92% of the black vote will go to the Democrats. Period.
92% of the black vote will go to the Democrats. Period.
True . . . but the period doesn't come until after you say how big the black turnout is.In fact if you consider that 8% of the potential black turnout would go Republican, if Hillary were to steal the nomination from Obama (and he not accept the VP slot) I would expect the same 8% Republican vote might turn out, and ten or twenty percent of the black Democratic turnout to stay home. So it that sense, it's possible for McCain to get a little higher percentage of the actual turnout without attracting any actual new black voters. That could happen.