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There is no mistaking that Sen. Barack Obama, thanks in large part to a faltering economy, has made significant gains in the waning days before November's election. But at least one pollster is adamant that the race is far from over. "I don't think Obama has closed the deal yet," John Zogby told the Boston Herald. The latest Zogby tracking poll released Thursday showed Mr. Obama with a four-point lead over John McCain. Mr. Obama receives 48 percent of the vote and Mr. McCain receives 44 percent. The poll points out that Mr. Obama retained his lead over Mr. McCain,...

Zogby: It's 48 Obama, 44 McCain Saturday, October 11, 2008 11:25 AM The latest Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby poll of likely voters nationwide shows Democrat Barack Obama enjoys a small lead over Republican John McCain, with little change coming in the last day of a three-day tracking poll of the race. With the Dow Jones Industrial Average taking more than a 1,000-point swing Friday and Congress adjourned until after Election Day, likely voters were little moved one way or the other, the poll shows. About 9% remain undecided with 24 days until the election. The rolling telephone tracking poll, including a sample of...

Released: October 11, 2008 Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby Poll: Obama 48%, McCain 44% Race essentially unchanged in the three-day rolling average as the week of economic meltdown closed out with both candidates calling for calm UTICA, New York –  The latest Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby poll of likely voters nationwide shows Democrat Barack Obama enjoys a small lead over Republican John McCain, with little change coming in the last day of a three-day tracking poll of the race. With the Dow Jones Industrial Average taking more than a 1,000-point swing Friday and Congress adjourned until after Election Day, likely voters were little moved one way or...

Released: October 10, 2008 Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby Poll: Obama 48%, McCain 43% The telephone tracking poll of likely voters nationwide shows Democrat Barack Obama with a slowly growing advantage UTICA, New York - The latest Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby poll of likely voters nationwide shows Democrat Barack Obama enjoys a small but growing lead over Republican John McCain, as the candidates work to cope with an daunting economic meltdown that continues to deteriorate worldwide, and voters try to figure out just what is going on and who is more to blame. Data from this poll is available here The rolling telephone tracking poll, including a...

Why Obama Can’t Close the Deal By: Christopher Ruddy John Zogby’s poll numbers, in my opinion, are the best in the business. The latest tracking poll just before Tuesday’s debate shows McCain trailing Obama by a mere two points. This is simply HUGE. A collapsing economy, an unpopular war, a 72-year-old Republican candidate with tepid support from his own party’s base — and Obama is only ahead by two points weeks before Election Day! This means several things to me. First, McCain can still win this. Then, Obama is a deeply flawed candidate that Americans have grave reservations about. As...

Released: October 09, 2008 Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby Poll: Obama 48%, McCain 44% The telephone tracking poll shows Democrat Barack Obama with a growing advantage, but neither candidate holds a clear advantage UTICA, New York –  The latest Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby poll of likely voters nationwide shows Democrat Barack Obama enjoys a small but growing lead over Republican John McCain, as the fallout from the second presidential debate and the economic crisis work their way into the political bloodstream. The rolling telephone tracking poll, including a three-day sample of 1,203 likely voters collected over the previous three days – approximately 400 per day Oct. 6-8,...

NASHVILLE, Tennessee (Reuters) - Democratic presidential candidate Barack Obama has a slim 2-point lead on Republican rival John McCain in a tight White House race, according to a Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby poll released on Wednesday. Obama led McCain by 47 percent to 45 percent in the national poll, within the margin of error of 2.8 percentage points. Obama led by 3 points in Tuesday's poll. Four percent of voters said they were still undecided. The daily tracking poll, which will sample public opinion until the November 4 election, showed Obama leading among two crucial swing voting blocs. He has a 9-point advantage...

