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Obama leads Clinton among self-described independents and Republicans 24% to 71%....Obama leads among men 55% to 29%

This is the main problem. Stupid white men and Republicans are planning to vote for Obama to "stick it" to Hillary, whom they rightly have hated for years. Unfortunately the only one they will be sticking it to is themselves, as they guarantee an Obama Presidency and a time warp back to 1977. Only this time, we face a Islamofascist enemy whom Obama will appease to such a degree that he will make Neville Chamberlain look like Winston Churchill.

Don't be foolish. Texas Republicans: Vote for Hillary. The only candidate we can defeat in November.

Disagree, for many reasons Obama will be the easier candidate to beat in November. Not only do I believe that McCain will win, I think it will be a lopsided victory for him. Once people start contrasting the two, once Obama actually gives a position rather than a Pep Rally, once People see that of the two media darlings only McCain has positions and Obama rhetoric, you will see the full Brady effect take place. I expect that Obama will lead the polls thru the summer, then a gradual shift from mid September thru the November election. I think McCain scores at Minimum a 53-54% victory, takes all of the states Bush won in 2004 plus PA. I also think it is plausible for McCain to get very, very close in CA if not win the state outright. People will tire quickly on Obama and I think the enthusiasm will be replaced by buyer remorse sooner rather than later.