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Too large a Democratic advantage in new L.A. Times/Bloomberg poll?
LA Times Blog ^
| June 25, 2008
| Don Frederick
Posted on 06/25/2008 5:40:03 PM PDT by keepitreal
click here to read article
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Sample just a tad bit skewed.
To: keepitreal
2
posted on
06/25/2008 5:40:33 PM PDT
by
yldstrk
(My heros have always been cowboys--Reagan and Bush)
To: Free ThinkerNY; Norman Bates
3
posted on
06/25/2008 5:41:23 PM PDT
by
Perdogg
To: keepitreal
4
posted on
06/25/2008 5:41:53 PM PDT
by
fieldmarshaldj
(~"This is what happens when you find a stranger in the Alps !"~~)
To: keepitreal
Knock me over with a feather!!
Biased, you say?! Go figure!!
/sarc
5
posted on
06/25/2008 5:42:09 PM PDT
by
pillut48
(CJ in TX --Soccer Mom and proud Rush Conservative with no dog in the presidential race now *sigh*)
To: keepitreal
So even though there were 17% more dems used, he only had a 15% lead? LOL thats got to hurt...
6
posted on
06/25/2008 5:45:47 PM PDT
by
icwhatudo
To: keepitreal
“39% Democratic, 22% Republican, 8% something else, 4% refused to say.”
39+22+8+4 = 73%
Am I confused or are we still missing 27%?
To: driftdiver
39+22+8+4 = 73%
Am I confused or are we still missing 27%?
Just another publick skul gradiate doing poools.
To: driftdiver
Am I confused or are we still missing 27%?
No, they gave the wrong answer and were hung up on.
9
posted on
06/25/2008 5:49:08 PM PDT
by
Jet Jaguar
(Who would the terrorists vote for?)
To: keepitreal
Doesn't matter; we understand these things. At this time in a Presidential election cycle the skewed polls should show the Democrat at least 17 percentage points ahead of the Republican.
With Obamasama at only 15 points ahead, that probably means a coming Republican landslide.
The Pincus lady doesn't have a clue.
10
posted on
06/25/2008 5:49:40 PM PDT
by
muawiyah
(We need a "Gastank For America" to win back Congress)
To: driftdiver
” 39% Democratic, 22% Republican, 8% something else, 4% refused to say.
39+22+8+4 = 73%
Am I confused or are we still missing 27%? “
Check Fort Marcy Park.
To: keepitreal
give them credit for at least having the b@lls to report this...
12
posted on
06/25/2008 5:50:35 PM PDT
by
God luvs America
(When the silent majority speaks the earth trembles!)
To: All
Probably 27% Independent.
13
posted on
06/25/2008 5:51:02 PM PDT
by
Owen
To: Owen
Yes. Later in the article it does discuss a 27 percent independent figure.
To: keepitreal
Susan Pinkus: Liberal.
15
posted on
06/25/2008 5:55:46 PM PDT
by
jimbo123
To: keepitreal
The poll was NOT weighted for party identification since party ID is a moving variable... A poll is "NOT weighted" for whatever variable suits the pollsters political leftist leanings. At this point months in advance of election day, polls are "not weighted" in such a way to give Obomba a BIG advantage to make pubs depressed and less likely to contribute, volunteer, etc.
16
posted on
06/25/2008 5:56:18 PM PDT
by
C210N
(The television has mounted the most serious assault on Republicanism since Das Kapital.)
To: keepitreal
17
posted on
06/25/2008 5:58:44 PM PDT
by
jimbo123
To: keepitreal
39% Democratic, 22% Republican, 8% something else, 4% refused to say. LOL
How did this woman get into this field? She seems to be incapable of understanding basic reality.
18
posted on
06/25/2008 6:04:02 PM PDT
by
B Knotts
(Calvin Coolidge Republican)
To: keepitreal
The day the Democratic convention ended in San Francisco in 1984, the Newsweek poll showed Walter Mondale 18 points ahead of President Ronald Reagan. Mondale ended up getting clobbered, 49 states to one.
19
posted on
06/25/2008 6:08:20 PM PDT
by
Nabber
To: keepitreal
Obama holds 12-point lead over McCain, poll finds
Tuesday, June 24, 2008 5:16:46 PM · 39 of 72
HeartlandOfAmerica to The_Republican
I may be mistaken, but if not, the LAT is the paper that tends to oversample Dems in their polls. Besides, who cares about Registered voters 4 months out?
Oil is the key to this election. It keeps going up like this, it'll be $200/barrel at the election and Dems are going to have a lot to answer for.
People shelling out $100 per tank is something they can understand.
Course, why they aren't more po'd at the dems at 140/barrel is beyond me.
Of course it was oversampled. Only an idiot would think otherwise. They've done it before and when one candidate comes out with an overnight 10+ pt lead, its time to ask how the poll was conducted.
20
posted on
06/25/2008 6:09:03 PM PDT
by
HeartlandOfAmerica
(Don't blame me - I voted for Fred and am STILL a FredHead and will write him in!)
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