To: 2ndDivisionVet
Many of you have asked why the pollsters are not accounting for the PUMA Factor. Their models are built on the "normal" defection from a voter registering with one party and voting for the other one. Because the Democratic Party hosed Hillary big time, the are some very unhappy Democrats who will not vote for Obama. He's forgetting to also add in the Operatino Chaos effect. There were many Republicans that re-registered as Dems to take part in Op. Chaos, and some have not changed back yet. So, there might even be more 'defections' than the pollsters expect.
12 posted on
11/03/2008 3:14:33 PM PST by
BreitbartSentMe
(Ex-Dem since 2001 *Folding@Home for the Gipper - Join the FReeper Folders*)
To: Bush_Democrat
Basically these computer poll models assume registered dems will vote dem and registered Pubbies will vote Republican.
There’s NO WAY all dems will vote thier party as much as republicans will.
I’ve got two neighbors registered as dems voting for McCain. Plus all the PUMA’s.
The numbers here in Florida back that up with more dems voting early than republicans and yet McCain is winning.
I totally agree with this assessment.
26 posted on
11/03/2008 3:21:38 PM PST by
diverteach
(http://foolishpleasurestudio.com/eyewool/slap_hillary.html)
To: Bush_Democrat
Operation Chaos was HUGE here in TX.
As a result, the poll weighing has been tilted making dem numbers look way better than reality.
38 posted on
11/03/2008 3:33:00 PM PST by
Mrs.Z
("...you're a Democrat. You're expected to complain and offer no solutions." Denny Crane)
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