
This week, Huckabee has a small lead among the <40 and 40-59 age groups, while McCain has a large lead in the 60+ age group. McCain has fairly even support between men and women in each age group, but Huckabee does better among women in the younger groups. If Huckabee could attract the portion of the <60 male vote that is going to Paul and Keyes, he would be competitive with McCain. I have no reason to expect that they will shift, just noting the gender gap in the <60 ‘not McCain’ vote.
McCain 43% (29%)
Huckabee 33% (20%)
Paul 9% (8%)
Keyes 3% (3%)
Undecided 13% (10%)
http://ivrpolls.com/index.php?task=view&id=34
There will be an “Uncommitted” spot on the ballot in the Texas Primary. Use it well.
Boy, Romney just got out too soon. He could've carried his campaign another couple of weeks and just saw what happened.
But I think all the remaining Republican Presidential candidates should be committed.
“Bordie speculates, though, that former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee could gain
on McCain if he wins over voters favoring U.S. Rep. Ron Paul and Alan Keyes.”
Congressman Paul and Ambassador Keyes are stalking horses.
Just kidding.
GO UNDECIDED!!
GO UNCOMMITTED!
Not me! Hoa Tran will also be on the primary ballot. I've never had the opportunity to vote for a Republican "Oriental Medicine woman" before. As a Republican leader in the 22nd District (Tom Delay's district), she's got my vote!
As a conservative I find no candidate worth voting FOR,so it will be the year of voting AGAINST the worst of the remaining candidates. With Mitt suspending his campaign and hanging on to his delegates, McDole will have the nomination wrapped up by the time Texans get to vote.
I live in VA and plan on asking for a Dem ballot on 2/12 so I can vote AGAINST Hillary. I can’t figure out whether it would do better against McDole Hillary or Barack, but I don’t want to miss a Tora Bora moment to get Hillary out of the race. Obama now leads Hillary by 15% & 20% in the two VA polls released yesterday. McDole lead Huck by 32% and it’s winner take all for the delegates.
Hernandez believes all Mexicans and Mexican-Americans in the USA should become dual citizens and consider themselves Mexicans first, "to the 8th generation." The "New American Pioneers" proclaimed in his book are the illegal alien invaders he urges to become settlers in the USA.
And this is the man McCain chose for his "Hispanic Outreach Director." In the past week he was asked about this choice, and McCain said he chose Hernandez because he agrees with his positions.
Juan Shamnesty McCain is precisely a treacherous liar.
Remember: Benedict Arnold was also a genuine war hero, who lost a leg and suffered months of agonizing recovery...before he became a traitor.
Paleo Conservative: But I think all the remaining Republican Presidential candidates should be committed.
Ironically, while I could arrange for a short term observation, only a judge can commit them.
See what happens when the Courts get out of hand?
Cool, voting for Tran is better than voting for “Uncommitted.” It still sends the message that we don’t like the “front runner” or the manner in which he became the front runner.
I’m probably casting a vote for Alan Keyes. When he stays away from the “I’m being discriminated against for being Black” (When we all know it’s because he’s a good Christian, Pro-life, Pro-family speaker with usually impeccable logic that goes to the core, the heart, of the issues), he’s my hero.
Depending upon the area Huckabee may secure a few of the TX delegates but I don’t see him winning a large number. Since TX is winner take all by CD/statewide by majority otherwise proportional allocation it may be areas that won’t have a majority winner.
But in the long run McCain is in the drivers seat whether we like it or not. It’s his and we best be figuring out how to extract as many conservative committments from him as possible while spending the efforts/resources necessary to get as many Representatives/Senators elected to help block his off the wall stuff.
http://www.thegreenpapers.com .
Before the votes are counted in LA today this is the standings with 1274 available and needing 1191 to win.
McCain .. 699 delegates .. Needs 492 [38% of remaining available]
Huckabee .. 179 delegates .. Needs 1012 [80% of remaining available]
Who will the “Uncommitted” delegates be?
Huckabee!
What would the point of that be? Should I also see if I can get him to promise me a pony for my niece?
I wonder if that is the same pollster Perry was looking at when he thought endorsing Julie Annie would pay him dividends in Texas?
Should I also see if I can get him to promise me a pony for my niece?
If she needs one it may be worth a shot.......
Haha, nice.
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