Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Energy Expert: Oil to $20 a Barrel
businessandmedia.org ^ | July 9, 2009 | Jeff Poor

Posted on 07/09/2009 8:42:45 AM PDT by Rufus2007

There could be a potential “tax break” the no one in the news has really picked up on with this ailing economy – a big drop in the price of oil. Although the media hype price increases, oil prices are dropping and could be heading toward lows not seen since 1999.

Philip Verleger, a business professor at the University of Calgary and visiting fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics told CNBC’s July 8 “The Kudlow Report” how the cost of oil might drop. Verleger explained why the current price of oil – at $60 a barrel, off its $72 highs, is still way too expensive for the market and why it could come tumbling down to $20.

...more (w/video)...

(Excerpt) Read more at businessandmedia.org ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Government; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: federalreserve; larrykudlow; oil
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-2021-4041-6061-8081-92 last
To: Rufus2007
Maybe. But after that it will be $20 the ounce.

ML/NJ

81 posted on 07/11/2009 10:35:50 AM PDT by ml/nj
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: justiceseeker93

I doubt that crude will fall much below $40 a barrel, ever. But demand is so far down that it might see some kind of trade-mania intraday crater near $20 if the trading range declines to a low enough level.


82 posted on 07/11/2009 4:39:57 PM PDT by SunkenCiv (https://secure.freerepublic.com/donate/__Since Jan 3, 2004__Profile updated Monday, January 12, 2009)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 80 | View Replies]

OPEC Has Already Turned to the Euro
GoldMoney Alert
February 18, 2004
...The source for the euro exchange rate is the Federal Reserve, and I have calculated the euro's average exchange rate to the dollar for each year based on daily data.
US Imports of Crude oil
(1)
(2)
(3)
(4)
(5)
(6)
Year
Quantity (thousands of barrels)
Value (thousands of US dollars)
Unit price (US dollars)
Average daily US$ per € exchange rate
Unit price (euros)

2001

3,471,066
74,292,894
21.40
0.8952
23.91
2002
3,418,021
77,283,329
22.61
0.9454
23.92
2003
3,673,596
99,094,675
26.97
1.1321
23.82
We can see from column (4) in the above table that in 2001, each barrel of imported crude oil cost $21.40 on average for that year. But by 2003 the average price of a barrel of crude oil had risen 26.0% to $26.97 per barrel. However, the important point is shown in column (6). Note that the price of crude oil in terms of euros is essentially unchanged throughout this 3-year period.

As the dollar has fallen, the dollar price of crude oil has risen. But the euro price of crude oil remains essentially unchanged throughout this 3-year period. It does not seem logical that this result is pure coincidence. It is more likely the result of purposeful design, namely, that OPEC is mindful of the dollar's decline and increases the dollar price of its crude oil by an amount that offsets the loss in purchasing power OPEC's members would otherwise incur. In short, OPEC is protecting its purchasing power as the dollar declines.

83 posted on 07/11/2009 4:41:32 PM PDT by SunkenCiv (https://secure.freerepublic.com/donate/__Since Jan 3, 2004__Profile updated Monday, January 12, 2009)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: nikos1121

Where we live they’re dropping like a rock.


84 posted on 07/11/2009 4:46:33 PM PDT by Conservativegreatgrandma
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 12 | View Replies]

To: Conservativegreatgrandma

certainly not dropping here in Arizona.


85 posted on 07/11/2009 4:47:00 PM PDT by Arizona Carolyn
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 84 | View Replies]

To: Rufus2007

Gonna make it really hard to sell the Green Roller Skates that Gobermint Motors are going to be forced to produce....


86 posted on 07/11/2009 4:48:03 PM PDT by Kozak (USA 7/4/1776 to 1/20/2009 Reqiescat in Pace)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: sneakers

I think it’s around 2.19 here.


87 posted on 07/11/2009 4:49:33 PM PDT by Conservativegreatgrandma
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 36 | View Replies]

To: nikos1121

Here in south central Texas prices are down 17 cents per gallon in the last 2 weeks.


88 posted on 07/11/2009 4:57:41 PM PDT by Calamari (Pass enough laws and everyone is guilty of something.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 12 | View Replies]

To: goodnesswins
Yesterday it was announced here in Oregon that our natural gas bills will be dropping by 10-20% starting this fall/winter.....

Until the Carbon tax kicks in....
89 posted on 07/11/2009 4:59:55 PM PDT by Kozak (USA 7/4/1776 to 1/20/2009 Reqiescat in Pace)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: napscoordinator

The only way oil drops to that price is if the economy tanks. Big time.


90 posted on 07/11/2009 5:00:57 PM PDT by Kozak (USA 7/4/1776 to 1/20/2009 Reqiescat in Pace)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 8 | View Replies]

To: Virginia Ridgerunner
Yeah, and my fantasy when I was 17 about Farrah Fawcett showing up in my room dressed like this could have been real. But it probably wasn't.

I won't go into details about the rest of the fantasy.

91 posted on 07/11/2009 5:03:42 PM PDT by Richard Kimball (We're all criminals. They just haven't figured out what some of us have done yet.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 14 | View Replies]

To: napscoordinator

Saying 91% have jobs is like saying only 91% pay their mortages and 9% default every year.

Its catastrophic.

John


92 posted on 07/11/2009 5:04:04 PM PDT by Diggity
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 8 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-2021-4041-6061-8081-92 last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson