Yup. Right in one.
Obama should not be underestimated. BUT - his "supporters"....young people, minorities, the radical left in general....don't vote. And, it's hard to maintain this peak that he's having right now for another 8 months.
Hillary! still is not out yet. I think that she may not get the nomination AND she will see to it that Obama is not elected president. Why? Because a run for Hillary! in 2012 is not out of the realm of possibility....but only if a Dem is not in the White House. Unless a plum job is in the offing for her or Bill (Sec Gen of the UN? SC Justice Clinton?)....I can see her going nuclear on Obama.
They do vote, but they also have something called "the dean effect".
Its when your supporters become so emotionally invested, they become obnoxious and either scary or simply drive voters into the arms of the opposing candidate.
The name comes from when Dean ran in 2004, and as soon as his influx of 5,000 volunteers and staff came into the state while he was at his peak, his support started eroding and he started falling apart.
“Obama should not be underestimated. BUT - his “supporters”....young people, minorities, the radical left in general....don’t vote. And, it’s hard to maintain this peak that he’s having right now for another 8 months.”
Excuse me, but primary voting on the Democrat side has shattered records! how can you say they are not voting, when in fact someone is voting for Obama (10 million votes).
Obama’s fundraising has shattered records. He is drawing crowds that we wouldnt see until the general election time - if then. What a contrast - 20,000 go to see Obama in Houston, while McCain speaks to a gathering in a hotel ballroom. Nothing wrong with the latter per se, but obama is operating at a different level than other candidates.
If the public perception of Obama in November matches the public perception today ... then Obama wins.
And stick a fork in Hillary, she is done.