Doing a little bit of digging, we have obtained the internals of the September 15 Princeton Survey Research poll (in which Coleman led by four points) and today's Princeton Survey Research poll. The September 15 poll had a party identification breakdown between Democrats and Republicans of 34-31. In today's poll the party identification breakdown between Democrats and Republicans is 42-26. (Michael Brodkorb has posted a Coleman campaign memo with the Princeton Survey Research internals here.) The shift in the breakdown of the sample tracks the difference in the results reported and raises the question whether Minnesotans have shifted party identification by 13 points in the past three weeks or whether the current poll sample is invalid.
This is propaganda mind games, psychological warfare if you will. If this poll shows Obama up by this much that means that he's really down by at least 4.
I just got what I consider credible info that McCain campaign internal polling shows California in play and that's why Palin is there this weekend. Interesting, if true. You need to study and understand the "Bradley Effect." It's not that people lie to polsters about voting for Obama because they're racists. It's because they're convinced that they'll be called racists if they don't say that they're voting for Obama.
Again, if true, this could be a Reaganesque landslide for McCain/Palin. That could also be followed by racist violence to make 1968 look mild.
There was a recent report that McCain opened 50 new offices in California.
Wow, that is really amazing. I wanted to throw out there a small thing, that maybe is a big thing. Today, I talked to a woman I know that voted for Hillary in the Primary. She is voting for McCain. She wanted Hill's Health Care Plan. She hates McCain's take on health care. She thinks Sarah is unqualified.
Here is the kicker: She thinks The O is more unqualified than Sarah. She wishes that The O would have waited until next time....
Interesting...
MOgirl
Maybe -- I heard the 527s are running ads in LA county against Obama -- but really? that sounds far-fetched. I think Palin was S. CA because they wanted a large crowd on short notice for media coverage and she is doing fundraisers there as well.