Keyword: tossups

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  • Gallup Poll to Show Romney, Obama Tied Among Likely Voters

    10/08/2012 5:09:57 PM PDT · by profit_guy · 13 replies
    Big Bird's Home ^ | October 8, 2012 at 6:55 PM EDT | Katelyn Polantz
    In previous Gallup daily polling including on Monday, Obama has held a 5 percentage-point lead among registered voters. But the Gallup poll to come Tuesday will report results from a smaller pool among those voters, those who are likely to vote. That change in the poll's method will "wipe out" the president's lead, Page said. "Republicans are more energized and more likely to actually go and vote," she added.
  • Message to the GOP: Maine is not lost!

    08/21/2012 6:07:25 AM PDT · by Perdogg · 30 replies
    Here’s a message to the GOP from Vacationland: Maine is not lost!
  • Rasmussen Toss-Up EC Map

    07/12/2012 3:59:42 PM PDT · by Republic Rocker · 17 replies
    Rasmussen ^ | July 12 2012 | Rasmussen
    Has anyone noticed that Rasmussen has Romney winning or ahead in the 7 Toss Up States? If you scroll over each of the states it looks like a uphill battle for Obama. http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/archive/2012_electoral_college_scoreboard
  • Real Clear Politics: CA senate race moved to "toss up"

    10/31/2010 9:09:22 AM PDT · by GOPinCa · 89 replies
    Real Clear Politics just moved the California senate race from 'leans Democrat' to 'toss up.' Please help GOTV for Carly Fiorina. We can win this!!
  • Illinois Governor's Race: Both Parties' Primaries Too Close To Call

    01/27/2010 3:56:22 PM PST · by JSDude1 · 15 replies · 396+ views
    CQ Politics (Congressional Quarterly Online). ^ | January 27, 2010 12:47 PM | CQ Staff
    Two new polls show the Democratic and Republican primaries for governor of Illinois are both too close to predict ...Looking at the Republican Party's gubernatorial primary, PPP surveyed 573 likely GOP voters, with an error margin of 4.1 points, and Rasmussen surveyed 527 likely primary voters, and said its result had an error margin of 4.5 points. Both companies found a fractured field. PPP's results: Dillard, 19 percent; McKenna, 17 percent; Brady, 16 percent; Ryan, 13 percent; Andrzejewski, 11; Proft, 7 percnet; and Schillerstrom, 1 percent. Rasmussen's results: McKenna, 20 percent; Ryan, 16 percent; Dillard, 13; Andrzejewski and Brady, both...
  • Massachusetts 'tossup' threatens Obama agenda

    01/15/2010 6:31:38 AM PST · by truthandlife · 23 replies · 1,158+ views
    Washington Times ^ | 1-15-10 | S.A. Miller
    The close Senate contest in usually reliably blue Massachusetts - a race that could prove crucial to the fate of President Obama's agenda - got tighter and uglier Thursday as the Democratic Party fought to hold on to the seat of the late Sen. Edward M. Kennedy. Republican Scott Brown, who has tapped into widespread anger over health care reforms and the economy, surged to within two percentage points of Democrat Martha Coakley in the latest polling. The Rothenberg Political Report and the Cook Political Report, the two leading political handicapping services, shifted the race to the "tossup" category -...
  • Rothenberg, Cook: 'Toss Up' in Massachusetts (Rothenberg Political Reports and Cook Report)

    01/14/2010 7:11:41 PM PST · by SeekAndFind · 4 replies · 412+ views
    National Review ^ | 01/14/2010 | Robert Costa
    Rothenberg Political Reports has moved the Masachussets race from "Narrow Advantage for Incumbent Party" to "Toss-Up." More at the Bay State Report. Now Cook is calling this race a toss up (h/t Washington Independent): The Cook Political Report, calling it “one of the toughest [calls] we’ve had in a long time,” joins the Rothenberg Political report in calling the Coakley-Brown race a “toss-up. The modern electoral history of federal statewide races in Massachusetts argues strongly that while state Attorney General Martha Coakley, the Democratic nominee, could have a close race, at the end of the day it’s unlikely that she...
  • New Poll Has Coakley, Brown in Dead Heat for Senate Seat

