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TS Hanna, Hurricane Ike & TS Josephine
NOAA/NHC ^ | 3 September 2008 | NOAA/NHC

Posted on 09/03/2008 2:45:49 PM PDT by NautiNurse

Hanna remains a threat to the U.S. Atlantic coast while the storm spent several days stalled and meandering between the Southeast Bahamas, Turks and Caicos, and Hispanola. The islands have been battered with winds and torrential rains.

Ike continues to strengthen, reaching hurricane status Wednesday afternoon. The storm continues to move toward the Bahamas and U.S.

Cleanup efforts continued along the Gulf of Mexico states following Hurricane Gustav. Baton Rouge, LA has widespread wind damage and power outages. New Orleans residents were allowed to return to their homes despite Mayor Nagin's reservations amid power outages. President George Bush arrived in Baton Rouge Wednesday to survey the damage from the storm.

The U.S. death toll for Hurricane Gustav is 16, including evacuation casualties and post-storm tornadoes.

Hanna
Ike Josephine



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Buoy Data: West Atlantic
Florida
SE US
West Atlantic
Florida
Ship reports only
Forecast Models Forecast Models Forecast Models

Additional Resources:

News4Jax Jacksonville FL
TCPalm.com Treasure Coast FL
WTOC Savannah GA
WCIV News Charleston SC
WECT6 Wilmington NC
CBS4 Miami
WSVN Miami/Ft. Lauderdale

Previous Threads:

Tropical Storms Hanna, Ike and Josephine, TD Gustav (Other than that, the tropics are calm)
Hurricane Gustav & Hurricane Hanna
Gustav & Hanna Thread I
Hurricane Gustav
Cat 5 Hurricane Sarah Is Catastrophic for Obama Campaign

Category Wind Speed Barometric Pressure Storm Surge Damage Potential
Tropical
Depression
< 39 mph
< 34 kts
    Minimal
Tropical
Storm
39 - 73 mph
34 - 63 kts
    Minimal
Hurricane 1
(Weak)
74 - 95 mph
64 - 82 kts
28.94" or more
980.02 mb or more
4.0' - 5.0'
1.2 m - 1.5 m
Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2
(Moderate)
96 - 110 mph
83 - 95 kts
28.50" - 28.93"
965.12 mb - 979.68 mb
6.0' - 8.0'
1.8 m - 2.4 m
Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3
(Strong)
111 - 130 mph
96 - 112 kts
27.91" - 28.49"
945.14 mb - 964.78 mb
9.0' - 12.0'
2.7 m - 3.7 m
Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4
(Very strong)
131 - 155 mph
113 - 135 kts
27.17" - 27.90"
920.08 mb - 944.80 mb
13.0' - 18.0'
3.9 m - 5.5 m
Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5
(Devastating)
Greater than 155 mph
Greater than 135 kts
Less than 27.17"
Less than 920.08 mb
Greater than 18.0'
Greater than 5.5m
Catastrophic building failures possible


TOPICS: Front Page News; US: Florida
KEYWORDS: florida; hanna; hurricanes; ike; josephine; tropical; weather
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The conga line of tropical cyclones continues...
1 posted on 09/03/2008 2:45:49 PM PDT by NautiNurse
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To: NautiNurse

I don’t like Ike.


2 posted on 09/03/2008 2:48:15 PM PDT by dfwgator (After Saturday, the Miami Hurricanes will be downgraded to a tropical depression)
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To: NautiNurse

Ike looks like really bad news.


3 posted on 09/03/2008 2:48:37 PM PDT by dirtboy
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To: NautiNurse

Thanks for the Post.

Jeeze, any chance we are gonna run out of names?

2008 Hurricane Names

Arthur
Bertha
Cristobal
Dolly
Edouard
Fay
Gustav
Hanna
Ike
Josephine
Kyle
Laura
Marco
Nana
Omar
Paloma
Rene
Sally
Teddy
Vicky
Wilfred


4 posted on 09/03/2008 2:49:10 PM PDT by BGHater (Democracy is the road to socialism.)
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To: dfwgator

Ike looks like it wants to visit the entire Bahama chain. I’m sure they would rather not have that tourist.


5 posted on 09/03/2008 2:49:37 PM PDT by dirtboy
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To: dirtboy
Ike looks like really bad news.

Everyone in the town of Tina is very worried.

6 posted on 09/03/2008 2:51:21 PM PDT by trumandogz
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To: NautiNurse
Thank you for all your work on these threads!

I often lurk, but this is the first time it has been of personal interest in awhile, since my parents live on a tidal island in coastal GA - just above St Simons Island.

