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Why It's Smart To Be Optimistic (optimism can help you seize the opportunities ahead)
Business Week ^ | 8/14/2009 | Peter Coy

Posted on 08/15/2009 6:05:00 AM PDT by SeekAndFind

The U.S. economy is in such bad shape that the loss of (just) a quarter-million jobs in July was greeted as good news. Long-term unemployment and foreclosures continue to mount in the worst economic downturn since the 1930s. Health-care costs are out of control. An aging population around the globe is driving government spending through the roof.

[...]

But before you assume a purely defensive posture—knees pulled to chest, hands on head—remember this: Just as people become overly exuberant in good times, they tend to get too pessimistic in bad times. While the economy remains deep in a hole, and could indeed get worse, the truth is that nobody really knows what will happen next. Prudence demands that you prepare yourself for all possible outcomes, including some highly positive ones.

Anything could happen, right? It was the inventor Thomas A. Edison who said, "We don't know a millionth of 1% about anything." Latter-day management expert Paul J.H. Schoemaker, founder and executive chairman of Decision Strategies International, a consultancy in Conshohocken, Pa., agrees. "Just as the downside surprised many people, the upside might also come as a surprise to people,"

[...]

In other words, you owe it to yourself at least to consider the case for optimism. No, not starry-eyed, Panglossian optimism. We're simply arguing that practical people should open their minds to the opportunities to be seized just as much as to the dangers to be dodged. As futurist Esther Dyson of EDventure Holdings put it in one of the many interviews we conducted for this Special Issue: "Part of being optimistic means you really need to understand the problem and be cynical enough that you're not foolishly optimistic. Then you're not disappointed when things don't work out.

(Excerpt) Read more at businessweek.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Culture/Society; Editorial; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: economy; optimism; recession; recovery

1 posted on 08/15/2009 6:05:02 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind
The U.S. economy is in such bad shape that the loss of (just) a quarter-million jobs in July was greeted as good news. Long-term unemployment and foreclosures continue to mount in the worst economic downturn since the 1930s. Health-care costs are out of control. An aging population around the globe is driving government spending through the roof.

I know I'm upbeat after that paragraph.

2 posted on 08/15/2009 6:12:38 AM PDT by Kenny
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To: Kenny

Unexpectedly it was better than expected by the stockbrokers who expected it might be worse than expected that the expected job loss would be expected to be better than expected.


3 posted on 08/15/2009 6:27:21 AM PDT by screaminsunshine (!!)
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To: SeekAndFind
It would be one thing if this was a natural correction, but it is not. It is being ginned and engineered.


4 posted on 08/15/2009 6:45:49 AM PDT by doodad
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To: SeekAndFind

Business Week can shove it.

The liberal hacks didn’t seem to find any reason to be SMART and OPTIMISTIC when Bush was president. But now, as Hussein spends us into oblivion, they want us to be optimistic?

Reminds me of Squealer in “Animal Farm”.

BW is just as liberal as the rest of the LameStream Media.


5 posted on 08/15/2009 6:54:14 AM PDT by Recovering_Democrat
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To: SeekAndFind

The second mouse always gets the cheese...


6 posted on 08/15/2009 6:58:01 AM PDT by mr_hammer (Gold is the money of kings, silver is the money of gentlemen, debt is the money of slavery)
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To: Recovering_Democrat
BW is just as liberal as the rest of the LameStream Media.

BTW, if you read supply siders like Larry Kudlow, you will notice that he is quite optimistic that the economy will recover in the 3rd or 4th quarter of 2009. This man is NOT liberal by any means.
7 posted on 08/15/2009 7:06:12 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind

Kudlow is a good man. Recovery, though, was going to COME ANYWAY according the Congressional Budget Office.

Back in February, before the PORKULUS passed, CBO issued a report saying the economy would be recovering by 3Q of 2009...and would be in better shape overall if the federal government DID NOT PASS the PORK bill.

I don’t have objection to intelligent thinking. I have an objection to the LameStream Media focusing on “optimism” when their BOOB is in the White House but ignoring reasons for the same when a Republican is there.

The odor of bias is what peeves me. :)


8 posted on 08/15/2009 7:15:18 AM PDT by Recovering_Democrat
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To: SeekAndFind

An Obama recovery is a heck of a lot worse than a Bush recession.


9 posted on 08/15/2009 7:55:44 AM PDT by sportutegrl (If liberals could do math, they would be conservatives.)
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To: sportutegrl
An Obama recovery is a heck of a lot worse than a Bush recession.

How about this for optimism: Remember what it was like when Reagan was elected after Carter in spite of Democrat control of Congress? Imagine what it would be like with Democrat/liberals thrown en masse out of Congress together with a re-Constitutionalized federal government together with resurgent strong states a la 10th amendment after the Obama debacle? This could be something like the 100 year bull market in England following the implementation of Adam Smith's economics.
10 posted on 08/15/2009 8:08:24 AM PDT by aruanan
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To: mr_hammer

:)


11 posted on 08/15/2009 12:33:42 PM PDT by wombtotomb
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To: Recovering_Democrat
Xactly. The sun comes up, water is wet, and cycles go around not off to one extreme forever. The Fed did everything necessary (plus TARP) last year. "Stimulus" hasn't even been spent, it has nothing to do with it. The problem is a big part of the right has been screaming doom non-stop since the election, largely for partisan reasons, so when the sun does come up Dems are going to take credit for it - that they do not deserve. That is what happens when ideology clouds objective thinking. Men like Kudlow and technocrat professionals at CBO know better than this. But the pundit-set does not...
12 posted on 08/15/2009 1:23:21 PM PDT by JasonC
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To: JasonC

Good points.

I do believe we need to point out the problems Hussein is not addressing...the employment situation will probably continue to be a major sore spot. Companies are increasing productivity (good) and therefore not increasing hiring.

Hussein is doing NOTHING to encourage new businesses to be created...unless of course you’re going to build “green” widgets. Which no one wants to buy.

Conservatives would do good, too, to POINT OUT REPEATEDLY that the recovering economy is IN SPITE of Hussein, not because of him.


13 posted on 08/15/2009 1:27:57 PM PDT by Recovering_Democrat
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To: Recovering_Democrat
Agreed. We should also focus on fighting proposed Dem tax hikes, especially cap n trade and the "surcharge" and payroll tax bits of the health care proposals. All of them hitting incentives as well as demand, in the worst ways and at the worst possible time.
14 posted on 08/15/2009 3:39:20 PM PDT by JasonC
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To: screaminsunshine
Unexpectedly it was better than expected by the stockbrokers who expected it might be worse than expected that the expected job loss would be expected to be better than expected.

This gave me a very unexpected laugh.

15 posted on 08/16/2009 8:41:16 AM PDT by Kenny
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To: Kenny

Me too every time I hear a report on the boob tube about the market.


16 posted on 08/16/2009 8:47:22 AM PDT by screaminsunshine (!!)
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