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Can the Toyota Way Survive? (Toyota's Secret Weapon)
Finance Asia ^ | 10 February 2009 | Dan Slater

Posted on 02/11/2009 3:19:15 PM PST by fight_truth_decay

Toyota's legendary commitment to quality and its workforce are facing their biggest challenge in 50 years.

Until recently, there was only one company in Asia with a triple-A rating. And when that company announced that the grandson of the founder was taking management control of the company, it was a bit like the return of a super hero.

At the press conference announcing the elevation of Akio Toyoda to the CEO and president position of the world's largest car company in late January this year, one of the senior managers came out with a line that struck the journalists assembled in the company's Lidabashi office: "Toyota must be a good company as well as a strong company." It is a remarkable statement, and one that you can't imagine an 'Anglo-Saxon' company making.

Being a 'good' company will be difficult, however, given the unprecedented losses the company facing. Last Friday, Toyota announced that revenue in its fiscal third quarter to end-December declined 28.4% year-on-year to ¥4.8 trillion ($52.3 billion). When the top line shifts by that extent the impact on the bottom line is serious: net income dropped by ¥458.6 billion to a loss of ¥165 billion. Operating income for the quarter decreased by almost ¥1 trillion year-on-year, from ¥601.5 billion to a loss of ¥360.6 billion. The company's operating loss forecast for fiscal 2008 (which ends in March 2009) was increased to ¥450 billion from ¥150 billion. And adding insult to injury, the company lost its triple-A rating from Standard and Poor's.

Toyota blamed the results on "marketing activities" (selling cars at a discount among other things), which contributed a ¥560 billion hit to operating income, and said it lost a further ¥250 billion due to the strengthening of the yen against the US dollar and the euro. Goldman Sachs estimates that for every ¥10 appreciation against the dollar, the company's operating profit takes a ¥400 billion hit.

Some analysts recognise Toyota's unique approach, as the following quotation from a report shows: "Toyota's essential proposition is to protect employment and offer attractive products to users. It plans to do everything in its power over the short- to medium-term based on this essential ethos," writes Takaki Nakanishi of J.P. Morgan in Tokyo. But it's not clear if Toyota will be able to maintain this unique -- and to Wall Street analysts and shareholders rather unwelcome -- commitment to both social and economic virtues, which is often referred to as the Toyota Way.

Apart from the uncontrollable vagaries of the exchange rate, Toyota is facing a relatively straightforward problem: it has a fixed cost base set up for manufacturing far more units than it can possibly sell in the current environment. Consolidated vehicle sales were 1.84 million units in the third quarter, down 443,000 year-on-year. Twenty-seven of the company's 74 global lines are currently down to one shift per day.

The company management has announced that it is aiming to reduce the cost of goods sold (COGS) and slash fixed costs by 10%. J.P. Morgan's Nakanishi estimates that the company will aim to 'wring out' further costs from its suppliers, but that the latter are so strained by the downturn in business that the goal will likely not be achieved.

Toyota does have a secret weapon, however, which goes to the heart of the 'restructured' Japanese economy. Back when former prime minister Koizumi was in office, he launched a wave of labour reforms specifically to support the auto industry. This policy coalesced around the creation of a sub-class of workers, so-called 'casual' workers -- who may work full time and for many years alongside 'regular' employees, but without gaining key benefits such as security of tenure and the crucial twice-yearly bonus. Almost one-third of Japan's labour force has been taken out of mainstream employment in this way. Toyota has announced plans to reduce its casual work force from 9,000 to 3,000 (in Japan only). Its total global workforce amounts to 325,000.

Wall Street would probably like Toyota's entire workforce to have casual status -- after all, this would make them easier to fire. But Toyota has achieved its awesome success in a way Wall Street could never prescribe: by creating a management and employee synthesis which generates the biggest volume of the best cars in the world. It's a process which is not well understood, but which John Shook, author of a book on the Toyota Way describes as "managing to learn", that is, teaching employees to learn, and then solving problems on their own. The aim of the manager is to facilitate progress rather than ordering the employee around, Western style.

In other words, Toyota has a problem. The easiest way to cut costs is to cut staff, but that could be tantamount to ripping the heart out of the company.

Fortunately, Toyota's management has (again in direct contrast to Wall Street strictures about not leaving cash unproductively on the balance sheet) accumulated some ¥3 trillion in cash. Current assets total an even more impressive ¥12 trillion, and debt levels are low. The question is now whether the company will retain its core staff in the teeth of the demands of hungry shareholders, or whether it will use its treasure to retain what could be the company's greatest competitive advantage: its workforce.


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Extended News; Japan; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: thetoyotaway; toyota
THE TOYOTA WAY


1 posted on 02/11/2009 3:19:15 PM PST by fight_truth_decay
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To: fight_truth_decay

Screw the Toyota way. The japs need to do things the American way. That is to create an inefficient workforce, give them cushy benefits even as marketshare shrinks, and then grow so large the government is blackmailed into giving you a bailout.

