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Al Qaeda Discusses Losing Iraq
Strategy Page ^ | 5/27/08

Posted on 05/27/2008 3:33:52 PM PDT by Dawnsblood

Al Qaeda web sites are making a lot of noise about "why we lost in Iraq." Western intelligence agencies are fascinated by the statistics being posted in several of these Arab language sites. Not the kind of stuff you read about in the Western media. According to al Qaeda, their collapse in Iraq was steep and catastrophic. According to their stats, in late 2006, al Qaeda was responsible for 60 percent of the terrorist attacks, and nearly all the ones that involved killing a lot of civilians. The rest of the violence was carried out by Iraqi Sunni Arab groups, who were trying in vain to scare the Americans out of the country.

Today, al Qaeda has been shattered, with most of its leadership and foot soldiers dead, captured or moved from Iraq. As a result, al Qaeda attacks have declined more than 90 percent. Worse, most of their Iraqi Sunni Arab allies have turned on them, or simply quit. This "betrayal" is handled carefully on the terrorist web sites, for it is seen as both shameful, and perhaps recoverable.

This defeat was not as sudden as it appeared to be, and some Islamic terrorist web sites have been discussing the problem for several years. The primary cause has been Moslems killed as a side effect of attacks on infidel troops, Iraqi security forces and non-Sunnis. Al Qaeda plays down the impact of this, calling the Moslem victims "involuntary martyrs." But that's a minority opinion. Most Moslems, and many other Islamic terrorists, see this as a surefire way to turn the Moslem population against the Islamic radicals. That's what happened earlier in Algeria, Afghanistan, Egypt and many other places. It's really got nothing to do with religion. The phenomenon hits non-Islamic terrorists as well (like the Irish IRA and the Basque ETA).

The senior al Qaeda leadership saw the problem, and tried to convince the "Al Qaeda In Iraq" leadership to cool it. That didn't work. As early as 2004, some Sunni Arabs were turning on al Qaeda because of the "involuntary martyrs" problem. The many dead Shia Arab civilians led to a major terror campaign by the Shia majority. They controlled the government, had the Americans covering their backs, and soon half the Sunni Arab population were refugees.

Meanwhile, the "Al Qaeda In Iraq" leadership was out of control. Most of these guys are really out there, at least in terms of fanaticism and extremism. This led to another fatal error. They declared the establishment of the "Islamic State of Iraq" in late 2006. This was an act of bravado, and touted as the first step in the re-establishment of the caliphate (a global Islamic state, ruled over by God's representative on earth, the caliph.) The caliphate has been a fiction for over a thousand years. Early on, the Islamic world was split by ethnic and national differences, and the first caliphate fell apart after a few centuries. Various rulers have claimed the title over the centuries, but since 1924, when the Turks gave it up (after four centuries), no one of any stature has taken it up. So when al Qaeda "elected" a nobody as the emir of the "Islamic State of Iraq", and talked about this being the foundation of the new caliphate, even many pro-al Qaeda Moslems were aghast. When al Qaeda could not, in 2007, exercise any real control over the parts of Iraq they claimed as part of the new Islamic State, it was the last straw. The key supporters, battered by increasingly effective American and Iraqi attacks, dropped their support for al Qaeda, and the terrorist organization got stomped to bits by the "surge offensive" of last year. The final insult was delivered by the former Iraqi Sunni Arab allies, who quickly switched sides, and sometimes even worked with the Americans (more so than the Shia dominated Iraqi security forces) to hunt down and kill al Qaeda operators.

If you can read Arabic, you can easily find these pro-terrorism sites, and see for yourself how al Qaeda is trying to explain its own destruction to its remaining supporters. While it's common to assume the Information War has been going against the West, this was not the case when you checked with what was going on inside the enemy camp.


TOPICS: Foreign Affairs; Front Page News; News/Current Events; War on Terror
KEYWORDS: alqaeda; alqaedainiraq; awakening; basra; defeat; iran; iraq; islam; mahdiarmy; sadr; sadrcity; terror
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A little good news for a slow tuesday afternoon...
1 posted on 05/27/2008 3:33:53 PM PDT by Dawnsblood
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To: Dawnsblood

I really don’t care if al Qaeda was in Iraq before the war. We chose the battleground. I would rather fight them in Iraq than NY. They lost. If they were stupid enough to send their jihadists from other countries to die in Iraq, then our plan worked perfectly.