    01/09/2010 8:51:04 PM PST · by smokingfrog · 33 replies · 1,449+ views
    Fox News ^ | Jan 9, 2010 | Major Garrett
    The race to replace Ted Kennedy in the U.S. Senate is looking like a toss up, with Republican Scott Brown up 48-47 on Martha Coakley. Brown is benefiting from depressed Democratic interest in the election and a huge lead among independents for his surprisingly strong standing. Those folks planning to vote in the special election are actually opposed to Obama’s health care plan by a 47/41 margin and only narrowly express approval of the President’s overall job performance 44/43. “The Massachusetts Senate race is shaping up as a potential disaster for Democrats,” said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling.
  • Toss up in Massachusetts

    01/09/2010 4:20:42 PM PST · by Jet Jaguar · 15 replies · 921+ views
    PPP ^ | JANUARY 9, 2010 | TOM JENSEN
    The Massachusetts Senate race is now a toss up. Buoyed by a huge advantage with independents and relative disinterest from Democratic voters in the state, Republican Scott Brown leads Martha Coakley 48-47. Here are the major factors leading to this surprising state of affairs: -As was the case in the Gubernatorial elections in New Jersey and Virginia last year, it looks like the electorate in Massachusetts will be considerably more conservative than the one that showed up in 2008. Obama took the state by 26 points then, but those planning to vote next week only report having voted for him...
  • Politico Allen's Idea Of 'Real Toss-up': Hoffman Ahead By 17%

    11/02/2009 4:27:23 AM PST · by governsleastgovernsbest · 39 replies · 2,252+ views
    NewsBusters ^ | Mark Finkelstein
    When you're an MSMer, you're an MSMer all the way--even when faced with facts that might make you like, well, ridiculous . . . Mike Allen, appearing on Morning Joe, has declared the NY-23rd race a "real toss-up" despite a new poll from a respected organization showing Doug Hoffman with a 17-point lead. The claim by Allen, Politico's chief political correspondent's, was so absurd that, on the spot, host Joe Scarborough offered 3:1 odds to Allen and anyone else wanting to place a few kopeks on Dem Bill Owens. View video here.
  • Siena poll: NY-23 race too close to call (Owens 36, Hoffman 35)

    10/31/2009 7:38:14 AM PDT · by Behind Liberal Lines · 55 replies · 2,852+ views
    Post Standard, Syracuse NY ^ | 10/31/09 | By Mark Weiner
    Washington – The campaign for the 23rd Congressional District seat has turned into a two-person race that is too close to call only days before the election, according to an independent poll released today. Democrat Bill Owens (36 percent) and Conservative Doug Hoffman (35 percent) have emerged as the frontrunners, the Siena College poll of likely voters found. At the same time, Republican Dede Scozzafava – the early frontrunner – has seen her support sink to 20 percent of likely voters, the Siena Research Institute poll found. Scozzafava, a state Assemblywoman and the only candidate in the race with political...
  • RealClearPolitics Has Officially lowered Obama's EV and Has Now Moved Virginia into TossUp

    11/02/2008 8:50:54 PM PST · by DrHannibalLecter · 31 replies · 2,008+ views
    follow link.
  • Tight Race In VA

    11/02/2008 1:54:02 PM PST · by careyb · 15 replies · 570+ views
    RIchmond Times-Dispatch ^ | 11/2/08 | Jeff Schapiro
    The presidential contest in Virginia is heading toward a photo finish. The final Richmond Times-Dispatch Poll of the campaign shows Sen. Barack Obama at 47 percent and Sen. John McCain at 44 percent. Nine percent are undecided -- an unusually large slice of the electorate. The profile of undecided voters suggests that some are potentially opposed to Obama. Because Obama's advantage over McCain is within the poll's margin of error -- plus or minus 4 percentage points -- the contest in Virginia can be considered about even.
  • Chuck Todd: If McCain Wins All Toss-Ups He Still Loses (Video)

    11/02/2008 12:42:04 PM PST · by DrHannibalLecter · 48 replies · 2,107+ views
    there's been rumors that this assHat will probably be the fulltime replacement for tim russert. btw, what do you think of his "projections" i'll stick with barnes
  • New Poll Shows Tight Race for President in Virginia (FReep this Digg!!!)

