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Russia’s SU-35: Mystery Fighter No More
Defense Industry Daily ^ | August 20, 2009

Posted on 08/23/2009 2:30:46 AM PDT by myknowledge

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To: Yo-Yo

the numbers come from various F22 posts on FR.

Some one claimed in some articles on FR that the per cost for the 187 planes is someting like $320 million with R&D. I think that number came from a Wa Po article, but not sure wiithout searching. That is the number the ‘powers that be’ used in their decision to halt production - as I understand the matter.

The other numbers come from “The Untimely Demise of the F-22” linked in another F22 post on FR. Just search ‘F22’ and you should find it in one of the posts from this month.

While the original question was about the first one billion from Cash For Clunkers, the actual number Congress allocated, to the completion today, was 3 billlion.

So just tripple what ever number of planes that would have been bought to gurantee US air superiority into the future. In a few years the US will be faced with export models of th PAK FA and the Chinese J-XX, for which only the F22 could counter, and without the F22, we lose all hope of air superiority against even the smallest opponent.

You must remember that you cannot just divide that Clunker number by the current cost per, rather you have to factor in that for each plane made the costs drop, like anything else. How many more planes you build determines the actual cost per. Had the original number been ordered for the USAF and an export version made then the costs per would drop into the Flanker cost per range or below.


21 posted on 08/24/2009 6:11:41 AM PDT by PIF
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To: PIF
No, the flyaway cost for each plane would not decrease meaningfully if only another 20 aircraft were ordered.

Flayaway costs represents the costs to produce the aircraft and stuff it with avionics and engines, and the F-22 program is about as mature as it can get as far as costs are concerned.

Order 1,000 and the unit flyaway costs won't dip much below $120 million each. Certainly nowhere near your $70 million figure. That is much closer to what the F-35 flyaway cost is projected to be at project maturity.

However, order 1,000 F-22s and the total unit cost will drop significantly from the current $340 million per aircraft because the $30 billion development costs already spent would be spread over more airframes.

http://www.af.mil/news/story.asp?storyID=123022371

22 posted on 08/24/2009 8:09:33 AM PDT by Yo-Yo
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To: Yo-Yo
About the F22
More than $60 billion has been spent on the research, development, and procurement of the F-22, putting the per unit cost of each aircraft at roughly $340 million. But the marginal cost of buying one additional aircraft has come down to (just!) $138 million, and the Center for Strategic and International Studies estimated that a larger order of 70 additional aircraft could have brought that number down to $70 million a pop.

About the F35
In May the Government Accountability Office estimated that U.S. investment in the F-35 would total "more than $300 billion to develop and procure 2,456 aircraft over the next 25 years." That works out to about $122 million and change for each aircraft. Allied militaries are expected to buy at least 700 additional F-35s. The jet will come in at least five variants: a conventional fighter for the Air Force, a short takeoff, vertical-landing variant for the Marines, a carrier version for the Navy, and export versions of the Air Force and Marines variants. Not surprisingly, a program this complicated has already entered its own death spiral--the estimated cost of the program has risen 45 percent since 2001, and Congress has already responded by trimming the total procurement by more than 500 planes. This latest two-year delay could cost an additional $7.4 billion according to the Pentagon's report--assuming, of course, that there are no further delays or overruns.

The Untimely Demise of the F-22
A triumph for the military-industrial complex.
by Michael Goldfarb, editor THE WEEKLY STANDARD
08/17/2009, Volume 014, Issue 45
Argue with this guy and the Center. The article you cited is surrounded by AF internal politics and doing the PC thing - as the Hussein Admin. and Sec. Gate wishes, else the whole of the USAAF might find itself on the chopping block as many have argued recently in other specialized publications quoted on FR and elsewhere. Arguing about costs here is silly IMHO. We need the F22 or the USAF is 'tostados'. Russian produces Flankers for $90 million per. The lastest varient makes all the 'teen' USAF planes good target practice. The F35 cannot be expected to survive a fight with the 35s on any regular basis. When the PAC AF is produced and exported, there is no way any USAF plane other than the F22 will be able to achieve air superiority and allow ground troops to do their jobs.
23 posted on 08/24/2009 9:16:26 AM PDT by PIF
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To: PIF
We need the F22 or the USAF is 'tostados'. Russian produces Flankers for $90 million per. The lastest varient makes all the 'teen' USAF planes good target practice. The F35 cannot be expected to survive a fight with the 35s on any regular basis. When the PAC AF is produced and exported, there is no way any USAF plane other than the F22 will be able to achieve air superiority and allow ground troops to do their jobs.