The presidential race is still too close to call and could come down to the very last weekend before voters decide if they like or distrust Barack Obama, a national pollster predicts. “I don’t think Obama has closed the deal yet,” pollster John Zogby told the Herald yesterday. Zogby’s latest poll, released yesterday in conjunction with C-Span and Reuters, shows Obama and John McCain in a statistical dead heat, with the Illinois Democrat up 48-45 percent. Zogby said the race mirrors the 1980 election, when voters didn’t embrace Ronald Reagan over then-President Jimmy Carter until just days before the election....

Released: October 08, 2008 Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby Poll: Obama 47%, McCain 45% The telephone tracking poll shows neither candidate with a clear advantage in the national horserace UTICA, New York - The race for President of the United States remains far too close to call between Democrat Barack Obama and Republican John McCain as both candidates head toward the finish line, a recent Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby daily tracking telephone polls shows. Data from this poll is available here The survey, including a three-day sample of 1,220 likely voters collected over the previous three days - approximately 400 per day from Oct. 5-7, 2008...

NASHVILLE, Tennessee (Reuters) - Democrat Barack Obama has a narrow 3-point lead in the U.S. presidential race on Republican John McCain less than a month before the election, according to a Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby poll released on Tuesday. Obama leads McCain among likely U.S. voters 48 percent to 45 percent in the national poll, which has a margin of error of 2.8 percentage points. Four percent of voters said they were still undecided. The survey, the first in a series of daily tracking polls that will sample public opinion until the November 4 election, showed Obama with an advantage among the crucial...

Was just listening to Zogby and Rasmussen on Hannity, and Zogby seems to think that the race remains quite fluid. He compares it to 2000 & 2004. Over the next 4-weeks he expects the lead to flip back & forth as it has done over the past 4-weeks. Ramussen was much more dire in that he seems to think that unless a big, external event happens the race is unlikely to fall back to 'within the margin of error'. It's too bad that Sean didn't quiz him on his weighting...

Zogby: Obama Leads McCain by 4 Points Sunday, October 5, 2008 11:24 AM UTICA, New York - Democrat Joe Biden won the Vice Presidential debate in St. Louis on Thursday, and his ticket, headed by Barack Obama, enjoys a four-point lead over Republicans John McCain and Sarah Palin, the newest Zogby Interactive poll shows. The survey, initiated after the conclusion of the debate between Biden and Palin, shows that 50% thought Biden won the debate, while 41% said they think Palin won. However, like the first Presidential debate between Obama and McCain, just 4% said they changed their minds about...

Obama/Biden 47.1% McCain/Palin 45.9%

Zogby Poll: Obama Narrowly Won First Debate, But Race Remains Too Close to Call Likely voters give the Democrat a slight nod on his debate performance and in his overall handling of the current financial crisis Utica, New York – Likely voters nationwide who watched Friday’s debate in Mississippi between Democrat Barack Obama and Republican John McCain gave Obama the win by the slightest of margins, a new Zogby Interactive survey shows. The poll shows that 44% believed Obama won the debate, while 41% said McCain did. Another 16% said they watched the debate but were unsure who came out...

The Zogby results are shocking – especially compared to the entire U.S. population (now about 303,116,000). The numbers below are for households, not individuals. • 1.6 million U.S. households already decided to move offshore and are headed in that direction. • Another 1.8 million households are seriously considering moving and are likely to do it. Many have taken preliminary steps. • 7.7 million households are “somewhat seriously” considering moving and “may” do it. • Nearly 3 million households are seriously considering buying a vacation home or other property outside the United States. Another 10 million are “somewhat” seriously considering it....

One of the country's top pollsters was in Rochester on Thursday and suggested that the November presidential election will end in an electoral landslide, even though the candidates are running close. "Essentially the election is at equilibrium," said John Zogby, president of Zogby International. "This election will stay close until the end." Zogby said he thinks the race will turn in the last weekend before Election Day and though the popular vote will be tight, the successful candidate will win in a landslide. He likened this year's election to the contest in 1980, when Ronald Reagan defeated President Jimmy Carter....