    11/02/2008 8:41:24 AM PST · by GodGunsGuts · 9 replies · 870+ views
    McCain just might just pull an electoral rabbit out of the hat in Virginia! FReep this Digg!!! It's easy, sign up at Digg, vote for this article by clicking the Digg icon (thus keeping the libtards from voting it down/burring it), and then post article after article and video after video on Digg exposing ObamaNation from now until until election day! Everytime a Digger signs into Digg, they should be greeted by the truth! Now let's get busy!! FReep the Vote!!!
  • Datamar Survey: Florida a dead heat

    11/02/2008 8:18:25 AM PST · by Redmen4ever · 6 replies · 806+ views
    Datamar ^ | 10/31/08 | Karl Furlong
    A statewide poll of Florida voters for the Presidential General Election released today by Datamar Inc., shows that U.S. Senators Barack Obama and John McCain are in a tie.
  • Richmond Times-Dispatch poll shows tight race for president in Va. O-47 M-44

    11/02/2008 8:29:00 AM PST · by flyfree · 34 replies · 1,074+ views
    The presidential contest in Virginia is heading toward a photo finish. The final Richmond Times-Dispatch Poll of the campaign shows Sen. Barack Obama at 47 percent and Sen. John McCain at 44 percent. Nine percent are undecided — an unusually large slice of the electorate. The profile of undecided voters suggests that some are potentially opposed to Obama. Because Obama’s advantage over McCain is within the poll’s margin of error — plus or minus 4 percentage points — the contest in Virginia can be considered about even.
  • Down to the Wire, Va. Still Too Close to Call, Poll Shows (Looks Good for McCain)

    11/02/2008 7:18:33 AM PST · by Dubya-M-DeesWent2SyriaStupid! · 103 replies · 3,467+ views
    The Virginian-Pilot ^ | November 2, 2008 | Dale Eisman
    Down to the wire, Va. still too close to call, poll showsThe survey of 625 likely voters in Virginia found 47 percent supported Obama, 44 percent preferred McCain and 9 percent were undecided. The margin of error is plus or minus 4 percentage points. Swing state Should Virginia vote Democratic, Barack Obama probably will win the White House. But should McCain hold the state, the result could portend a McCain comeback nationally. The earliest signs of who will be the next president might spring from Virginia and how undecided white voters such as John Morris and Sidney Blankenbeckler cast their...
  • Mason-Dixon Poll has Obama at less than 50 percent in every single battleground state

    Denver Post/Mason-Dixon 10/28 - 10/29 625 LV 4.0 49 44
  • With 48 hours to Tuesday, Florida still too close to call

    11/02/2008 7:30:31 AM PST · by Clintonfatigued · 15 replies · 692+ views
    The Orlando Sentinal ^ | November 1, 2008 | Jim Stratton
    With 48 hours until Election Day and candidates swarming the state like mosquitoes, a new Orlando Sentinel poll suggests that the race for president in Florida remains too close to call. The poll, by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, shows Sen. Barack Obama leading Sen. John McCain 47 percent to 45 percent, well within the poll's 4-point margin of error. With the race essentially tied going into the last lap, Florida's 27 electoral votes remain the biggest battleground prize for either candidate.
  • Mason-Dixon: Florida still too close to call (047, M45, U7: 84% of the 'undecided' are white)

    11/01/2008 11:30:53 PM PDT · by Chet 99 · 22 replies · 1,178+ views
    With 48 hours until Election Day and candidates swarming the state like mosquitoes, a new Orlando Sentinel poll suggests that the race for president in Florida remains too close to call. The poll, by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, shows Sen. Barack Obama leading Sen. John McCain 47 percent to 45 percent, well within the poll's 4-point margin of error. With the race essentially tied going into the last lap, Florida's 27 electoral votes remain the biggest battleground prize for either candidate. If Obama wins here, he is virtually assured the presidency. If McCain loses, his candidacy is all but dead....
  • Panic Attack at Daily Kos Over Stunning New Gallup Poll With Obama Lead at Only 2 Points

    10/28/2008 1:39:56 PM PDT · by PJ-Comix · 116 replies · 6,415+ views
    NewsBusters ^ | October 28, 2008 | P.J. Gladnick
    Your humble correspondent had figured the polls would start to narrow in the final week of the campaign but this stunning new Gallup poll shows the lead in the Presidential race narrowing much more rapidly than he had assumed. The latest Gallup poll of traditional likely voters shows the race has narrowed down to 49 percent for Barack Obama and 47 percent for John McCain. Here is Gallup's explanation of this poll: Gallup's "traditional" likely voter model, which Gallup has employed for past elections, factors in prior voting behavior as well as current voting intention. This has generally shown a...
  • Survey USA Poll: Minnesota's 6th a dead heat

