Posted on 03/25/2008 3:35:09 PM PDT by Red Steel
The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in Pennsylvania shows Hillary Clinton leading Barack Obama 49% to 39%. That’s little changed from earlier in the month when Clinton led 51% to 38%.
In the Keystone State, Clinton is now viewed favorably by 68% of Likely Democratic Primary Voters. That’s down from 76% in the previous survey. Obama is viewed favorably by 71%, a figure that is little changed from 72% earlier in the month.
If Obama wins the Democratic nomination, just 55% of Clinton voters say they are even somewhat likely to vote for him against John McCain. That’s down two points from 57%.
If Clinton is the nominee, just 55% of Obama voters say they are at least somewhat likely to vote for her against McCain. That’s down nine points from 64%.
A separate survey found that both Democrats are in a competitive race with John McCain for Pennsylvania’s Electoral College votes. Nationally, McCain currently leads both Democrats in the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll.
Eighty-seven percent (87%) of Likely Democratic Primary voters in Pennsylvania have read, seen, or heard about comments made by Jeremiah Wright, Obama’s former Pastor. Nearly half, 47%, say it has no impact on their vote. Fifteen percent (15%) say Wright’s comments make them more likely to vote for Obama while 36% say the opposite.
Overall, 38% are somewhat or very concerned about Obama’s relationship with Wright. That figure includes 62% of Clinton supporters, 11% of Obama voters, and 36% of those who are undecided.
Just 4% of Likely Democratic Primary Voters rate the economy as good or excellent while 67% say it’s in poor shape. Just 3% say it is getting better while 88% say the economy is getting worse. Nationally, the Rasmussen Consumer Index shows that consumer and investor confidence has fallen to the lowest level of the past seven years.
Thirty-three percent (33%) believe the U.S. and its allies are winning the War on Terror while 25% believe the terrorists are winning. Just 15% believe the situation in Iraq will get better over the next six months while 43% say the opposite.
The previous Pennsylvania survey found that most voters disagreed with comments made by former Democratic Vice Presidential nominee Geraldine Ferraro. However, they also believed that Obama has received better treatment from the media than Clinton.
Rasmussen Markets data just prior to release of this poll shows that Clinton is overwhelming favored to end up victorious in Pennsylvania (current prices: Clinton 85.0 % Obama 14.5 %). Overall, the Markets give Obama a 80.5 % chance to win the Democratic nomination while expectations for a Clinton victory are at 19.4 %. Numbers in this paragraph are from a prediction market, not a poll. Using a trading format where traders "buy and sell" candidates, issues, and news features, the Rasmussen Markets harness competitive passions to provide a reliable leading indicator of upcoming events. We invite you to participate in the Rasmussen Markets. It costs nothing to join and add your voice to the collective wisdom of the market.
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“Revenge of the Honkies.”
That says a lot about the Dems...
The trend is with Obama. If Clinton only wins this state by 10pts, she’s not going to gain very many delegates. She’ll barely move at all.
Winning by only ten in Penna is bad news for Hillary.
Obama is vacationing in the Virign Islands. No Obama= No stories about Pastor Wright. That factoid alone might account for some narrowing of the gap.
Excellent!
We want Hillary to win PA so Obama can continue to limp to the DNC convention in Denver.
Cross-over someone?
Keep the race tight
I hate to agree with Rendell, but he was right when he said there is no way older white people in PA will vote for a black.
You can try to sell that idea to old steelworkers who still tell racist jokes and use the “N” word, but it wont work.
I don't think that, in the end, they will vote for a woman, either.
Typical white voters.
You are most likely right.
Hillary always was in the lead in PA.
There will be additional cross overs who re-registered Dem....so she will likely win by a larger margin
VOTE OBAMA in PA .
Ooooh. Double digits. Not bad. Not bad at all.
Which is why I implore my fellow conservatives to vote for Hillary in the primary, if they've switched registrations. I spoke with one of my lady's cousins who did switch, and he's voting for Obama. When he said that he'd switch back after the primary, I knew he was thinking that by getting Obama, the Rats would have the weakest candidate.
While I don't disagree with that logic, I still maintain that if the fight goes on until the convention, whoever is the Rat nominee is powerfully weakened. Look at how much crap has come out on both of them in the few weeks since Ohio and Texas. We have four more weeks of such bad press for both of them!
Wouldn't it be nice to make it a few more months of Rats bashing each other? I want to see the feminazi Hillary supporters forever divorce themselves from the gimme-gimme Obama types for a generation.
The primary is still a month away. The Wright story is old, but the Bosnia “sniper” story is new. Of course, other weird things could happen between now and then.
>>The primary is still a month away. The Wright story is old, but the Bosnia “sniper” story is new. Of course, other weird things could happen between now and then.<<
Lo and behold!
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