Thanks to Hannah's dithering in circles in the lower Bahamas, it looks like she's predicted to miss the folks by the majority of the models -- (how historically accurate is the NGPS model? It's the outlier right now -- but it sends Hannah right over my parents' house!)

7 posted on 09/03/2008 2:51:36 PM PDT by AnAmericanMother (Ministrix of ye Chasse - TTGC Ladies' Auxiliary (recess appointment))
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To: dirtboy

Yep, looks like Miami-Ft Lauderdale are definately going to be “in play” with Ike.


8 posted on 09/03/2008 2:51:38 PM PDT by dfwgator (After Saturday, the Miami Hurricanes will be downgraded to a tropical depression)
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To: 88keys; Matchett-PI; mcmuffin; 3D-JOY; WorkerbeeCitizen; shove_it; drj; Sax; Normal4me; ...

Brevard County, Florida ... ping to the new thread.

Let me know if you want on or off this list.
(not associated with the county government - NVA is a NGO!)
9 posted on 09/03/2008 2:52:42 PM PDT by NonValueAdded (don't worry, they only want to take water out of the other guy's side of the bucket.)
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To: BGHater; NautiNurse

“Teddy” is gonna be a soaked, sodden and bloated storm....mark my words. Water everywhere and lots of sunken vehicles.


10 posted on 09/03/2008 2:54:15 PM PDT by ErnBatavia (...forward this to your 10 very best friends....)
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To: abb; abbi_normal_2; aberaussie; alancarp; Alas Babylon!; Alia; Alice in Wonderland; ...
Hanna moving N at 12 mph, winds 60 mph 987 mb. Hurricane
Warning issued for northwestern Bahamas.

Hurricane Ike winds 80 mph, 984 mb, moving WNW at 18 mph.
Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 290 miles from
the center, mainly to the north.

Josephine weakened due to shear. Winds 60 mph, 997 mb,
moving W at 13 mph.

New thread.


On/Off Hurricane List Mash Here-->

11 posted on 09/03/2008 2:56:35 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Sarah Barracuda!)
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To: NautiNurse

Larry, Moe, Curly...


12 posted on 09/03/2008 2:57:09 PM PDT by xcamel (Conservatives start smart, and get rich, liberals start rich, and get stupid.)
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To: BGHater

I predict hurricane Teddy to be HUGH windy SERIES blow that leaves us underwater. Teddy will knock down bridges and damage many autos especially Oldsmobiles. It will probably stay around and pester us for ages.


13 posted on 09/03/2008 3:06:08 PM PDT by GOYAKLA (My Tee shirt for 2009-2012:" I voted FRED don't you wish you did")
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To: NautiNurse

Wind Shear is a good thing

thanks for the update NN


14 posted on 09/03/2008 3:09:28 PM PDT by Rightly Biased (Courage is not the lack of fear it is acting in spite of it<><)
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To: NautiNurse

I’ve resigned myself to my dock being underwater until NOV.


15 posted on 09/03/2008 3:11:37 PM PDT by Arm_Bears (Wag more; bark less.)
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To: cll
We got the outer bands of Hanna almost stationary over us. There’s a flash flood warning for most of the island and a special marine advisory for the seas south of us. The storm has been blamed for two deaths here. Two exchange students from Brazil were swept away by a cresting river.

The wx and FEMA people here say we can expect two more days of this, and that we should be ready for the tail of Ike to bring even more rain over the weekend.

But to us in Puerto Rico this is largely an inconvenience. I really feel for the poor people of Haiti.

Thank you for your local report. Hispanola has been pummeled by tropical storms this season.

Please check in and provide updates when you are able. Take care. You are in my prayers.

16 posted on 09/03/2008 3:11:39 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Sarah Barracuda!)
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To: NautiNurse
thanks for all of your good work

.

17 posted on 09/03/2008 3:13:30 PM PDT by Elle Bee
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To: BGHater
any chance we are gonna run out of names?

By this date in 2005 storm names had reached Maria. 2005 was the year storm names reached Zeta in the Greek alphabet.

18 posted on 09/03/2008 3:17:21 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Sarah Barracuda!)
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To: dfwgator
SE FL is in the ominous five day cone of uncertainty.


19 posted on 09/03/2008 3:21:02 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Sarah Barracuda!)
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To: Elle Bee

I should receive an honorary engineering degree for designing these multi-storm threads.