Absolutely no argument from me there. The F-35 was never meant to go "toe-to-toe with the Russkis," to paraphrase Slim Pickins.

I'll argue with the Center about their $70 million flyaway figure, as it is pure fantasy. It is also fantasy that Ausralia, Israel, or Japan could ever purchase the F-22 (were laws changed and export variants designed) for the US flyaway cost of $140 million each, as some in those contries seem to believe (or hope.) R&D costs would be tacked onto these export aircraft, so closer to $200 million each when you also include the cost of developing the export variant.

24 posted on 08/24/2009 2:03:55 PM PDT by Yo-Yo
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To: Yo-Yo; PIF
PIF and Yo-Yo, you're quite correct. The Su-35BM Flanker will potentially be the best Generation 4.5 fighter in existence, and can pose a challengingly good adversary against the Raptor, if produced and exported in bulk and sold to the air forces of countries with the hard currency to pay for them. There is a strong possibility that some of those potential customers may be rogue nations, e.g. Venezuela, Libya and Iran. Production Su-35 Top view diagram
25 posted on 08/24/2009 3:35:35 PM PDT by myknowledge (F-22 Raptor: World's Largest Distributor of Sukhoi parts!)
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To: ASOC
Recipe for disaster. Correct, and why not prepare Raptor pilots for A2A combat against future Gen 5 adversaries (such as PAK FA and J-XX) simply by replacing the 65th Aggressor Squadron's F-15s with F-22s, painted in the same Russian VVS style liveries and piloted by the same experienced instructors? The paint scheme of the F-22 on the center row would be ideal for a 65th AGRS Raptor. What do you think?
26 posted on 08/24/2009 3:50:09 PM PDT by myknowledge (F-22 Raptor: World's Largest Distributor of Sukhoi parts!)
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To: myknowledge
Love the paint jobs!

How about we buy some F-15S or F-16XL (Cranked Arrow) engine-ed with a P&W F119-100?
Known good tech, maintenance infrastructure in place and you don't spend all day fixing peeling paint.....better than flying "nothing".

27 posted on 08/24/2009 10:03:44 PM PDT by ASOC (Cave quid dicis, quando, et cui)
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To: ASOC
Souping up an Eagle or Viper with the Raptor's F119 turbofan would not be feasible. It's better to maintain air dominance with the F-22. It's better than anything else.
28 posted on 08/26/2009 6:43:26 PM PDT by myknowledge (F-22 Raptor: World's Largest Distributor of Sukhoi parts!)
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To: Thermalseeker

But killing the Su-35 with a Slammer is hard, because it has an OLS-35 (its IRST), which can easily detect the Slammer’s missile plume and the pilot can either pull up or dive down to dodge the AMRAAM (since it cannot pull terminal G) while deploying a burst of chaff.

The Su-35 pilot would keep doing this until he reaches the merge and engages in a WVR dogfight, where it would excel.


29 posted on 08/30/2009 6:22:39 PM PDT by myknowledge (F-22 Raptor: World's Largest Distributor of Sukhoi parts!)
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To: ASOC
Yea the problem is the next big war in not going to last long enough for that math to work in our favor

In WW2 Japans Yamato said he would run wild for the first six months then he promised nothing... he did just that.

The next big war will not be that long for us to make a come back ...

And if we did go that long... add in we now see we can not go the long haul due to the left undermining the effort...

We got problems

30 posted on 09/11/2009 8:14:56 PM PDT by tophat9000 (Obama plans to fix America like he fixed his dog)
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To: PIF
Sukhoi/KnAAPO Su-35BM/Su-35-1/Su-35S Flanker Su-35 PDF Brochure An RAAF F-22 Raptor.
31 posted on 09/11/2009 9:19:35 PM PDT by myknowledge (F-22 Raptor: World's Largest Distributor of Sukhoi parts!)
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