Skip to comments.TS Hanna, Hurricane Ike & TS Josephine
Posted on 09/03/2008 2:45:49 PM PDT by NautiNurse
Hanna remains a threat to the U.S. Atlantic coast while the storm spent several days stalled and meandering between the Southeast Bahamas, Turks and Caicos, and Hispanola. The islands have been battered with winds and torrential rains.
Ike continues to strengthen, reaching hurricane status Wednesday afternoon. The storm continues to move toward the Bahamas and U.S.
Cleanup efforts continued along the Gulf of Mexico states following Hurricane Gustav. Baton Rouge, LA has widespread wind damage and power outages. New Orleans residents were allowed to return to their homes despite Mayor Nagin's reservations amid power outages. President George Bush arrived in Baton Rouge Wednesday to survey the damage from the storm.
The U.S. death toll for Hurricane Gustav is 16, including evacuation casualties and post-storm tornadoes.
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|Forecast Models||Forecast Models||Forecast Models|
News4Jax Jacksonville FL
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WTOC Savannah GA
WCIV News Charleston SC
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WSVN Miami/Ft. Lauderdale
Tropical Storms Hanna, Ike and Josephine, TD Gustav (Other than that, the tropics are calm)
Hurricane Gustav & Hurricane Hanna
Gustav & Hanna Thread I
Cat 5 Hurricane Sarah Is Catastrophic for Obama Campaign
|Category||Wind Speed||Barometric Pressure||Storm Surge||Damage Potential|
|< 39 mph
< 34 kts
|39 - 73 mph
34 - 63 kts
|74 - 95 mph
64 - 82 kts
|28.94" or more
980.02 mb or more
|4.0' - 5.0'
1.2 m - 1.5 m
|Minimal damage to vegetation|
|96 - 110 mph
83 - 95 kts
|28.50" - 28.93"
965.12 mb - 979.68 mb
|6.0' - 8.0'
1.8 m - 2.4 m
|Moderate damage to houses|
|111 - 130 mph
96 - 112 kts
|27.91" - 28.49"
945.14 mb - 964.78 mb
|9.0' - 12.0'
2.7 m - 3.7 m
|Extensive damage to small buildings|
|131 - 155 mph
113 - 135 kts
|27.17" - 27.90"
920.08 mb - 944.80 mb
|13.0' - 18.0'
3.9 m - 5.5 m
|Extreme structural damage|
|Greater than 155 mph
Greater than 135 kts
|Less than 27.17"
Less than 920.08 mb
|Greater than 18.0'
Greater than 5.5m
|Catastrophic building failures possible|
I don’t like Ike.
Ike looks like really bad news.
Thanks for the Post.
Jeeze, any chance we are gonna run out of names?
2008 Hurricane Names
Ike looks like it wants to visit the entire Bahama chain. I’m sure they would rather not have that tourist.
Everyone in the town of Tina is very worried.
I often lurk, but this is the first time it has been of personal interest in awhile, since my parents live on a tidal island in coastal GA - just above St Simons Island.
Thanks to Hannah's dithering in circles in the lower Bahamas, it looks like she's predicted to miss the folks by the majority of the models -- (how historically accurate is the NGPS model? It's the outlier right now -- but it sends Hannah right over my parents' house!)
Yep, looks like Miami-Ft Lauderdale are definately going to be “in play” with Ike.
“Teddy” is gonna be a soaked, sodden and bloated storm....mark my words. Water everywhere and lots of sunken vehicles.
Hurricane Ike winds 80 mph, 984 mb, moving WNW at 18 mph.
Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 290 miles from
the center, mainly to the north.
Josephine weakened due to shear. Winds 60 mph, 997 mb,
moving W at 13 mph.
Larry, Moe, Curly...
I predict hurricane Teddy to be HUGH windy SERIES blow that leaves us underwater. Teddy will knock down bridges and damage many autos especially Oldsmobiles. It will probably stay around and pester us for ages.
Wind Shear is a good thing
thanks for the update NN
I’ve resigned myself to my dock being underwater until NOV.
The wx and FEMA people here say we can expect two more days of this, and that we should be ready for the tail of Ike to bring even more rain over the weekend.
But to us in Puerto Rico this is largely an inconvenience. I really feel for the poor people of Haiti.