20 posted on 09/03/2008 3:22:23 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Sarah Barracuda!)
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To: NautiNurse

What people don’t realize is that had the eye of Andrew hit only 10 miles north of where it did, the damage probably would have been triple. And that area has grown tremendously since 1992. A direct hit on Dade/Broward with a Cat 3 or above, would be the ultimate worse case scenario.


21 posted on 09/03/2008 3:26:22 PM PDT by dfwgator (After Saturday, the Miami Hurricanes will be downgraded to a tropical depression)
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To: NautiNurse

TANKS,NN,,,

http://www.rigzone.com/news/article.asp?a_id=66214

“Based on data from offshore operator reports submitted to the MMS as of 11:30 a.m. CST today, personnel have been evacuated from a total of 599 production platforms, equivalent to 83.5 % of the 717 manned platforms in the Gulf of Mexico.

Personnel from 91 rigs have also been evacuated; this is equivalent to 75.2 % of the 121 rigs currently operating in the Gulf.

From the operators’ reports, it is estimated that approximately 95.8 % of the oil production in the Gulf has been

shut-in. Estimated current oil production from the Gulf of Mexico is 1.3 million barrels of oil per day. It is also estimated that approximately 91.6 % of the natural gas production in the Gulf has been shut-in. Estimated current natural gas production from the Gulf of Mexico is 7.4 billion cubic feet of gas per day.”
~~~
And IKE mite be in the Gulf in 6-8 days ?

Looks like it will stay shut down...:0/


22 posted on 09/03/2008 3:36:19 PM PDT by 1COUNTER-MORTER-68 (THROWING ANOTHER BULLET-RIDDLED TV IN THE PILE OUT BACK~~~~~)
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To: NautiNurse
better yet .... a lot of good people appreciate you here

.

23 posted on 09/03/2008 3:37:30 PM PDT by Elle Bee
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To: Elle Bee

That’s much better than an engineering degree. Thanks.


24 posted on 09/03/2008 3:38:50 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Sarah Barracuda!)
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To: 1COUNTER-MORTER-68

Any word whether the workers are returning to the platforms yet? They don’t usually evacuate and return to work with as much fanfare as New Orleans citizens.


25 posted on 09/03/2008 3:40:27 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Sarah Barracuda!)
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To: dfwgator

We’ll hope it doesn’t come to that.


26 posted on 09/03/2008 3:49:27 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Sarah Barracuda!)
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To: NautiNurse
Major Hurricanes That Cause Devastation Are Getting Stronger
27 posted on 09/03/2008 4:04:10 PM PDT by blam
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To: NautiNurse

I haven’t heard a word about any of them going back to work.

Some inspection/repair crews maybe,,,

Production will be out for weeks...


28 posted on 09/03/2008 4:05:47 PM PDT by 1COUNTER-MORTER-68 (THROWING ANOTHER BULLET-RIDDLED TV IN THE PILE OUT BACK~~~~~)
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To: blam
Major Hurricanes That Cause Devastation Are Getting Stronger

"...and Leon's getting laaaarger!"

29 posted on 09/03/2008 4:06:14 PM PDT by dfwgator (After Saturday, the Miami Hurricanes will be downgraded to a tropical depression)
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To: blam
There is a lot of truth in the last sentence:
They caution, however, that the uncertainty over the
magnitude of the effect is still large, and the study does not
include other influential factors such as cyclone origin and
duration, proximity to land, solar activity and El Nino, which
is a warming of the ocean that occurs every few years.

30 posted on 09/03/2008 4:30:36 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Sarah Barracuda!)
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To: NautiNurse

Tanx for da ping - Ike is all growd up ain’t he?


31 posted on 09/03/2008 5:00:28 PM PDT by WorkerbeeCitizen (Seinfeld was a show about nothing - so is Obama.)
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To: WorkerbeeCitizen

CNN just reported Ike is up to category 3 and projected for 4.


32 posted on 09/03/2008 5:02:11 PM PDT by gondramB (Preach the Gospel at all times, and when necessary, use words.)
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To: abb; abbi_normal_2; aberaussie; alancarp; Alas Babylon!; Alia; Alice in Wonderland; ...
Hurricane Ike has been upgraded to Category 3.

Winds 115, 960 mb. Moving WNW 18 mph.


On/Off Hurricane List Mash Here-->

33 posted on 09/03/2008 5:03:22 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Sarah Barracuda!)
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To: NautiNurse

That was qiuck!


34 posted on 09/03/2008 5:04:17 PM PDT by Islander7 ("Common sense and common decency are uncommon virtues among America's left.")
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To: dfwgator