    10/24/2008 4:08:26 PM PDT · by Clintonfatigued · 35 replies · 1,091+ views
    Survey USA ^ | October 24, 2008
    Survey USA has a new poll out that takes a look at the race in Minnesota's 6th Congressional District. The poll shows the race is a statistical dead heat when you factor in the Margin of Error. 47% of those polled back DFL challenger Elwyn Tinklenberg. 44% support GOP Rep. Michele Bachmann. 6% support I-P candidate Bob Anderson. 2% are undecided. The MOE is +/-4%. This is the first poll taken since Bachmann made her controversial comments on MSNBC's Hardball last Friday. It won't be the only poll on the race. MPR will release a poll on the 6th District...
  • Poll shows dead heat between Obama, McCain in Va., N.C.

    10/23/2008 9:15:04 AM PDT · by Chet 99 · 41 replies · 1,406+ views
    October 23, 2008 A new poll by Winthrop University and South Carolina Educational Television shows a statistical dead heat between Barack Obama and John McCain in Virginia and North Carolina. The poll gathered data from 2,026 likely voters in Virginia, North Carolina and South Carolina between Sept. 28 and Oct. 19. In Virginia 44.6 percent of respondents said they would vote for Obama if the election were held today, while 43.6 percent would vote for McCain. In North Carolina the numbers were almost the same, with 44.6 percent for Obama and 44.2 percent for McCain. In South Carolina McCain was...
  • SurveyUSA Virginia: Obama 51%, McCain 45% (+4% for McCain)

    10/20/2008 12:10:40 PM PDT · by Chet 99 · 68 replies · 2,131+ views
    Real' Virginians Take Another Look At McCain; Contest Tightens 2 Weeks till Votes Are Counted: In an election for President of the United States in Virginia today, 10/20/08, two weeks till votes are counted, Democrat Barack Obama defeats Republican John McCain 51% to 45%, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted for WDBJ-TV Roanoke, WJLA-TV Washington DC, WTVR-TV Richmond, and WJHL-TV Tri-Cities. Compared to an identical SurveyUSA poll two weeks ago, McCain has gained 2 points, Obama has lost 2 points. Obama had led by 10, now by 6. There is movement among men, where Obama had led by 11 but...
  • Rasmussen: McCain 49%, Obama 48% in Florida

    10/20/2008 3:12:43 PM PDT · by Chet 99 · 76 replies · 3,382+ views
    Election 2008: Florida Presidential Election McCain 49%, Obama 48% in Florida Monday, October 20, 2008 Email a Friend Email to a Friend The presidential race in Florida is now essentially even. The latest Fox News/Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in the state finds John McCain ahead of Barack Obama 49% to 48%. Support for the GOP nominee is at the highest level in the past five polls of the state. Last week, Obama held a 51% to 46% lead. He led by seven points in the Fox/Rasmussen poll the week before. The tighter race in Florida is consistent with national polling,...
  • Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby Poll: Obama 47.8%, McCain 45.1% McCain now trails Obama by 2.7 points,

    10/20/2008 12:31:23 AM PDT · by OPS4 · 20 replies · 2,764+ views
    Zogby International ^ | 10/19 | Zogby
    McCain now trails Obama by 2.7 points, down from the 3.9 point deficit he faced 24 hours earlier. Seven-point-one percent of the likely voters surveyed said they remain undecided. Obama lost five-tenths of a point from yesterday's report, while McCain gained another six-tenths of a point. It was the third consecutive day in which Obama's numbers slipped and McCain's numbers increased. McCain has once again moved above 45% support overall, a mark he has not seen since the second day of daily tracking reports. Obama's slip under 48% support is the first time at that level in nearly a week....
  • Poll: Ohio puts John McCain in front

