Posted on 07/21/2009 5:31:52 PM PDT by SeekAndFind
One of the challenges of working in the IT field is staying on top of emerging technologies - while letting go of those that are becoming obsolete. This Global Knowledge article lists 10 areas that are fading into obscurity.
There are some things in life, like good manners, that never go out of style. And there are other things, like clothing styles, that fall in and out of fashion. But when an IT skill falls out of favor, it rarely ever comes back. Here’s our list of 10 dying IT skills. If any of these skills is your main expertise, perhaps it’s time to think about updating your skill set.
1: Asynchronous Transfer Mode
ATM was popular in the late 90s, particularly among carriers, as the answer to overworked frame relay for wide-area networking. It was considered more scalable than frame relay and offered inherent QoS support. It was also marketed as a LAN platform, but that was its weakness. According to Wikipedia, ATM failed to gain wide acceptance in the LAN where IP makes more sense for unifying voice and data on the network. Wikipedia notes that ATM will continue to be deployed by carriers that have committed to existing ATM deployments, but the technology is increasingly challenged by speed and traffic shaping requirements of converged voice and data networks. A growing number of carriers are now using Multi-Protocol Label Switching (MPLS), which integrates the label-switching capabilities of ATM with the packet orientation of IP. IT skills researcher Foote Partners listed ATM in its IT Skills and Certification Pay Index as a non-certified IT skill that has decreased in value in the last six month of 2008.
2: Novell NetWare
Novell’s network operating system was the de facto standard for LANs in the 1990s, running on more than 70% of enterprise networks. But Novell failed to compete with the marketing might of Microsoft. Novell tried to put up a good fight by acquiring WordPerfect to compete with Windows Office, but that move failed to ignite the market, and Novell eventually sold WordPerfect to Corel in 1996. Novell certifications, such as Certified Novell Engineer, Master Certified Novell Engineer, Certified Novell Certified Directory Engineer, and Novell Administrator, were once hot in the industry. But now, they are featured in Foote Partners’ list of skills that decreased in value in 2008. Hiring managers want Windows Server and Linux skills instead.
3: Visual J++
Skills pay for Microsoft’s version of Java declined 37.5% last year, according to the Foote Partners’ study. The life of J++, which is available with Microsoft Visual Studio 6.0, was not a smooth one. Although Sun Microsystems licensed Java to Microsoft to develop J++, Microsoft failed to implement some features of the official Java standard while implementing other extensions of its own. Sun sued Microsoft for licensing violations in a legal wrangle that lasted three years. Microsoft eventually replaced J++ with Microsoft .NET.
4: Wireless Application Protocol
Yes, people were able to browse the Internet in the late 90s before Apple’s iPhone. Web site operators would rewrite their content to the WAP’s Wireless Markup Language, enabling users to access Web services such as email, stock results and news headlines using their cell phones and PDAs. WAP was not well received at the beginning because WAP sites were slow and lacked the richness of the Web. WAP has also seen different levels of uptake worldwide because of the different wireless regulations and standards around the world. WAP has since evolved and is a feature of Multimedia Messaging Service, but there is now a new generation of competing mobile Web browsers, including Opera Mobile and the iPhone’s Safari browser.
5: ColdFusion
ColdFusion users rave that this Web programming language is easy to use and quick to jump into, but as many other independent software tools have experienced, it’s hard to compete with products backed by expensive marketing campaigns from Microsoft and others. The language was originally released in 1995 by Allaire, which was acquired by Macromedia (which itself was purchased by Adobe). Today, it is superseded by Microsoft .NET, Java, PHP, and the language of the moment: open source Ruby on Rails. A quick search of the Indeed.com job aggregator site returned 11,045 jobs seeking PHP skills, compared to 2,027 CF jobs. Even Ruby on Rails, which is a much newer technology - and which received a major boost when Apple packaged it with OS X v10.5 in 2007 — returned 1,550 jobs openings on Indeed.com.
6: RAD/extreme programming
Back in the late 90s and early 2000s, the rapid application development and extreme programming development philosophies resulted in quicker and more flexible programming that embraced the ever-changing needs of customers during the development process. In XP, developers adapted to changing requirements at any point during the project life rather than attempting to define all requirements at the beginning. In RAD, developers embraced interactive use of structured techniques and prototyping to define users’ requirements. The result was accelerated software development. Although the skills were consistently the highest paying in Foote Partners survey since 1999, they began to lose ground in 2003 due to the proliferation of offshore outsourcing of applications development.
7: Siebel
Siebel is one skill that makes a recurring appearance in the Foote Partners’ list of skills that have lost their luster. Siebel was synonymous with customer relationship management in the late 90s and early 2000s, and the company dominated the market with a 45% share in 2002. Founded by Thomas Siebel, a former Oracle executive with no love lost for his past employer, Siebel competed aggressively with Oracle until 2006 when it was ultimately acquired by the database giant. Siebel’s complex and expensive CRM software required experts to install and manage. That model lost out to the new breed of software-as-a-service (SaaS) packages from companies such as Salesforce.com, which deliver comparable software over the Web. According to the ITJobsWatch.com, Siebel experts command an average salary of GBP52,684 ($78,564), but that’s a slide from GBP55,122 a year ago. Siebel is ranked 319 in the job research site’s list of jobs in demand, compared to 310 in 2008.