2 posted on 05/27/2008 3:38:36 PM PDT by Brilliant
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To: Dawnsblood

Thanks for posting this!!

God Bless Our Troops!!


3 posted on 05/27/2008 3:44:34 PM PDT by penelopesire ("The only CHANGE you will get with the Democrats is the CHANGE left in your pocket")
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To: Dawnsblood

Reminds me of something about a “strong horse.”

God Bless our fighting men and women.


4 posted on 05/27/2008 3:46:41 PM PDT by A message
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To: Dawnsblood

Bush’s fault.


5 posted on 05/27/2008 3:47:08 PM PDT by Grampa Dave (Hussein Obama"Hama's" Pastor, Jeremiah Wright: "God Damn America, U.S.to Blame for 9/11")
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To: Dawnsblood
the terrorist organization got stomped to bits by the "surge offensive" of last year.

Love that line........

6 posted on 05/27/2008 3:49:29 PM PDT by BOBTHENAILER (One by one, in small groups or in whole armies, we don't care how we do it, but we're gonna getcha)
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To: Dawnsblood
VERY Strange!!!

I read the NY Times today...as well as the Washington Post, the Chicago Daily News, and a few of the other objective, unbiased, totally truthful major newspapers in this here country....and I couldn't find a thing on this!!!

As I said, VERY Strange!

7 posted on 05/27/2008 3:49:42 PM PDT by Logic n' Reason ("Never allow someone to be your priority while allowing yourself to be their option.")
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To: Dawnsblood

Because those Brave men and women have patiently and methodically hunted down those animals and in so doing freed Iraqis from cruel oppression. They have also established friendships and doctored the children of Iraq. Good hunting.


8 posted on 05/27/2008 3:52:11 PM PDT by momincombatboots (Not a journey for the feeble. (Added to the Non- sheeple list of those Not voting for Mccain))
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To: Dawnsblood; MurryMom
Al Qaeda web sites are making a lot of noise about "why we lost in Iraq."

Harry Reid wastes taxpayer funded work hours posting on the internet?

9 posted on 05/27/2008 3:52:29 PM PDT by Libloather (May is Liberal Awareness Month. June is next.)
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To: Dawnsblood

flypaper...
roach hotel...

call the Battle of Iraq what you will, but it sure caused a lot of homicidal jihadists to crawl out of their caves and holes and die for their cause...


10 posted on 05/27/2008 3:53:18 PM PDT by RobFromGa (It's the Spending, Stupid! (not the method of collection))
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To: aflaak; TXHubbard

ping


11 posted on 05/27/2008 3:54:27 PM PDT by r-q-tek86 (If you're not taking flak, you're not over the target.)
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To: Logic n' Reason
I couldn't find a thing on this!!! - Try and catch the network news - certainly it will be the lead story! /s - This really is good to see, it validates what we have known for some time and sooner now than later, the MSM will have to acknowledge it.
12 posted on 05/27/2008 3:54:27 PM PDT by SF Republican
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To: Dawnsblood

BTTT


13 posted on 05/27/2008 3:57:25 PM PDT by Jet Jaguar (Who would the terrorists vote for?)
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To: Brilliant

“I really don’t care if al Qaeda was in Iraq before the war. We chose the battleground. I would rather fight them in Iraq than NY. They lost. If they were stupid enough to send their jihadists from other countries to die in Iraq, then our plan worked perfectly.”

I think it was Vice President Cheney who spoke of “draining the swamp.” I think that is what we have been doing.

I’m not going to say that the execution of this war was perfect. But if one knows the tiniest smidgen about military history, one knows that a “perfect war” is an absurdly high standard. As wars go, this one has been tremendously effective.

The American military, from the soldier, to the tactics, to the equipment, to the leadership, is the best it has ever been. We are winning this war, yet defense expenditures as a percentage of GDP is very low. Pilots are younger than the helicopters they fly. It’s past time for some new equipment.