    10/19/2008 10:32:34 PM PDT · by bitt · 141 replies · 6,521+ views
    bostonherald.com ^ | Monday, October 20, 2008 | Mike Underwood
    Pollsters say Democrat Barack Obama is still the national electorate’s White House favorite, but his GOP rival John McCain has the edge in at least one crucial battleground state. McCain leads Obama in Ohio by one point with 46 percent of the vote to Obama’s 45, according to an NBC/Mason-Dixon poll released yesterday. However, national polls show Obama continues to hold the lead over his opponent. Rasmussen Reports has Obama leading by six points, 51 to 45 percent, while a national Gallup poll also has Obama leading by 3 points with 49 percent. Meanwhile, a national Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby poll has Obama...
  • El Paso County [Colorado] key in presidential election

    10/19/2008 1:24:09 PM PDT · by Red Steel · 9 replies · 1,066+ views
    kxrm ^ | October 18, 2008 at 9:50 p.m. | Danielle Leigh
    COLORADO SPRINGS, CO -- The race to secure voters is on for Democratic and Republican volunteers. This year El Paso County could determine which way Colorado swings. Nearly 374,000 people in El Paso County are registered voters, making it the second largest in the state only to Denver County which has just over 400,000 registered voters. Nearly 166,000 in the county are registered Republicans. Only just over 85,000 are registered Democrats. This becoming one of the most discussed presidential elections, and because of that we've seen registered significantly increase across party lines. But here's what's significant in El Paso County....
  • Battleground Tracking Poll: O-49%, M-45% (M +2)

    10/17/2008 6:47:43 AM PDT · by tatown · 72 replies · 3,162+ views
    Real Clear Politics ^ | 10/17 | Battleground
    Obama 49%, McCain 45%. This is a 2-point bump for McCain since yesterday and a 9-point bumb since Tuesday.
  • IBD/TIPP Poll Likely Voter Internals: Dead Heat

    10/16/2008 7:13:05 AM PDT · by bailmeout · 36 replies · 2,332+ views
    Real Clear Politics ^ | 10/15/08 | IBD/TIPP
    3 days of internals for this tracking poll, which was the most accurate poll in 2004.
  • Internal Obama Poll Reports He Is Up By 2 In Pennsylvania

    10/14/2008 2:58:15 PM PDT · by Born Conservative · 196 replies · 7,129+ views
    <p>Steve Corbett, a radio talk show host in Wilkes-Barre/Scranton, received a copy of an internal email sent by Grant Olin (sp?) who heads the Wilkes-Barre headquarters of the Obama campaign. The email went to 627 Obama campaign volunteers in the Wilkes-Barre Scranton region, saying that Obama Headquarters reported an internal poll which shows that Obama is only 2 points up in Pennsylvania.</p>
  • ZOGBY WEDNESDAY: OBAMA 48%, MCCAIN 44%... DEVELOPING...

    10/14/2008 4:37:28 PM PDT · by Chet 99 · 118 replies · 4,722+ views
    ZOGBY WEDNESDAY: OBAMA 48%, MCCAIN 44%... DEVELOPING...
  • Breaking: 4 New Polls Show Race in Dead Heat!

    10/13/2008 6:48:07 AM PDT · by DrHannibalLecter · 95 replies · 3,895+ views
    Breaking: CNN/Gallup/Rasmussen/Zogby Polls Now Show Race Tightening up RASMUSSEN MONDAY: OBAMA 50%, MCCAIN 45%... ZOGBY MONDAY: OBAMA 48%, MCCAIN 44%... Gallup: 50% to 46% (LV) CNN: Ohio Poll of polls: McCain, Obama in tight race
  • McCain closes gap

    10/13/2008 5:48:43 PM PDT · by BillyM · 49 replies · 2,297+ views
    hillaryclintonforum.net ^ | 13/10/2008 | Peppermint Patty
    Good Poll News for McCain The highly accurate IBD/TIPP poll has started today with its daily tracking of likely voters. Just off the press: Obama 45; McCain 43; and 13 percent unsure.
  • IBD/TIPP poll O 45 M 43....has anybody else seen this?