8: SNA
The introduction of IP and other Internet networking technologies into enterprises in the 1990s signaled the demise of IBM’s proprietary Systems Network Architecture. According to Wikipedia, the protocol is still used extensively in banks and other financial transaction networks and so SNA skills continue to appear in job ads. But permanent positions seeking SNA skills are few and far between. ITJobsWatch.com noted that there were three opening for permanent jobs between February and April, compared to 43 during the same period last year. Meanwhile, companies such as HP offer consultants with experience in SNA and other legacy skills, such as OpenVMS and Tru64 UNIX for short-term assignments.
9: HTML
We’re not suggesting the Internet is dead, but with the proliferation of easy-to-use WYSIWYG HTML editors enabling non-techies to set up blogs and Web pages, Web site development is no longer a black art. Sure, there’s still a need for professional Web developers, but a good grasp of HTML isn’t the only skill required of a Web developer. Professional developers often have expertise in Java, AJAX, C++, and .NET, among other programming languages. HTML as a skill lost more than 40% of its value between 2001 and 2003, according to Foote Partners.
10: COBOL
Is it dead or alive? This 40-year-old programming language often appears in lists of dying IT skills. But it also appears in as many articles about organizations with legacy applications written in COBOL that are having a hard time finding workers with COBOL skills. IBM cites statistics that 70% of the world’s business data is still being processed by COBOL applications. But how many of these applications will remain in COBOL for the long term? Even IBM is pushing its customers to “build bridges” and use service-oriented architecture to “transform legacy applications and make them part of a fast and flexible IT architecture.” About the author
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Linda Leung is a senior IT journalist with 20 years’ experience editing and writing news and features for online and print. She has extensive experience creating and launching news Web sites, including most recently, independent communities for customers of Cisco Systems and Microsoft.
Sometimes both hands are occupied in an attempt to find their rectum, and even then they have fits trying to find a way to hold the flashlight.
Kinda
I write a lot of VB Script and VBA. It just works. A ton of SAS code as well. The Enterprise System is moving to Java so we are learning that. Meanwhile I am maintaining code in C, COBOL, Oracle Forms and PL/SQL. By this time next year, it will be all Java.
Code is code.
If I were the guy working in the first frame and the other guy said that, my reply would simply be “Apparently not.”
COBOL was declared dead 30 years ago and again 15 years ago when I was actively working with it. HTML hasn’t gone away, it has just taken on different implementation formats.
C++ was also declared on the way out over the last few years and it is still in use and demand.
I was still working with assembler until about 95 and there were still a lot of high volume processors still using it at least 6-8 years ago. And JCL, still going on the mainframes and mainframes have made something of a comeback for volume processing.
And I agree with you. I’ve seen new, green software engineers fresh out of college want to “change the world” and end up embroiling themselves in mushrooming projects that they grossly underestimated. Sometimes it’s better to pick your refactoring battles, accept that reality isn’t utopia, and let sleeping dogs lie.
You’re right about the index registers. Below the S/360 Model 25 the instruction set was limited and I/O was different. The Model 20 was interesting to say the least. :-)
Only RX instructions have a position for an index register. For those instructions the storage address is specified as D2(X2,B2) - and as you note, the registers are positional such that for base+displacement, you have to code D2(,B2) to indicate the absence of an index register.
C++ is still near top for the growing game programming market along with C# and some of the scripting languages like PHP. There is still a lot of C and C++ code in all kinds of processor and embedded device applications because it works best at the machine level.
I know a lot of JSP programmers that know very little HTML. I'm one of the best HTML/CSS coders in the country and it boggles my mind how little they know. It's like their education consisted of JAVA only. That said, no one will ever design a top notch scalable site in a WYSIWYG editor alone. I use Dreamweaver quite a bit, but mostly to find my place in the code. I like the text editor in DW and find it very inefficient and darn stupid to run DW and a separate text editor.
Personally, I like to understand everything operationally from top-to-bottom as well as possible, and have as much control as possible to build a modular app using different languages according to what's appropriate for a given task - one that runs rings around a more "pure" appusing only the top layer. C++ is my language of choice, but I like the way C# is organized with its Java-esque packaging framework.
bttt
WOW this is a H1 B visa job ad. actually it is the job ad used to show there are no american workers. (and then they never use these skills)
I knew some people who did work on the Model 20, but the lowest model I ever actually used was the Model 25. When I was about 20 years old, I happened to substitute-teach an Assembly Language course at a local college for a few days. The school had a Model 25. It was the cheapest model that supported the full instruction set.
The course I was supposed to teach was heavy on decimal arithmetic, which I had never used. But fortunately, in my regular job I had a CP/67 timesharing account. That was the closest thing to a PC in those days. So, prior to my teaching engagement, I read up on the decimal instruction set in the Principles of Operation and wrote some practice programs to make sure I had it down cold.
Unfortunately for me, C++ is really slow right now. I have C++ experience in all sorts of environments up to my eyeballs, as well as years and years of VB and RDBMS of all types. But being a little light on .NET (1 year) and Java (1 year) has really been a obstacle in this environment. I'm working on .NET certifications to close the gap.
I half expected to see C/C++ on this list, in spite of the fact that it's practically universal for systems programming. There's just not much like that going on near me right now.
Oh Lordy, how could I forget COND codes! Actually, when I was doing it all the time, I got pretty good at it. You know you've mastered COND codes when you can dictate them to the operator over the phone at 3:00am... :-)
I used to be like that, now I’m happy to ensconce myself in the wisdom of the ancients.
Sorry, windows gets my panties in a wad. :-) No worries!
Don't forget Agile.
Given that they are practcally the same thing, I don't know if that says much. C# and VB.net are .NET, and the differences between C# and vb.net are just syntactical sugar at the highest level.
How much do you think wrecking perfectly good companies with a horrible and oppressive product is worth?
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