Go Americaa!


2 posted on 02/11/2009 3:22:55 PM PST by DiogenesLaertius
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To: fight_truth_decay

I just bought a Toyota.


3 posted on 02/11/2009 3:37:56 PM PST by fkabuckeyesrule (Is it baseball season yet?)
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To: DiogenesLaertius

Yep....I buy Japanese......they employ lots of non union workers in the South.

I don’t see any point in buying from failed companies stupid enough to sign these idiotic union deals.


4 posted on 02/11/2009 3:43:47 PM PST by teg_76
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To: fkabuckeyesrule

“I just bought a Toyota.”

Congratulations. Smartest move you ever made.


5 posted on 02/11/2009 3:48:12 PM PST by JSteff (It was ALL about SCOTUS. Most forget about that and HAVE DOOMED us for a generation or more.)
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To: fight_truth_decay

I haven’t read the book, but as I understand it Toyota receives quality control feedback at every step of production, as opposed to accepting a certain amount of lemons which are repaired through recalls.

The result is a quality product.


6 posted on 02/11/2009 4:10:33 PM PST by Jeff Chandler (PIE FIGHT!!!!!)
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To: Jeff Chandler
...as I understand it Toyota receives quality control feedback at every step of production...

Yes, and a standing requirement is: "Do not pass on defects to the next operation."

7 posted on 02/11/2009 5:33:51 PM PST by Max in Utah (A nation can survive its fools, and even the ambitious. But it cannot survive treason from within.)
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To: fkabuckeyesrule
I just bought a Toyota.

You must be one of the few doing well. Most people around us, stopped buying new, and most are keeping their older cars, and just repairing them.

You can tell what's happening by all the closed dealerships, including Toyota dealers.

The era of people purchasing new cars every few years is quickly becoming a thing of the past.

8 posted on 02/11/2009 5:39:22 PM PST by dragnet2
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To: DiogenesLaertius

Most unions are filled with Federal workers. Up until a few weeks ago, that meant W was their ultimate boss. Let’s not overlook reality.

Toyota systematized the temp system which is undercutting the wages of most American workers even as I type this.

I was a temp once, and I fully realized my sole reason for being was to make certain real employees of the Big Pharma company I worked for lost 20% or more in real wages.

Then I finished my degree and became the undercut. Ironic, how life works out.


9 posted on 02/11/2009 6:37:34 PM PST by warchild9 (Starve the Beast: don't buy it if you don't need it)
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To: dragnet2

Well my 1995 car was on it’s last leg so it was time for something new. It’s the first time in my life I had a car with a cd player in it.


10 posted on 02/11/2009 6:59:06 PM PST by fkabuckeyesrule (Is it baseball season yet?)
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To: Jeff Chandler

My husband worked for Toyota in Georgetown KY. Their motto was “the next process on the assembly line is your customer’. Good company to work for. Good pay and benefits but they expect you to work hard for your pay. The union companys could learn a lesson from them.


11 posted on 02/11/2009 7:18:24 PM PST by christianhomeschoolmommaof3 (I homeschool because I have seen the village and I dont want it raising my children.)
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To: warchild9

My husband worked as a full time employee for Toyota for four years. Then years later, he returned as a Temp. The temp system is not to undercut wages. It is to insure job security for their full time employees. Toyota has never laid off a full time employee. When he got hired on as a full timer it took 2 years. He went in as a temp in 2 weeks knowing that he would receive less pay and no benefits but he needed a job quickly. Temps know what they are signing up for. If they dont like it, dont take the job. He worked as a temp for 2 years and was about to get rehired as a full time but we decided on a move. Since he left they have released all their temp employees.


12 posted on 02/11/2009 7:23:15 PM PST by christianhomeschoolmommaof3 (I homeschool because I have seen the village and I dont want it raising my children.)
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To: christianhomeschoolmommaof3

Deming introduced to Japan both the idea of institutionalized kaizen and utilizing extra warm bodies to undercut worker’s wages, immediately after World War II. He admitted that’s what temps were for. Business suits since have loved the idea of temps, H1b’s, etc. as a means of enhancing their quarterly bonuses.

Suits are no one’s friend but their own. Get a salaried corporate job, and learn all about them. I did. Reality is enlightening.


13 posted on 02/12/2009 12:33:50 PM PST by warchild9 (Starve the Beast: don't buy it if you don't need it)
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To: fight_truth_decay
My first vehicle I ever owned was a Toyota Celica. Purchased American car or truck after that. Drive a Jeep now, approx 90k miles on it. Probably do away with it in a year or so then I will buy a Toyota Tundra.
Also, the book The Toyota Way is an excellent read and ties in nicely with Eli Goldratt's The Goal et al.
14 posted on 02/12/2009 12:45:25 PM PST by jla (Sarah! sarahpac.com)
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