14 posted on 05/27/2008 4:02:50 PM PDT by ChessExpert (Carbon Dioxide is not a pollutant. It is a trace gas necessary for life on earth.)
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To: Dawnsblood
B-b-b-but the war is lost! The surge is a failure!

/reidpelosi
15 posted on 05/27/2008 4:09:18 PM PDT by Uncle Ivan (Thompson Conservative)
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To: AdmSmith; Cap Huff; Coop; Dog; Ernest_at_the_Beach; ganeshpuri89; Boot Hill; Snapple; ...

“Now this is not the end. It is not even the beginning of the end. but it is, perhaps, the end of the beginning.”


16 posted on 05/27/2008 4:10:59 PM PDT by Straight Vermonter (Posting from deep behind the Maple Curtain)
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To: RobFromGa
call the Battle of Iraq what you will, but it sure caused a lot of homicidal jihadists to crawl out of their caves and holes and die for their cause...

I think you have done Patton proud. (I think it was Patton who said, "Don't be eager to die for your country. Help those SOB's die for theirs."

-I'm sure I butchered the quote and may have even gotten the origin wrong. But the sentiments are still of my favorites.

17 posted on 05/27/2008 4:12:20 PM PDT by Tenacious 1 (We have the ability to shape & polish turds, make em smell nice & sell them as public services)
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To: RobFromGa
call the Battle of Iraq what you will, but it sure caused a lot of homicidal jihadists to crawl out of their caves and holes and die for their cause...

People from Morocco to the Philippines should be thanking Bush and the US military for it.

18 posted on 05/27/2008 4:15:55 PM PDT by Straight Vermonter (Posting from deep behind the Maple Curtain)
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To: Dawnsblood

Al-Qaida admits they got the Shi’ite pounded out of them. So Dems, are we still in a quagmire?


19 posted on 05/27/2008 4:18:50 PM PDT by G8 Diplomat
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To: Dawnsblood; NormsRevenge; elhombrelibre; Allegra; SandRat; tobyhill; G8 Diplomat; Dog; Cap Huff; ...
MSM (LA TIMES has this article) ...FR Thread:

Iraqis losing patience with militiamen ( Sadr's Mahdi Army militia has provided services but...)

20 posted on 05/27/2008 4:26:26 PM PDT by Ernest_at_the_Beach (No Burkas for my Grandaughters!)
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To: Brilliant
We chose the battleground

You nailed it - The times and places of our choosing -

21 posted on 05/27/2008 4:28:35 PM PDT by SevenMinusOne
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach

Bump!


22 posted on 05/27/2008 4:29:38 PM PDT by pissant (THE Conservative party: www.falconparty.com)
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To: USMCPOP; debm29palms; USMCWriter; Jarhead2844; 1stbn27; 2111USMC; 2nd Bn, 11th Mar; 68 grunt; ...

Good thread, good posts.


23 posted on 05/27/2008 4:34:36 PM PDT by freema (Proud Marine Niece, Daughter, Wife, Friend, Sister, Cousin, Mom and FRiend)
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To: Tenacious 1
"..No bastard ever won a war by dying for his country. He won it by making the other poor dumb bastard die for his country.." - Colorful language left in for historical accuracy.

But the main thing is, the flypaper theory worked.

24 posted on 05/27/2008 4:38:44 PM PDT by labette ( Doctor of Thinkology)
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To: Dawnsblood

bump


25 posted on 05/27/2008 4:42:25 PM PDT by Skooz (Any nation that would elect Hillary Clinton as its president has forfeited its right to exist.)
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To: freema; Dawnsblood

Attention Murtha, Pelosi, Reid and the rest of the defeatist RATS, read it and weep!


26 posted on 05/27/2008 4:44:42 PM PDT by jazusamo (DefendOurMarines.org | DefendOurTroops.org)
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To: freema
When al Qaeda could not, in 2007, exercise any real control over the parts of Iraq they claimed as part of the new Islamic State, it was the last straw. The key supporters, battered by increasingly effective American and Iraqi attacks, dropped their support for al Qaeda, and the terrorist organization got stomped to bits by the "surge offensive" of last year. The final insult was delivered by the former Iraqi Sunni Arab allies, who quickly switched sides, and sometimes even worked with the Americans (more so than the Shia dominated Iraqi security forces) to hunt down and kill al Qaeda operators.

