[impeachedrapist]

they [polls] all agree this year

Do they? We have a batch saying Obama leads by 8, 10 or even 15 points. That's laughable on its face, and completely unsupported by historical baselines and what we're witnessing in state-by-state campaigning. Then we have a group of polls showing a margin of error race. Which is what we have had for months and months, and what we're witnessing right now.

[andy58-in-nh]

Not a single poll shows McCain leading and that's my point. I think we can safely ignore polls like NYT/CBS whose internal numbers are laughable. But TIPP and Mason-Dixon are highly reputable and they still show McCain behind by 3-5 points.

Just by way of explanation for my interest in the subject: aside from the existential fear of a radical socialist like Obama coming to power, I have a degree in Political Science from Colgate University and wrote my thesis on the efficacy of polling methodologies across diverse populations.