    10/13/2008 1:45:44 PM PDT · by derulz · 64 replies · 3,735+ views
    National Review ^ | 10/13/08 | larry kudlow
    Good news?!
  • Zogby: It's Far From Over

    10/11/2008 1:37:46 PM PDT · by Chet 99 · 8 replies · 1,037+ views
    There is no mistaking that Sen. Barack Obama, thanks in large part to a faltering economy, has made significant gains in the waning days before November's election. But at least one pollster is adamant that the race is far from over. "I don't think Obama has closed the deal yet," John Zogby told the Boston Herald. The latest Zogby tracking poll released Thursday showed Mr. Obama with a four-point lead over John McCain. Mr. Obama receives 48 percent of the vote and Mr. McCain receives 44 percent. The poll points out that Mr. Obama retained his lead over Mr. McCain,...
  • McCain 48, and Obama 46 In The Ohio Newspaper Poll

    10/11/2008 10:37:57 AM PDT · by tatown · 90 replies · 2,014+ views
    Ohio Newspaper ^ | 10/11/2008 | Ohio Newpaper
    DAYTON, Ohio (October 11, 2008)—With 25 days remaining until Election Day, the economic crisis is on the minds of many Ohioans and the presidential race is in a dead heat in Ohio—McCain with 48 percent to Obama’s 46 percent, according to the second of three in-depth Ohio Newspaper Polls during this election season. Comparing the first Ohio Newspaper Poll released in mid-September to these latest figures, the new statistics illustrate how Obama is closing the gap between himself and McCain. However, 16 percent of Ohioans still remain undecided or say they “might change” their minds before Election Day, November 4....
  • Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby Poll: Obama 48%, McCain 45%

    10/07/2008 9:23:25 AM PDT · by Chet 99 · 36 replies · 1,402+ views
    Released: October 07, 2008 Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby Poll: Obama 48%, McCain 45% as Presidential Race Enters Final Month The three-day telephone tracking poll shows neither candidate with a clear advantage in the national horserace UTICA, New York - The race for President of the United States remains far too close to call between Democrat Barack Obama and Republican John McCain as the contest enters its last four weeks, and with a pair of crucial debates immediately ahead, the first report of the fall Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby daily tracking telephone polls shows. Data from this poll is available here The survey, including a three-day...
  • New Polls Show Tight McCain-Obama Race in Indiana

    10/07/2008 9:25:56 AM PDT · by conservativegramma · 77 replies · 2,603+ views
    Associated Press ^ | 10/7/2008 | AP
    New Polls Show Tight McCain-Obama Race in Indiana By the Associated Press 10/7/2008 Two new polls show a tight race in Indiana between Democrat Barack Obama and Republican John McCain just weeks before the Nov. 4 election. A WISH-TV Indiana poll found Obama and McCain each supported by 46 percent of likely voters, with 5 percent undecided and 3 percent saying they favored another candidate.
  • Democracy Corps Poll (James Carville's poll): Obama 48%, McCain 45%

    10/06/2008 10:31:23 AM PDT · by Chet 99 · 48 replies · 1,805+ views
    Democracy Corps Poll (James Carville's poll): Obama 48%, McCain 45% You know things are getting weird when the best polling news comes from James Carville!
  • CBS Poll: Presidential Race Tightens (Obama 48%, McCain 45% LV)

    10/06/2008 3:51:28 PM PDT · by Chet 99 · 165 replies · 4,541+ views
    CBS Poll: Presidential Race Tightens Democrat Barack Obama Retaining Small Lead Over McCain More Than Half Of Americans Polled Disapprove Of Bailout NEW YORK (CBS) ― In a sign that the race for president has returned to about where it was before the first presidential debate, the Obama-Biden ticket leads the McCain-Palin ticket 47 percent to 43 percent among registered voters in a new CBS News poll. The Obama-Biden ticket led by a wider margin, nine percentage points, in a CBS News poll released last Wednesday, before Joe Biden and Sarah Palin faced off in the vice presidential debate. Obama-Biden...
  • Obama Leads McCain in New Va. Poll(Skewed Suffolk Poll; See Internals)

    10/06/2008 3:27:27 PM PDT · by Red Steel · 18 replies · 835+ views
    WaPo ^ | October 6, 2008 | Tim Craig
    A new poll by Suffolk University shows Sen. Barack Obama (D-Ill.) with a double-digit lead over GOP nominee John McCain in Virginia. Obama draws 51 percent to McCain's 39 percent, although the poll's sample skews heavily toward the Democrats, which may be inflating Obama's margin. "Barack Obama has built a coalition of suburban DC area progressives from the north, African-American voters from the south, and young voters statewide," said David Paleologos, director of the Political Research Center at Suffolk University in Boston. "That broad-based support suggests a 44-year Republican run in the Old Dominion State, dating back to Lyndon Johnson's...
  • Battleground daily tracking (M-46 O-49); McCain up two from yesterday