Thank you for your local report. Hispanola has been pummeled by tropical storms this season.
Please check in and provide updates when you are able. Take care. You are in my prayers.
By this date in 2005 storm names had reached Maria. 2005 was the year storm names reached Zeta in the Greek alphabet.
I should receive an honorary engineering degree for designing these multi-storm threads.
What people don’t realize is that had the eye of Andrew hit only 10 miles north of where it did, the damage probably would have been triple. And that area has grown tremendously since 1992. A direct hit on Dade/Broward with a Cat 3 or above, would be the ultimate worse case scenario.
“Based on data from offshore operator reports submitted to the MMS as of 11:30 a.m. CST today, personnel have been evacuated from a total of 599 production platforms, equivalent to 83.5 % of the 717 manned platforms in the Gulf of Mexico.
Personnel from 91 rigs have also been evacuated; this is equivalent to 75.2 % of the 121 rigs currently operating in the Gulf.
From the operators’ reports, it is estimated that approximately 95.8 % of the oil production in the Gulf has been
shut-in. Estimated current oil production from the Gulf of Mexico is 1.3 million barrels of oil per day. It is also estimated that approximately 91.6 % of the natural gas production in the Gulf has been shut-in. Estimated current natural gas production from the Gulf of Mexico is 7.4 billion cubic feet of gas per day.”
And IKE mite be in the Gulf in 6-8 days ?
Looks like it will stay shut down...:0/
That’s much better than an engineering degree. Thanks.
Any word whether the workers are returning to the platforms yet? They don’t usually evacuate and return to work with as much fanfare as New Orleans citizens.
We’ll hope it doesn’t come to that.
I haven’t heard a word about any of them going back to work.
Some inspection/repair crews maybe,,,
Production will be out for weeks...
"...and Leon's getting laaaarger!"
They caution, however, that the uncertainty over the
magnitude of the effect is still large, and the study does not
include other influential factors such as cyclone origin and
duration, proximity to land, solar activity and El Nino, which
is a warming of the ocean that occurs every few years.
Tanx for da ping - Ike is all growd up ain’t he?
CNN just reported Ike is up to category 3 and projected for 4.
Winds 115, 960 mb. Moving WNW 18 mph.
That was qiuck!
The construction codes were vastly improved after Andrew. Bracing and siding are required so there are no more stud walls with vinyl siding holding them together. The newer homes should be okay in a three or a four. Owners of older homes have had sixteen years to improve their dwellings.
I hope people were smart enough to prepare for it.
Here comes Trouble...:0/
If it gets in the western part it might be warmer but there is no room (imo) for all of them.
I’ve been wondering about all of the unfinished high rise buildings, cranes, and other construction equipment in Miami. That said, it is way too early to focus entirely on a So. FL landfall for Ike. Hanna’s track leaves a lot of alternative possibilities for Ike.
I hope the cranes are braced properly. They stand all the way through West Palm Beach.
Unless Ike makes an unlikely sharp turn out to the North Atlantic, some land masses are going to be in trouble. Four good days to watch and prepare. tick tock...
Ouch. The Bahamas will barely have time to clean up the mess from Hanna before they get REALLY clobbered, if that track holds.
Kick the baby!
NN, do you have a track like that for Hanna?
I had about written her off as a threat to our area until I read the latest NHC discussion:
IT’S WORTH NOTING THAT CONNECTING THE 48 AND 72 HOUR FORECAST POINTS WITH A STRAIGHT LINE GIVES A MISLEADING UNDERESTIMATE OF THE THREAT TO THE GEORGIA AND SOUTH CAROLINA COASTS. ONLY A GRADUAL RIGHT TURN IS EXPECTED AFTER 48 HOURS.
I began wondering if maybe I ought to pay attention for just a bit longer? The GFDL is still taking her right over my house, best I can tell...
Hmmm... I don’t really like the look of that. But, I’m going to go and finish enjoying my anniversary and worry about it tomorrow!
I agreed. If these storms were combines then I would feel a bit more worried. However I think(as a complete non professional) that these storms draw off the energy that might have given one of them power enough to do real damage.
Let’s put some perspective here. The New Orleans metro area has about 1.1 million people.
The South Florida Metro area has five times that!
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