This is why I love being on your ping list, freema ~ it's just so...cheerful ;~)

27 posted on 05/27/2008 4:50:10 PM PDT by 4woodenboats (defendourtroops.org defendourmarines.org freeevanvela.com)
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To: Straight Vermonter; ChessExpert; Dawnsblood
I’m not going to say that the execution of this war was perfect. But if one knows the tiniest smidgen about military history, one knows that a “perfect war” is an absurdly high standard. As wars go, this one has been tremendously effective.

Thanks very much for the ping, SV.

The greatest success in the history of the armed forces of The United States of America with the help of coalition partners and Iraqi citizens.

Thanks for posting, Dawnsblood. Iraqi freedom BUMP!

28 posted on 05/27/2008 4:59:59 PM PDT by PGalt
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To: ChessExpert

Good points. It seems as though almost (almost) no-one has any sensible perspective on this. The average U.S. citizen who is not “connected” to the military has hardly felt the “load” of this war - a far different situation than, say, WWII.


29 posted on 05/27/2008 5:01:01 PM PDT by Paul R. (Today is not the day for combative taglines! So, I changed it!)
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To: Dawnsblood

I’m sure Olberman will start his show with this information and admit he’s been wrong all along. /sarcasm


30 posted on 05/27/2008 5:02:36 PM PDT by rdl6989
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To: Straight Vermonter

thanks for the ping - great article


31 posted on 05/27/2008 5:03:20 PM PDT by rockthecasbah (He has sounded forth the trumpet that shall never call retreat.)
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To: Straight Vermonter; Dawnsblood
Thanks for the ping.

Another related article ...FR Thread :

McCain Takes Obama to School on Iraq

32 posted on 05/27/2008 5:09:23 PM PDT by Ernest_at_the_Beach (No Burkas for my Grandaughters!)
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To: jazusamo

33 posted on 05/27/2008 5:11:17 PM PDT by freema (Proud Marine Niece, Daughter, Wife, Friend, Sister, Cousin, Mom and FRiend)
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To: 4woodenboats

That’s me...little Mary Sunshine : )


34 posted on 05/27/2008 5:12:09 PM PDT by freema (Proud Marine Niece, Daughter, Wife, Friend, Sister, Cousin, Mom and FRiend)
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach

Of course their mental gymnastics most probably will not lead to a change in their basic goals. The clash of civilizations shall continue for a long time most probably. Islam will continue to be a major problem on this globe. Hopefully Iraq shall throw off the yoke of it’s oppressive nature, and join the twentieth century. It is a real start.


35 posted on 05/27/2008 5:38:14 PM PDT by Marine_Uncle (Duncan Hunter was our best choice...)
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To: Dawnsblood

THANK YOU Gen. David H. Petraeus, commanding general of the 101st Airborne Division and ALL of our oustanding military forces!


36 posted on 05/27/2008 5:46:11 PM PDT by Randy Larsen (Arrogance IS my virtue!)
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To: Marine_Uncle

I agree. If Islam even made it up to the 18th century the world would be better off.


37 posted on 05/27/2008 5:55:59 PM PDT by Hamilcar_Barca (RINO's Of The World Unite!)
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To: freema
A little problem we as well as they have is they have no alternatives other then fighting for some ill conceived notion they are doing the bidding of some statue saved from damaged some fifteen hundred years back. Their taught a one way ticket to hell and have little option within their mind set to change their way of thinking. Many of them have so little to live for anyway. That is at the core of the problem. Islam and the cultures they live in prevent them from going the way of free thinkers. They are locked into a mode that prevents them from seeking the truths of their origins and how badly they where manipulated by recent historical events (WWII then lead by the nose by Russia) for the most part.
So thought I welcome this type reporting, I would hold my judgement as to the final outcome. I would venture many of these clowns would love to take part in joining some team that would set off an atomic bomb in some US city for instance.
38 posted on 05/27/2008 5:59:03 PM PDT by Marine_Uncle (Duncan Hunter was our best choice...)
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To: Hamilcar_Barca
But then we must examine how screwed up they became as the Nazi then the Russians took over and spurred their long held beliefs into a new frenzy.
At any rate. I have to hit the rack. Work comes early. Do have a great upcoming day.
39 posted on 05/27/2008 6:03:44 PM PDT by Marine_Uncle (Duncan Hunter was our best choice...)
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To: Marine_Uncle

Very well stated, as always.