The construction codes were vastly improved after Andrew. Bracing and siding are required so there are no more stud walls with vinyl siding holding them together. The newer homes should be okay in a three or a four. Owners of older homes have had sixteen years to improve their dwellings.

I hope people were smart enough to prepare for it.


35 posted on 09/03/2008 5:17:23 PM PDT by sig226 (Obama '08 - No, You Can't.)
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To: dirtboy
Ike looks like really bad news

IMHO I don't believe there's enough stored energy(heat) in either the Caribbean nor the Gulf to create to sustain a major hurricane(CAT 4,5). At best all I see Ike as an middling Cat 3 and that's if it gets into the Gulf. Any storm that goes along the Eastern seaboard will weaken quickly before it can do any serious damage.

Just my two cents....
36 posted on 09/03/2008 5:20:36 PM PDT by RedMonqey
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To: NautiNurse; WorkerbeeCitizen

Here comes Trouble...:0/


37 posted on 09/03/2008 5:22:43 PM PDT by 1COUNTER-MORTER-68 (THROWING ANOTHER BULLET-RIDDLED TV IN THE PILE OUT BACK~~~~~)
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To: RedMonqey

If it gets in the western part it might be warmer but there is no room (imo) for all of them.


38 posted on 09/03/2008 5:23:26 PM PDT by CindyDawg
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To: sig226

I’ve been wondering about all of the unfinished high rise buildings, cranes, and other construction equipment in Miami. That said, it is way too early to focus entirely on a So. FL landfall for Ike. Hanna’s track leaves a lot of alternative possibilities for Ike.


39 posted on 09/03/2008 5:27:05 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Sarah Barracuda!)
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To: NautiNurse
NN, I usually don't post large graphics, however, I thought this needed to be seen.

Fox 13 LINK

40 posted on 09/03/2008 5:37:10 PM PDT by DocRock (All they that TAKE the sword shall perish with the sword. Matthew 26:52 Gun grabbers beware.)
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To: NautiNurse

I hope the cranes are braced properly. They stand all the way through West Palm Beach.


41 posted on 09/03/2008 5:44:01 PM PDT by sig226 (Obama '08 - No, You Can't.)
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To: DocRock

Unless Ike makes an unlikely sharp turn out to the North Atlantic, some land masses are going to be in trouble. Four good days to watch and prepare. tick tock...


42 posted on 09/03/2008 5:46:01 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Sarah Barracuda!)
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To: DocRock

Ouch. The Bahamas will barely have time to clean up the mess from Hanna before they get REALLY clobbered, if that track holds.

}:-)4


43 posted on 09/03/2008 5:50:17 PM PDT by Moose4 (http://moosedroppings.wordpress.com -- Because 20 million self-important blogs just aren't enough.)
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To: rodguy911

44 posted on 09/03/2008 5:51:22 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Sarah Barracuda!)
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To: DocRock

Kick the baby!


45 posted on 09/03/2008 5:54:10 PM PDT by TypeZoNegative (" ." - Barack Obama.)
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To: NautiNurse

NN, do you have a track like that for Hanna?

I had about written her off as a threat to our area until I read the latest NHC discussion:

IT’S WORTH NOTING THAT CONNECTING THE 48 AND 72 HOUR FORECAST POINTS WITH A STRAIGHT LINE GIVES A MISLEADING UNDERESTIMATE OF THE THREAT TO THE GEORGIA AND SOUTH CAROLINA COASTS. ONLY A GRADUAL RIGHT TURN IS EXPECTED AFTER 48 HOURS.

I began wondering if maybe I ought to pay attention for just a bit longer? The GFDL is still taking her right over my house, best I can tell...


46 posted on 09/03/2008 6:03:32 PM PDT by Amelia
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To: DocRock

Hmmm... I don’t really like the look of that. But, I’m going to go and finish enjoying my anniversary and worry about it tomorrow!
susie


47 posted on 09/03/2008 6:06:21 PM PDT by brytlea (If you are voting third party, you are definitely voting for Obama!)
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To: CindyDawg

I agreed. If these storms were combines then I would feel a bit more worried. However I think(as a complete non professional) that these storms draw off the energy that might have given one of them power enough to do real damage.


48 posted on 09/03/2008 6:09:34 PM PDT by RedMonqey
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To: DocRock

Let’s put some perspective here. The New Orleans metro area has about 1.1 million people.

The South Florida Metro area has five times that!


49 posted on 09/03/2008 6:23:57 PM PDT by dfwgator (After Saturday, the Miami Hurricanes will be downgraded to a tropical depression)
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To: Amelia

50 posted on 09/03/2008 6:24:27 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Sarah Barracuda!)
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