Posted on 10/13/2008 5:48:43 PM PDT by BillyM
Good Poll News for McCain
The highly accurate IBD/TIPP poll has started today with its daily tracking of likely voters. Just off the press: Obama 45; McCain 43; and 13 percent unsure.
(Excerpt) Read more at hillaryclintonforum.net ...
math might not be my strong point.....but how does 43 trump 45? Although it’s heartening to see it this close again.
Profuse apologies. That should have been titled ‘McCain closes gap’.
Pffft. Fight as though we’re -25.
apparently, they aren’t weighting the polls to show a 10% turnout increase by democrats over republicans.
God Bless the PUMAs.
New math?
Under the old math 45 was greater than 43, even in percentages.
How is McCain leading when he’s two points behind?
This is still good to see, even though Schmidt had to say, “We’re about 6 points back.”
Why a campaign would give a specific number is beyond me.
I wish people would get their facts and numbers straight. Dead heat is not a 4 and 5 point gap. Being a couple of points down is not being in the lead!!!!!! GRRRRRRRRRRRRRR
Eunichs: McCain 30%, Obama 70%
Questionable: McCain 40%, Obama 60%
Men: McCain 52%, Obama 48%
Real Men: McCain 86%, Obama 14%
Someone needs to change the title to ‘McCain closes gap.’
Nothing is inevitable here! Keep working hard; when there is a week or so left I say ban all negative post. Keep working hard, keep pressing on. Don’t give up, don’t give up. Stand up and fight! Sarah is fighting and McCain is starting to come on.
Bless the PUMAs. I trust IBD more then the other polls. IBD is very good with financial market data, statistics etc.
13% unsure will nearly all go to McCain....bradley effect plus extra risk of bambi.
The lead in what? He’s behind in the presidential poll results you posted.
I would also like to venture a further theory on polling.
It does seem like there is a stubborn percentage of undecideds this year.
It ought to be down around 6% now and it is close to double that.
I think given the full court press for Obama, this suggests a couple of favorable things:
1. These people will probably break strongly for mccain and palin.
2. People are refusing to answer these polls in higher numbers. Some reasons might include:
a. general hatred of pollsters
b. pumas afraid of coming clean on their treachery
c. people afraid of being accused of racism voting for mccain
These are all fairly good reasons in my estimation for undecideds to break for McCain.
Actual title of the article is “McCain Takes Lead by -2%”.
Bush 48.6
Kerry 45.3
Difference basically right, but both under actual total.
The polls are not exact numbers. If you’re with 4 or 5 points the election can go either way. Also, typically the the MOE is 3 or 4 points
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