Posted on 07/13/2020 6:45:38 PM PDT by usafa92
A new poll of 1,000 likely voters nationwide shows former Vice President Joe Biden leading President Donald Trump by 7 points — 49%-42%, with 9% still undecided. The same effort by the John Zogby Strategies and EMI Research Solutions had Biden leading by 13 points in late May, 54%-41%.
The online survey reveals that both men are nailing down their own party’s support with Biden leading among Democrats 90%-6% and Trump ahead among Republicans 89%-7%. The difference is among independent/non-aligned voters who give Biden an 11 point advantage 45%-34%, with 21% undecided. Biden also scores well among Progressives (79%-17%), Liberals (79%12%), and Moderates 57%-31%). However yields 26% support for Biden among Conservatives (69% would vote for Trump) and 16% of Very Conservatives (Trump gets 83%). While white voters continue to support the President by 10 points (51%-41%), Biden appears about where he needs to be among Hispanics (65%-27%). A possible sign of concern for Biden is that only 77% of blacks are ready to vote for him while 14% say they would vote for Trump — and 9% are still not sure.
Biden is also where he needs to be among 18-29 year olds (60%-26%) but not among 30-49 year olds (tied at 45%). Those 50-64 back Biden 51%-45% and voters 65 and older are tied.
Biden leads among both men (47%-44%) and women (51%-41%).
Veteran Pollster John Zogby: This is a healthy lead for Biden at this point but he has lost 6 points in advantage in the past few weeks. He previously had a 10 point lead among voters over 65 and this seems to have dissipated. The gender gap, once huge, is now about average. And in a significant troubling sign he leads among “Weekly Dollar Store Shoppers by only 4 points — 48%-44%. His lead among those who never shop at a Dollar Store is 63%-27%. If this is creeping elitism in Democratic support, it needs to be squashed. Up to now, the Biden campaign has played it right — very low key, watch the other guy run against himself and implode. I think he can sustain this for another few weeks as both the economy and the virus spin out of control and hurt the President. But Biden then needs to come out punching in early August, through the virtual convention in mid-August. First significant event: the very important choice of a running mate. The whole world is watching and this certainly argues for the selection of an African American woman. These numbers among blacks are dismal.
You have summed it up quite well.
Trumps finished #106,265
Let’s pretend it’s real and work twice as hard. Call your friends and known Trump voters. Keep them on board.
Only 65% among Hispanics, and only 77% among blacks? Then mark my word- blacks and Hispanics will push Trump over the finish line.
And Biden stays in his so called basement. How stupid are these people?
Trump supporters will crawl miles over broken glass to get
to the polls on 11/03/20.
I heard that Biden choosing a black woman running mate is not really going to help his support among black voters.
Reason being, Biden already has support of about 96% of Black Women Voters. But black men are much more open to supporting Trump, and black men are not going to be more likely to support a democratic ticket if the VP nominee is an angry black woman.
Sorry if this sounds racist or sexist as we are supposed to be sensitive about those things nowadays. But this is what I heard, that you can’t just expect black men to have strong support for a black woman on the Democratic ticket.
I dont care
Its bogus
I sure would!
Sixth, Zogby applies a “special sauce” to his polls. He actually admitted to it several years ago.
If polls were real we would be talking about President Hillary today.
How many of the “independents” are just Democrats lying about their party affiliation?
He has not yet picked a veep. I don’t see any way around him getting an anti-bounce once he does choose.
2016 taught me to not believe polls.
Agreed, but I’m also hearing of older, supposedly conservative Americans who are scared spitless about the virus. Too many older (65+) still trust the media, at least enough to consider them somewhat reliable.
Certainly not panic time, but a friend was planning on visiting family (all 65+) in the midwest. Her family asked her not to come because “Arizona is a hot spot, people dropping like flies!” Not remotely true...but her family believes it. And they are, she says, reliable GOP votes. Normally. She is also 65+ and would cross broken glass to vote for Trump, but her sisters are squishy.
I'm not convinced that demographic is nearly as solid as it once was for demonicRats.
These riots aren't going to play as well as the activists
think > IMO. I think Black women are tires of seeing their
children shot dead on the front lawn. And if folks think
think defunding the police is popular with those women, I'm not
convinced they are right.
There are a lot of Black men AND women piping up on
social medial. Look, we're not going to get 50/50 results
but if we got an 85/15 showing, it would be pretty
amazing.
Don't ever apologize for speaking your mind or relaying information. Thanks for posting.
Nationwide polls are pointless
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