The slick trick behind global frauding

Especially now that we just might be getting the evidence we need to prove that Global warming is not accelerating.

Thanks. I am going to be really curious to see what happens as the La Nina effect diminishes (both to the temperatures and to the skeptical perspective on the temperatures).

What will be even more interesting will be what happens the next year that we have a decent-sized El Nino. Because I'm starting to think that warming is a quasi-step function related to El Nino events, that year and subsequent years will be really interesting to watch.

I think you are right that the next El Nino year is going to pump the air temps right up there again (at the expense of cooling the ocean).

I think what we are missing is the 'cooling' forcing. When I go soaring I look for warm spots to provide lift. As the day heats up lift improves dramatically. Thunderstorms are a dramatic example of this heat pump effect.

Yesterday I rode a wave up to +30,000' and out of curiosity I would jump in and out of the wave noting the temps and tried to predict how high the wave would take me based on the temperature differential. It isn't as easy as it sounds because the air temp outside of the wave is falling with increasing altitude too. The lapse is about 2 degrees centigrade per thousand feet, but weather systems always override that rule. My ride ended when the outside temps dramatically increased and I entered some kind of shear with dramatically warmer temps.

My theory is that wind, thermals and clouds are nothing more than heat pumps. The extra warming induced by CO2 is offset by longer periods of thermals that take the heat up high to get radiated away.

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