Posted on 10/20/2008 10:06:19 PM PDT by tatown
Released: October 21, 2008
Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby Poll: Obama 50.3%, McCain 42.4%
Obama posts another big day; eats into McCain's base
UTICA, New York - Democrat Barack Obama posted his second consecutive strong day of polling and pulled well ahead of Republican John McCain with two weeks to go before Election Day, the latest Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby daily tracking poll shows. Data from this poll is available here
Obama improved his numbers by 0.5 points over yesterday, topping 50% outright for the first time in the tracking survey of likely voters nationwide, but the notable movement was McCain's drop of two full points, settling at 42.4% in the three-day tracking poll. Obama leads McCain by 15 points among independent voters (50% to 35%), and is also winning 12% of the Republican vote, all the while retaining a firm grip on his Democratic base, winning 87% support from members of his own party.
McCain wins 84% of the Republican vote.
Obama leads by 21 points among those who have already voted, and also maintains a large lead among those who have registered to vote just in the last six months. He leads by two points among men and by 13 among women. He also leads in all but one age demographic - those aged 55-69 - where McCain has a scant one-point edge.
The three-day rolling average poll includes 1,214 likely voters nationwide, surveyed at the rate of 400 interviews per day and was conducted Oct. 18-20, 2008. It carries a margin of error of +/- 2.9 percentage points. Interviews were conducted using live telephone operators in Zogby's in-house call center in Upstate New York.
Racist Powell bump in the polls for Obomba?
I guess so.
I think (but cannot prove) that Zogsauce changed his party weighting. Let’s see what the reputable polls have to say tomorrow.
Hard to believe
Well according to Zogby this has to be the dam breaking.
Yawn.
I can’t imagine that Zogby is seeing ‘real’ movement, but who knows...
Obama has had a pretty bad news day with that Biden gaffe.
weekend
Zogsauce.
Two days ago, Zogby was “seeing” the race moving to McCain with “red flags” for Obama. This is such nonsense.
Obama has had a pretty bad news day with that Biden gaffe.
Yeah but it will be hailed by the media tomorrow as ‘Obama running away’ with the election. Even if the number is fake, it will serve it’s purpose.
This is so damn frustrating.
Yes, very hard to believe. Everytime it seems momentum is going our way, the Messiah pushes back... I can’t believe Powell had much to do w/ it or the 100,000 supposed group in STL.
Internal weightings in this poll would be interesting to look at, but leading in all age groups, except seniors, plus trailing only slightly w/ men is not a good sign. Hopefully, just a blip on the radar, but we are running out of time.
I also was not encouraged by that ABC News/WAPO poll out earlier today. It showed some improvement, but the internals and demos and issues were not good.
Oh well, fight on and hope tomorrow will be better.
Watch them all spiral toward Obama+10 now.
The ABC poll was junk and the oversampling of dems proved it.
He (Obama) leads by two points among men and by 13 among women. He also leads in all but one age demographic - those aged 55-69 - where McCain has a scant one-point edge.
.
.
.
.
.
McCain will not lose the male vote.
Period.
I also doubt McCain’s lead of those over 55 is only ONE POINT.
So, do you think we are being played by the pollsters or has McCain’s momentum truly stopped?
Earlier today Gallup moved pretty strongly towards Obama. I also don’t like the overall movement the IBD/TIPP poll has shown for the entire week. Maybe Rasmussen shows a tightening tomorrow, but if it does not, then it looks like Powell may have moved some people, at least temporarily.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.