    10/03/2008 7:16:52 AM PDT · by Ravi · 91 replies · 2,314+ views
    Battleground ^ | 10/3/08 | Battleground
    Election
  • SurveyUSA poll: Coleman with double-digit lead;(McCain 47-46)

    10/03/2008 9:37:27 AM PDT · by 11th_VA · 34 replies · 1,486+ views
    Minnesota Independent ^ | 10/3/08 9:41 AM | By Paul Demko
    After months of showing the U.S. Senate race as a statistical dead heat, the latest SurveyUSA poll finds Norm Coleman with a solid 10-point lead. The incumbent draws support from 43 percent of respondents, with Democrat Al Franken trailing at 33 percent. Perhaps most notable, however, is the strong showing of Independence Party candidate Dean Barkley. Despite his late entry into the race and raising almost no money, Barkley garners support from 19 percent of those polled. Assessments of the IP candidate’s strength have varied widely in recent weeks. A pair of polls last month showed him in double digits,...
  • Tied Governor's race: Gregoire and Rossi

    10/03/2008 3:11:16 PM PDT · by richardb72 · 20 replies · 719+ views
    rasmussenreports ^ | Friday, October 03, 2008 | RasmussenReport
    The race for Washington’s next Governor is now a tie. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in the state finds incumbent Christine Gregoire and challenger Dino Rossi each attracting 48% of the vote. Gregoire is viewed favorably by 51% and unfavorably by 47%. Her job performance is rated 43% good or excellent from voters, while 35% say she is doing a poor job. Former State Senator Rossi’s ratings are 50% favorable, 48% unfavorable. This year’s race has been anything but steady. Last month, Rossi pulled ahead of the governor, 52% to 46%, after trailing behind by four percentage points in...
  • Zogby Poll: Obama Narrowly Won First Debate, But Race Remains Too Close to Call

    09/28/2008 7:31:04 PM PDT · by lquist1 · 31 replies · 1,301+ views
    Zogby International ^ | 09-27-2008 | John Zogby
    Likely voters give the Democrat a slight nod on his debate performance and in his overall handling of the current financial crisis Utica, New York – Likely voters nationwide who watched Friday’s debate in Mississippi between Democrat Barack Obama and Republican John McCain gave Obama the win by the slightest of margins, a new Zogby Interactive survey shows. The poll shows that 44% believed Obama won the debate, while 41% said McCain did. Another 16% said they watched the debate but were unsure who came out on top...
  • McCain in very good shape electorally(History vs. Polls)

    09/27/2008 11:11:34 AM PDT · by Brices Crossroads · 91 replies · 3,034+ views
    09/27/2008 | Vanity
    I wrote the following post in response to some handwringing by people who think that the polls, particularly the sate polls, are portending an Obama presidency. I think it is good to have a little historical perspective. Unfortunately, we Americans have short attention spans, and this extends to our knowledge of recent electoral history, which is a far better predictor of electoral behavior than even election day polls (Didn't 2004 teach us anything?!) As the Gipper would say, let me take all the nervous nellies on a little walk down memory lane: In response to those who feel the election...
  • Ohio Now a Toss-up

    09/25/2008 5:12:15 PM PDT · by Clintonfatigued · 32 replies · 1,283+ views
    Rasmussen Reports ^ | September 25, 2008
    The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in Ohio finds John McCain with 47% of the vote while Barack Obama picks up 46%. That’s a slippage of three percentage points for McCain since Sunday night. In four previous surveys conducted over the past month, McCain has held an advantage ranging from three to seven points. Similar trends have been found nationally as the recent economic crisis has unfolded: Support for McCain has declined while Obama’s totals remain steady.
  • Franklin and Marshall College Poll Mccain 45 Obama 43

    09/24/2008 8:58:21 PM PDT · by Hones · 33 replies · 343+ views
    WASHINGTON -- The U.S. presidential race is a statistical dead heat, with Republican John McCain leading Democrat Barack Obama by two percentage points, according to a poll taken in mid-September. The Franklin and Marshall College Poll showed McCain was supported by 45 percent of respondents, compared to Obama's 43 percent. The poll's margin of error was plus or minus 2.7 percent. The survey was taken before President George W. Bush's request for $700 billion to bail out the financial industry