Cheers!
Posted on 07/18/2009 4:38:38 AM PDT by Mad Federalist
DEBKAfile's military sources reveal that Iran is in the last stages of construction of a nuclear test site in the Kavir Lut desert between Tehran and its eastern border with Afghanistan. The work is managed by the Iranian experts invited to attend North Korea's nuclear test this year. (DEBKAfile reported June 27 that Iran has opened the way for a nuclear test.)
Two of the diplomats attached to the UN nuclear watchdog agency in Vienna confirmed to the Associated Press Saturday July 18 that Iran now has the means to test a weapon within six months. One said more specifically: "Iran has the capacity, if not the intention, to set off a test explosion in six months."
Speaking on condition of anonymity, the two diplomats emphasized there were no indications of plans for a nuclear test and in their opinion Iran is unlikely to risk heightened confrontation with the West and chances of an Israeli attack with such a course.
For the last six months, DEBKAfile's intelligence sources have all stressed that this supposition is wishful thinking having confirmed that Iran is squarely on the fast track for an N-test. Once preparations are complete, its leaders will not hesitate to conduct one, following the North Korean model.
And indeed the two diplomats in Vienna admitted the Iranians were blocking UN nuclear agency attempts to upgrade monitoring resources.
As recently as July 9, DEBKAfile's military sources reported: "The US, Europe - and even the Binyamin Netanyahu government - appear to have adopted the same strategy for North Korea and Iran. It is a combination of harsh oral rebukes coupled with a refusal to address North Korea's violations and Iran's race for a nuclear bomb in any practical way, even though sanctions are clearly of no effect at all.
A blind eye is equally turned to the close collaboration between Pyongyang and Tehran on their missile and nuclear development programs. The two rogue states are also clearly in tune on their nuclear diplomacy and timetables.
According to DEBKAfile's intelligence sources, North Korea shared the results of its latest missile launches with Iran, exactly as it did after its nuclear and ballistic tests. But neither Washington nor Jerusalem has raised a hand. Both nuclear transgressors are getting away with the gross, ongoing proliferation of weapons of mass destruction and making a mockery of international law and UN resolutions."
Therefore, the diplomat's estimate Saturday that the Iranians will not risk confrontation with the West or chance an Israeli attack is completely unfounded, as are the theories that the Iranian leadership is in too shaky a position at home to go forward with a nuclear test. As soon as the test site is ready, supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and president Mahmoud Ahmadinejad will not be deterred from taking the nuclear plunge by the unrest at home, any more than grave illness has stopped Kim Jong-II flouting international prohibitions.
Still, the US and Europe will not fall out of their chairs because they have given the ayatollahs all the time they needed to attain a nuclear weapon.
Fireworks? I hope so.
Otherwise we will see the first globally-televised act of national suicide on the part of a Western power. If the forces of appeasement and “negotiation” win, Israel ceases to be.
Go, Bibi, go!
Israel already has its test sight ready.
Tehran.
But in all fairness of human compassion they should really give some warning if any populated areas are to be hit, its really not an issue with the major populations of Iran, its the lunatic hateful leadership it has.
Exactly like what we have here in the US.
Better yet perhaps Israel should nuke Washington DC for us and do a REAL favor for the world.
Shades of “The Sum of all Fears”.
Six or eight months ago I was of the opinion the Israelis weren’t going to do anything about Iran and would focus their energy on a defensive posture. And I would say I’ve been right so far but..
I’m now starting to actually believe they will attempt to set back the Iranian nuke program by attacking as many sites as they can. They have taken concrete steps that would be necessary for such an attack: Changing their apparent Suez doctrine and sending missile ships and subs through; Extensive exercises focusing on long range bombing; Also they have apparently sought and received permission to overfly Saudi Arabia(and Turkey?)
Combine that with what seems like an official line of acquiesence from our govt particularly Hillary saying that time is running out for Iran.
I’m still not entirely convinced but I think the chances of an attack by Israel have risen dramatically in the time frame I specified.
I suppose we’ll all find out in due course and heres hoping Hussein doesn’t throw Israel completely under the bus afterward.
...a nuclear test site in the Kavir Lut desert between Tehran and its eastern border with Afghanistan. The work is managed by the Iranian experts invited to attend North Korea's nuclear test this year.Debka.
Hey, Obammie, you commie, if you let Iran get the atomic bomb, YOU are going to have lot of blood on your hands.
You may be all right with that, though because you are evil.
... and our troops in Afghanistan are ‘down-wind’... just great.
zer0 said they could have nuk’s .So it’s no big deal. zer0 said the real problem is dem jews building settlements.
He will have a lot more blood on His hands than just a few million Israelis before He’s done.
Debka and breaking news should exclude each other.
We know Iran will attack Israel when it feels confident of a win...Our Gov't knows this as well, even better than we...
We would stop it if we could...We can't...Our Gov't COULD stop it but they WON'T...
If you voted for Obama, you are just as guilty as he is in the destruction of the US...And if you allow Iran to attack Israel, you are just as guilty as Iran in attacking Israel...
hussein’s time is counted
During the campaign, 0 stated, on more than one occasion, Iran’s possession of a nuclear weapon would be a “game changer.” Unfortunately, he was never pressed to explain exactly what that meant. Nice to know he considers national security a game.
Cheers!
Debka? Are you kidding me? Maybe for light entertainment reading but as a news source they are a joke. Any else here long enough to remember the exclusive Debka story about 10,000 Iraqi troops that had invaded Jordan to attack Israel? Yeah.....
“North Korea shared the results of its latest missile launches with Iran, exactly as it did after its nuclear and ballistic tests. But neither Washington nor Jerusalem has (at least not yet) raised a hand”
RATHER they are too busy reporting 24/7 on Michael Jackson, and/or bashing Sarah Palin or reporting on philandering republican political types
make them live in the dark for the next five or ten years till they get their minds right...
Is Debka really reliable at all?
Never in the past....
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