40 posted on 05/27/2008 6:26:40 PM PDT by freema (Proud Marine Niece, Daughter, Wife, Friend, Sister, Cousin, Mom and FRiend)
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To: Dawnsblood

This should go directly to Reid. But, of course, he’d never read it.


41 posted on 05/27/2008 6:28:33 PM PDT by Exit148 (Founder of the Loose Change Club. Every nickle and dime counts!!)
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To: freema

re: “arrested, exiled, or hanged”

Why can’t they be arrested, exiled, AND then hanged? :^)

It would be wonderful to hang some of our domestic traitors after taking them over to Europe, just to get the left (there and here) bleating more frantically....... public hangings in Trafalgar Square and at L’Arc de Triomphe....

[I know, I know, can’t be done, too bad, missed opportunities to deal with traitors properly.......]


42 posted on 05/27/2008 6:30:42 PM PDT by Enchante (Barack Chamberlain: My 1930s Appeasement Policy Goes Well With My 1960s Socialist Policies!)
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To: Enchante

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/chat/2022219/posts?page=6#6

: )


43 posted on 05/27/2008 6:32:03 PM PDT by freema (Proud Marine Niece, Daughter, Wife, Friend, Sister, Cousin, Mom and FRiend)
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To: jveritas

Pinging jveritas!

Some good news in Arabic . . .

Here’s the quote from the article:

“If you can read Arabic, you can easily find these pro-terrorism sites, and see for yourself how al Qaeda is trying to explain its own destruction to its remaining supporters. While it’s common to assume the Information War has been going against the West, this was not the case when you checked with what was going on inside the enemy camp.”


44 posted on 05/27/2008 6:40:20 PM PDT by Forgiven_Sinner (For God so loved the world, that He gave His only Son that whosoever believes in Him should not die)
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To: Forgiven_Sinner
Thanks for the ping. Indeed there are multiple threads on terrorist forums where the terrorists are admitting defeat in Iraq directly on indirectly. One thread I read last on Ekhlaas terrorist forum said that the terrorists left Mosul, their last refuge in Iraq, as a tactical planning and that they (the terrorists) are looking for new refuges.

Al Qaeda in Iraq has been utterly defeated.

God bless our brave troops and President Bush.

45 posted on 05/27/2008 7:03:01 PM PDT by jveritas (God bless our brave troops and President Bush)
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To: Brilliant

Exactly.


46 posted on 05/27/2008 7:07:53 PM PDT by visualops (artlife.us . nature photography desktop wallpapers)
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To: Dawnsblood

This is great news. The first part of the War on Terror is now going our way. Hopefully, it will continue. Gen.Petraeus deserves as much credit as Eisenhower.


47 posted on 05/27/2008 7:33:31 PM PDT by AFPhys ((.Praying for President Bush, our troops, their families, and all my American neighbors..))
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To: Marine_Uncle
This is a bad day for the NY Silmes as well as the Buffalo opinion writers who write an print lie @ every chance.(they are the most angry, miserable ) If this turns out to be a success.
Vested in defeat!
This small group of Angry liberals, Will have the air sucked right out of them. Circulation is falling, The influence of this Buffet led tribe crumbles as does the recent support for their candidates whom they have endorsed
48 posted on 05/27/2008 7:42:33 PM PDT by reefdiver (Had Enough? Drill 4 OIL,)
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To: freema

I would like to see some freeper attorneys conduct a mock trial for treason against numerous big name dems right here on free Republic. Bring the charges against them, project what the testimony might be and sentence them. It would be a piece of fiction, but solidly based on facts. In the sentencing, comparisons could be made between their traitorous acts and those of others who were actually convicted of treason during past wars.


49 posted on 05/27/2008 7:50:21 PM PDT by 2grit
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To: Dawnsblood
The Rebellion Within - An Al Qaeda mastermind questions terrorism.
50 posted on 05/27/2008 8:07:20 PM PDT by neverdem (I'm praying for a Divine Intervention.)
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