Maybe Zogby was just out giving a lunch speech to a bunch of numbers geeks and his mouth got ahead of him, but it looks like he thinks this thing may already be over. You be the judge. Forget the fickle presidential polls - it’s the Electoral College that’s going to produce a landslide victory Nov. 4, a noted pollster predicts. John Zogby, president of Zogby International, told a coffee and number-crunching crowd in Rochester, N.Y., that one of the presidential candidates will walk away with a mountain of votes. Which candidate is he talking about? Sounds like Obama, with...

The very latest poll numbers from John Zogby put John McCain squarely ahead of Barack Obama at 46 percent to 44 percent, respectively. McCain moved from three percentage points behind Obama to two points ahead of the democratic candidate in less than a week. One possible reason for the boost — McCain’s decision to forego politics as usual to focus on the current financial meltdown. The polling was conducted after McCain’s announcement that he would suspending his campaign.

The very latest poll numbers from John Zogby put John McCain squarely ahead of Barack Obama at 46 percent to 44 percent, respectively. McCain moved from three percentage points behind Obama to two points ahead of the democratic candidate in less than a week. One possible reason for the boost -- McCain's decision to forego politics as usual to focus on the current financial meltdown. The polling was conducted after Mccain's announcement that he would suspend his campaign. Independent voters played a key role in the latest figures: McCain now leads with independents by nine points, 43 percent to 34...

BROCKPORT, NEW YORK--Pollster John Zogby hinted Thursday (September 25) that he sees a McCain landslide as a real possibility. According to the Rochester (NY) Democrat and Chronicle:(O) ne of the country’s top pollsters thinks the race will end in an electoral landslide. John Zogby, president of Zogby International, told a group of businesspeople today that it’s up to Democratic Sen. Barack Obama to convince voters to go with him. If he’s not successful, the country will likely vote for “a comfortable old shoe”, that being Republican Sen. John McCain. Despite the books Obama has written, Americans are still asking, “Who...

New national poll just released by Zogby International has McCain/Palin 46%, Obama/Biden 44%. Poll dates 9/23-9/25.

UTICA, New York - A majority of likely voters nationwide think Democrat Barack Obama is more intelligent than Republican John McCain, and a plurality believes Obama will come out on top in Friday's first debate of the 2008 general election season, a new Zogby Interactive poll shows. More than four out of 10 voters - 42% - said they think Obama will win the debate Friday, compared to 31% who said they think McCain will come out ahead on points. Another 27% said they are unsure who might win.

Zogby Poll: Obama Smarter Than McCain; Will Win Friday's Debate Most think Friday's face-off on foreign policy to be more important than past presidential debates UTICA, New York - A majority of likely voters nationwide think Democrat Barack Obama is more intelligent than Republican John McCain, and a plurality believes Obama will come out on top in Friday's first debate of the 2008 general election season, a new Zogby Interactive poll shows. More than four out of 10 voters - 42% - said they think Obama will win the debate Friday, compared to 31% who said they think McCain will...

As much as the Obama phenomenon exposed a fault line in the American body politic, with Obama struggling to heal this divide, its opposite, the Palin phenomenon, confounded these efforts, working instead to deepen the rift. These days, the gap is wide, with the two sides looking across the chasm incredulously, appearing, at times, to speak different languages. This election could have been different, but a change in McCain's strategic approach to the campaign, and the addition of Alaska Governor Sarah Palin to the ticket, has altered the dynamic of the contest. In the week that followed the Republican convention,...

Pollster John Zogby tells Newsmax TV that some states that were once considered solidly in Obama's corner are now in play for McCain, and McCain has locked in some states that were once toss-ups. Hear his take on the attacks on Sarah Palin by Obama surrogates and why they may backfire.

Polls in 11 battleground states show Obama retains narrow lead as 78 Electoral College votes still a toss-upUTICA, New York—An Electoral College tidal wave has followed the surge of interest in the rejuvenated Republican presidential ticket of John McCain and Sarah Palin, nearly erasing a once-daunting Democratic advantage and creating a race for the White House that is nearly dead-level even. The latest Zogby Interactive polling in 11 key battleground states, and a further analysis of polling in other states, has resulted in the recalibration of the Zogby Electoral College Map, available at www.zogby.com. In this latest Zogby calculation, Obama/Biden...

