2008 Projected Presidential Electoral Votes as of 4/14/2008

InTrade ^ | Monday, April 14, 2008 | Momaw Nadon

[Momaw Nadon]

This is getting to be ridiculous. These numbers have hardly moved, in spite of all the negative things that have come out against the ‘Rat candidates. Hillary's sniper fire gaffe and the crazy lie Bubba came up with to cover it. Obama’s Rev. Wright fiasco and now his “bitter people” snub of ordinary folks in flyover country. And this ‘poll’ says none of that has changed the dynamic? I find that hard to believe.

I'm also trying to figure out why why the Rasmussen polls and InTrade futures prices come to very different conclusions.

My best guess at a theory is that the traders think Obama will be the 'Rat nominee and that he may have a huge fundraising advantage over McCain. IF this is the case, CFR may turn out to be McCain's biggest hurdle.

And isn't it ironic... don't you think?

(I personally believe McCain will win, but the InTrade futures traders are betting their own money. Does anyone have any guesses as to what the InTrade traders are thinking?)