Posted on 09/29/2008 2:42:03 PM PDT by Chet 99
Central FL Moves to McCain, But Men & Southeast FL Move to Obama, Putting 27 Electoral Votes Into Play, 21 Days Till Voting Begins: In an election for President of the United States in Florida today, 09/29/08, three weeks till early voting begins, Democrat Barack Obama and Republican John McCain tie, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted for WFLA-TV Tampa, WFOR-TV Miami, WKRG-TV Mobile-Pensacola, and WFTX-TV Cape Coral. McCain gets 48% today, Obama 47%, an outcome within the survey's margin of sampling error. McCain's nominal 1-point advantage may or may not have statistical significance; the contest should be reported as even. Compared to an identical SurveyUSA poll released 09/18/08, McCain has lost 11 points among Florida men. McCain had led by 10 among men, now trails by 1. Obama is up in Southeast Florida, which includes Miami and Fort Lauderdale, where Obama had led by 12, but now leads by 22. McCain is up in Central Florida, which includes Orlando, where McCain and Obama had been tied, but McCain now leads by 14. In Southwest Florida, which includes Tampa, McCain had let by 14, now leads by 4. There was important movement among college grads, where McCain had led by 10, now trails by 4; among lower-income voters, where Obama had led by 3, now leads by 10; and among voters older than John McCain, where McCain had led by 24, now leads by 8. SurveyUSA's interactive tracking graphs, a SurveyUSA exclusive, allow you to track the votes of every demographic group.
Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 775 Florida adults 09/27/08 and 09/28/08. Interviews were conducted immediately after the first presidential debate, held 09/26/08 in Mississippi.
(Excerpt) Read more at surveyusa.com ...
Not too bad considering the past week..
“Adults”?
Real bad considering it is Florida, a state where McCain should be up by six.
Real bad considering it is Florida, a state where McCain should be up by six.
Do not trust SUSA as far as you can throw them.
They are skewing these things bad now.
McCain was up 5 in a SurveyUSA FL poll from two weeks ago, and he’s since had a horrible horrible two weeks. Again, not too bad when considered in the framework of how bad things have been the past two weeks.
See beautiful Flrorida our 57th state.
It’s hard to win an election when the news media is a propaganda machine for your opponent.
I call crap on this poll..McCain down by 1 among men?!!!!
Ok you FReeper math wizzes out there, time again to rework the poll to the proper percentage of R/D breakdown. I love it!
LOL, the polls are uselss this year. If McCain trails by 1 among ment then he is winning the womans vote by two.
This is absolute nonsense.
Yeah. Another bogus worthless poll. Not even registered voters on this one but “adults”. Push poll.
The news this past week is brutal. BRUTAL. McCain screwed up one debate by letting Obama off the hook on ACORN and Fannie Mae. Now is he going to force Palin to kowtow to his stupid bi-partisan approach on economics? Take the gloves off McCain!
Who has the internals? Post them.
Well they used the exact same Sampling Methodology for this survey as they did the one conducted on 9/14/08 that showed McCail up by 10 points among men. Compared to an identical SurveyUSA poll released 09/18/08, McCain has lost 11 points among Florida men. McCain had led by 10 among men, now trails by 1. Obama is up in Southeast Florida, which includes Miami and Fort Lauderdale, where Obama had led by 12, but now leads by 22.
So, why is it that you only question the sampling methodology when the results show McCain losing ground but apparently do not question the EXACT SAME sampling methodology when it shows McCain gaining ground?
ADULTS!
If McCain and Barry are essentially tied in a poll like this, you can be sure that McCain is ahead by at least 6%.
ADULTS!
If McCain and Barry are essentially tied in a poll like this, you can be sure that McCain is ahead by at least 6%.
This is how I know that Rasmussen is way off this year, because his poll matches this crap poll.
SUSA is one of the worst until a few days before the election. Then they get in line.
This still does not tell us what the internals are. If what you are saying is correct, it could simply mean that McCain was up even higher in the earlier poll.
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