Welcome to the Zogby International 2008 presidential electoral college map. This map reflects our polling state-by-state, and an analysis of other polling data and developments that Pollster John Zogby and the Zogby political team deems important, and will give you one of the most accurate measurements of how the race for the White House is stacking up. States that have been updated: VA, MI, NH, CO, MO, NM, FL, NC, NV, OH, PA, SC, MT, ND, SD How to use this map: All you have to do is click on a state (for smaller states, please click on the abbreviations),...

State: Pennsylvania Updated: 9/13/2008 Summary: McCain - 49.1% Obama - 44.3% Not Sure/Other - 6.6% "This is a classic case of polling as a snapshot in time. We're turning Pennsylvania purple today, as McCain takes a small edge. But as in Ohio, we are watching this closely and things could change in this classically blue state."

Zogby: Catholics Swing To McCain by Double Digits According to Zogby, The McCain/Palin ticket wins 49.7% support, compared to 45.9% backing for the Obama/Biden ticket. That's big news. But I found something even more interesting in the swing of the Catholic vote in this survey towards McCain and away from Obama, a former community organizer. Pollster John Zogby writes: “Clearly, Palin is helping the McCain ticket. She has high favorability numbers, and has unified the Republican Party. The striking thing here in this poll is that McCain has pulled ahead among Catholics by double-digits. On the other hand, Palin is...

UTICA, New York - Republicans John McCain and Sarah Palin left St. Paul, Minnesota, with a smallish bounce overall and some energy in key demographic groups, as the race for the presidency enters a key stage and voters begin to tune in to the contest, the latest Zogby Interactive poll finds. Data from this poll is available here The McCain/Palin ticket wins 49.7% support, compared to 45.9% backing for the Obama/Biden ticket, this latest online survey shows. Another 4.4% either favored someone else or were unsure. The Ticket Horserace 9-5/6 8-29/30 McCain-Palin 49.7% 47.1% Obama-Biden 45.9% 44.6% Others/Not sure 4.4%...

UTICA, New York - Republicans John McCain and Sarah Palin left St. Paul, Minnesota, with a smallish bounce overall and some energy in key demographic groups, as the race for the presidency enters a key stage and voters begin to tune in to the contest, the latest Zogby Interactive poll finds. The McCain/Palin ticket wins 49.7% support, compared to 45.9% backing for the Obama/Biden ticket, this latest online survey shows. Another 4.4% either favored someone else or were unsure.

Republican John McCain's surprise announcement Friday of Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin as his running mate - some 16 hours after Democrat Barack Obama's historic speech accepting his party’s presidential nomination - has possibly stunted any Obama convention bump, the latest Zogby Interactive flash poll of the race shows. The latest nationwide survey, begun Friday afternoon after the McCain announcement of Palin as running mate and completed mid-afternoon today, shows McCain/Palin at 47%, compared to 45% support for Obama/Biden.

The latest nationwide survey, begun Friday afternoon after the McCain announcement of Palin as running mate and completed mid-afternoon today, shows McCain/Palin at 47%, compared to 45% support for Obama/Biden. In other words, the race is a dead heat.

Brash McCain pick of AK Gov. Palin neutralizes historic Obama speech, stunts the Dems' convention bounce UTICA, New York - Republican John McCain's surprise announcement Friday of Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin as his running mate - some 16 hours after Democrat Barack Obama's historic speech accepting his party’s presidential nomination - has possibly stunted any Obama convention bump, the latest Zogby Interactive flash poll of the race shows. Data from this poll is available here The latest nationwide survey, begun Friday afternoon after the McCain announcement of Palin as running mate and completed mid-afternoon today, shows McCain/Palin at 47%, compared...

