Posted on 10/20/2008 4:57:02 PM PDT by Clintonfatigued
Suffolk University presidential poll of 600 likely Missouri voters (11 electoral votes).
THE NUMBERS: John McCain 45 percent, Barack Obama 44 percent.
OF INTEREST: Of the Obama supporters, 14 percent said a factor in their position was a desire to vote against President Bush, while 6 percent said their vote was against McCain. About 21 percent of McCain's supporters said a factor in their stance was the desire to vote against Obama, while 4 percent said it was a vote for vice presidential nominee Sarah Palin.
DETAILS: The poll was conducted Oct. 16-19. It involved telephone interviews with 600 likely voters in Missouri, with a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 4 percentage points.
(Excerpt) Read more at ap.google.com ...
Whether this is due to being more accurate than the other state polls or whether it’s the result of McCain regaining lost ground, it’s cause to cheer. I’m thinking it’s a little bit of both.
Whatever else it means it means one thing quite clearly. Obama can’t close the deal and if hasn’t closed it by now I don’t think he can. I know that may be a stupid thing to say given his leads in Virginia and Nationally but there you have it anyway.
Which means McCain is up 5 to 10 points. One reason is poll weight skewing. The other is the Bradley effect or the “I won’t answer polls” effect.
I have had several calls from pollsters. I refuse to answer because (a) it is none of their business and (b) if Obama does get in, I don’t want a record of my voting against him because his brownshirts might retaliate. No, I won’t restrict my rights out of fear, but I also will not put myself at jeopardy just to help out pollster who I basically don’t like.
We seem to be seeing a stabilization of the polls as the financial crisis recedes.
I believe the financial crisis mainly hurt Mccain among the elderly who are disproportionately invested in the stock market compared to the rest of the population and where mcCain found his strongest support before.
Now that volatility is down and it seems that markets are recovering at a normal pace with the worst is over, this should allow McCain to retake some ground.
I am still astounded by his silence on blaming this mess on the democrats. For some reason, Obama who helped cause this mess through acorn and unconditional support for fannie mae and freddie mac comes out the better for it. It pisses me off.
Correction. I do answer, but when I find out it is a pollster, I say, “Sorry, I’m busy, good luck” and hang up.
Man, I hate VA.
2 weeks to go and I'm guessing Powell was the last trump card — pulled earlier than they would've liked for fear of McCain's momentum over the weekend.
Time left. Plenty of time left.
Gotta love the AP. A one point lead for McCain is “about even”, whereas a one point lead for Obama is “ahead”.
“We seem to be seeing a stabilization of the polls as the financial crisis recedes.”
You’re probably right.
Do any of the surrounding states wish to buy the city of St. Louis or Kansas City? I will throw in Webster Groves and Kirkwood for free.
Obama can’t close the deal...look at the Dem primaries...Hillary carried all of the big blue states and won even though the polls said Obama was ahead.
At first I was concerned, then I saw this was from SUCK-FOLK university. File it under Joke.
John McCain 45 percent, Barack Obama 44 percent.
Governor Blunt and Bill O’Pilley tout the state as a bellwether. I think not, it is now more GOP than the nation at large.
Ohio and Nevada are your best bellwether bets this year.
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