While there is merit to what you say, I think we are well positioned for a win. A 2-point spread 47 days out means nothing. Obama is going to find it very difficult to win Pennsylvania, for starters. He was soundly crushed in the dem primary, demonstrating severe weakness througout the state, and his “bitter” remarks are going to haunt him.
Thanks for the reply and I sure hope those remarks go remembered in PA come election day. Hopefully the McCain camp will help voters remember them well...
As for when a 2 point spread means something, though, I’m not so sure. Yes, it could switch at any moment. But did not GWB enjoy about a 1 or 2 point spread over Kerry from post-conventions through election day?
Certainly Carter enjoyed a lead over Reagan in 80 until near the end. So that certainly plays to your point.
I freely admit that my mood follows the polls. But unlike most other freepers I see that historically the polls are pretty doggone accurate.