UTICA, New York - Republican John McCain's surprise announcement Friday of Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin as his running mate - some 16 hours after Democrat Barack Obama's historic speech accepting his party’s presidential nomination - has possibly stunted any Obama convention bump, the latest Zogby Interactive flash poll of the race shows. The latest nationwide survey, begun Friday afternoon after the McCain announcement of Palin as running mate and completed mid-afternoon today, shows McCain/Palin at 47%, compared to 45% support for Obama/Biden. In other words, the race is a dead heat.

Republican John McCain's surprise announcement Friday of Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin as his running mate - some 16 hours after Democrat Barack Obama's historic speech accepting his party’s presidential nomination - has possibly stunted any Obama convention bump, the latest Zogby Interactive flash poll of the race shows. The latest nationwide survey, begun Friday afternoon after the McCain announcement of Palin as running mate and completed mid-afternoon today, shows McCain/Palin at 47%, compared to 45% support for Obama/Biden. In other words, the race is a dead heat.

Republican John McCain's surprise announcement Friday of Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin as his running mate - some 16 hours after Democrat Barack Obama's historic speech accepting his party’s presidential nomination - has possibly stunted any Obama convention bump, the latest Zogby Interactive flash poll of the race shows. The latest nationwide survey, begun Friday afternoon after the McCain announcement of Palin as running mate and completed mid-afternoon today, shows McCain/Palin at 47%, compared to 45% support for Obama/Biden. In other words, the race is a dead heat. The interactive online Zogby survey shows that both Obama and McCain have solidified...

Wednesday morning, August 27, between 11 am and 1:30 pm EST or 9 am and 11:30 am mountain time, I'll be chairing a New America Foundation/Middle East Task Force event in Denver at the Colorado History Museum. The keynotes are Senator JOHN KERRY (D-MA), Obama National Security Adviser GREG CRAIG, Princeton University Woodrow Wilson School Dean ANNE-MARIE SLAUGHTER, former Congressman and Obama Adviser MEL LEVINE, former German Foreign Minister JOSCHKA FISCHER, and Aspen Institute President (and former CNN Chairman and CEO and TIME Managing Editor) Walter Isaacson. Our panel will be former Israeli negotiator and New America Foundation Senior Fellow...

Senator McCain has taken a five-point lead over Senator Obama in the race for President, according to a Reuters/Zogby survey released today. The survey, conducted Aug. 14-16, included 1,089 likely voters nationwide and contained a 3% margin of error.

In a sharp turnaround, Republican John McCain has opened a 5-point lead on Democrat Barack Obama in the U.S. presidential race and is seen as a stronger manager of the economy, according to a Reuters/Zogby poll released on Wednesday. McCain leads Obama among likely U.S. voters by 46 percent to 41 percent, wiping out Obama's solid 7-point advantage in July and taking his first lead in the monthly Reuters/Zogby poll.

GENERATION OBAMA FIRST-TIME VOTERS ARE GLOBAL, DIVERSE, COLORBLIND - AND LOVE BARACK By JOHN ZOGBY Are the kids all right? Not if you listen to some of our leading social commentators. To hear people like Juliet Schor and William Bennett tell it, today's youth have been virtually brainwashed by marketers, advertisers, and a mushy-headed professoriate. But if your measure of "all right" is a group that is not just tolerant of but welcomes diversity, if it is young adults who march in lockstep with no political ideology, who in the majority are willing to think through the subtleties of some...

Newsmax.com Zogby: First Globals Are Redefining America Wednesday, August 13, 2008 8:44 PM By: David A. Patten A demographic earthquake is taking place in America that is transforming our traditional society, argues pollster John Zogby in his newly released book, “The Way We’ll Be: The Zogby Report on the Transformation of the American Dream.” And these changes could have seismic implications for the coming 2008 election showdown. This new ascending group of Americans Zogby calls the “First Globals,” and unlike other demographic groups such as “Generation X” or “baby boomers,” this group is making some radical departures from traditional American...

