I think Electoral-Vote.com is BS.
The presidential election will not even be close in the Electoral College. McCain will win handily. I am not a McCain supporter but this country will not elect the communist who has been endorsed by Fidel Castro and Kim Jong Il, among others of the world’s leading tyrants.
Most Americans don’t understand electoral votes. They vote for the “feeling” they have, as they are so uninformed on issues.
"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelologus
Rasmussen calls it much closer than this.
There are huge variations in polls as well this early in the election season. Newsweek had Obama over McCain by a dozen points this week and Gallup had them in a dead heat 2 points apart.
Why?
Folks really haven’t settled yet. There’s wide variation and it’s showing up in different polls. As you get closer to the election, people will have firmer opinions.
Then there’s the old “total, registered, likely” polling methods to sort out.
....are they using the new Democrat math where only select votes are counted?
This “situation” is propaganda. Remember, our little friends in the democratic propaganda office who called Florida for Gore in 200, hoping it would spur voters to vote Gore before the polls closed? Same went for Ohio in 2004.
This goes for this entire map. Tell a lie enough times and people believe it to be the truth. For me, I will want until the Wednesday after election day.
JoMa
Not sure I buy this...the election is a LONG way off, and even Obama’s supporters who I’ve talked to (as well as my wife) think he’s not doing that well from a “gaffe” standpoint.
Also look here:
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2034883/posts
Having said that, and having never missed an election and consistently voted Republican, the nomination of John McCain will be noted by historians as the death certificate of the Republican Party.
Next November will offer a slightly left-of-center candidate (McCain) and an off-the-charts leftist (Obama). The only chance McCain has of winning is to select a rock-ribbed Conservative for VP, and run as hard to the right as he can. A campaign strategy of “I s*ck less than the other guy” will result in a certain and total disaster.
However, in his ignorance and arrogance, McCain despises Conservatives and thinks they have no where else to go. He ignores the fact that even among his supporters, he is the second, third, fourth or more choice of the vast majority. He really believes he will win with wide support that is only an inch deep.
McCain comes from the era of Naval Aviation that thought of itself as the “tip of the spear” and God's gift to everything. Despite his sons’ service to our country, the concept and importance of “boots on the ground” escapes him.
McCain has not secured the Conservative base of the Republican Party and he treats it with disdain. While some may still turn out to vote for him; none will donate, man call centers, or campaign door to door. On the ground, McCain will be outspent, out maneuvered, and out hustled by orders of magnitude.
The real violence will be to the down ticket candidates on the ballot with him. Regardless of their Conservative bona fides, McCain at the top of the ticket will cost them 10-12% of the votes they would have normally gotten. THAT will turn a lot of easy Republican victories into defeats.
If you doubt my analysis, take the turnout and vote numbers for the Republican primaries (even before McCain was declared the winner) and the corresponding dim primaries in the same states. Even in the deepest Red states, the Republicans ran far behind their dim counterparts.
This election could have been a Conservative blowout. Despite the fact that McCain is the luckiest guy alive since Ringo Starr became a Beatle —given the weak candidates the dims fielded; his candidacy will give us a dim president, 60 dim seats in the senate, and as many as 300 dim seats in the house.
Bunko. I can assure you that McCain will win MO and VA.