Posted on 09/21/2008 9:17:41 AM PDT by epluribus_2
Poll: McCain has slight lead in Ohio over Obama By The Associated Press – 1 hour ago
THE POLL: The Ohio Newspaper Poll, presidential race, likely Ohio voters (20 electoral votes).
THE NUMBERS: John McCain 48 percent, Barack Obama 42 percent.
OF INTEREST: Almost half of Ohio voters, or 47 percent, say they are worse off than four years ago. About one-third, 34 percent, said they were the same, while 19 percent said they were better off. The candidates have lined up support within their own party, with 85 percent of Republicans saying they would vote for McCain and 81 percent of Democrats in favor of Obama. Obama has the edge among independent voters, 38 percent to 33 percent for McCain, with 19 percent still undecided.
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(Excerpt) Read more at ap.google.com ...
Toledo’s paper and the Cincy paper both did separate polls this last week with McCain up four or five in each. So I think we can almost put OH in the win column. I’m more concerned at this point about CO.
No. McCain will win OH. It might be close, but I’m almost having no doubts any more. The “battleground” state to watch is CO, with VA a close second.
On election night, if PA is called for McCain, then I would consider the election over.
In this case they are accurate because the MOE is just over 3%, so the lead is within the MOE.
That said, you are right that they pick and choose when to be accurate.
I live in a state where it won’t matter, BUT at least the state goes with what I’d prefer.
BTW, you realize of course that even IF PA is "going" to McCain, the drive-bys will delay this call until absolutely the last minute because it will completely swing some of the other states.
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