Obama loses support among his strongest demographic groups UTICA, New York – A national Associated TV/Zogby International telephone poll of 1,011 likely voters conducted July 31-Aug. 1 finds Republican Sen. John McCain taking a razor-thin 42%-41% lead over Democrat Sen. Barack Obama in the race for the U.S. presidency. The margin between the candidates is statistically insignificant, but demonstrates a notable turn-around from the Reuters/Zogby poll of July 7-9 that showed Obama ahead, 46%-36% in a four-way match-up that included Libertarian candidate Bob Barr of Georgia and liberal independent candidate Ralph Nader. McCain made significant gains at Obama’s expense among...

A July Zogby poll showed that Obama was leading among Catholics by 11 points. He is now trailing by 15. The link above is to the article in the main section of FR, but I thought this poll detail was worthy of discussion in the Religion section. Such a massive rejection of a Democratic nominee is striking since Catholics come from heavily Democratic regions of the country, where huge majorities of non-Christians and Protestants vote overwhelmingly Democratic, and both traditional news outlets and political infrastructures are far to the left. (Catholics are the quintessential "Reagan Democrats.")

A national Associated TV/Zogby International telephone poll of 1,011 likely voters conducted July 31-Aug. 1 finds Republican Sen. John McCain taking a razor-thin 42%-41% lead over Democrat Sen. Barack Obama in the race for the U.S. presidency. The margin between the candidates is statistically insignificant, but demonstrates a notable turn-around from the Reuters/Zogby poll of July 7-9 that showed Obama ahead, 46%-36% in a four-way match-up that included Libertarian candidate Bob Barr of Georgia and liberal independent candidate Ralph Nader. McCain made significant gains at Obama’s expense among some of what had been Obama’s strongest demographic groups. For example: McCain...

Up until now, I have been urging caution in (over)interpreting the results of the Gallup and Rasmussen tracking polls, which had shown the presidential race tightening to a near-tie in recent days. Although the tracking numbers are important sources of information, this trend had not really been reflected in much of the state polling, nor in other, one-off national polls. Today, however, we have a set of state polling out that does indicate some tightening in the race: (Table at link) The most interesting results are in Florida and Massachusetts. In Florida, SurveyUSA shows John McCain ahead by 6 points....

Presumptive presidential candidates John McCain and Barack Obama are in a statistical dead heat among likely voters, according to the latest Zogby International poll. The national Associated TV/Zogby International telephone poll of 1,011 voters surveyed July 31-Aug. 1 finds McCain (R-Arizona) leading 42 percent to 41 percent over Obama (D-Ill.), which represents a sudden turnaround from the Reuters/Zogby poll of July 7-9 that showed Obama ahead, 46 to 36 percent in a four-way race with Libertarian Bob Barr of Georgia and liberal independent Ralph Nader. McCain made big gains among some of Obama’s strongest demographic groups – young adults, women...

The mood of Americans has improved slightly but remains gloomy this month, as high gasoline prices cause many to consider making significant changes in their lives—including how often they drive, where they go on vacation and how often they dine out, a new Reuters/Zogby poll shows. The survey shows 58% considering changing driving habits due to high gasoline prices; 60% in favor of domestic oil drilling

In a Reuters-Zogby Poll released on Wednesday, Independent voters favor Barack Obama over John McCain by a 22% margin. McCain has repeatedly reached out to Independents by taking center-left positions on issues that are vital to Conservatives. McCain's efforts have demoralized the Conservative base of the Republican Party and, thus far, have failed to attract Independent voters.

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Democrat Barack Obama has opened an 8-point national lead on Republican John McCain as the U.S. presidential rivals turn their focus to a general election race, according to a Reuters/Zogby poll released on Wednesday. Obama, who was tied with McCain in a hypothetical head-to-head matchup last month, moved to a 48 percent to 40 percent lead over the Arizona senator in May as he took command of his grueling Democratic presidential duel with rival Hillary Clinton. The Illinois senator has not yet secured the Democratic presidential nomination to run against McCain in November. The poll also found...