Posted on 09/02/2009 2:06:22 PM PDT by Kartographer
Hurricane Jimena has made landfall on Mexico's Baja California peninsula with winds of about 85 mph (140 kph).
The storm has been tearing off roofs, knocking down power poles and bringing welcome rainfall to the drought-stricken state Wednesday.
(Excerpt) Read more at news.yahoo.com ...
Hope some of that rain makes it to LA.
Second that!
Bush’s fault...global warming dontcha know?
Looks like it is pretty much gone after the next 24 hrs or so.
http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/ep200913.disc.html#a_topad
Statement as of 2:00 PM PDT on September 02, 2009
the center of Jimena has made landfall on the West Coast of the Baja
California peninsula with an estimated intensity of 75-80 kt. The
forecast track keeps the center inland for the next 24-30 hr before
emerging over the Pacific west of Baja California. The Pacific
waters along the track are cold...and the forecast vertical wind
shear increases significantly after 24 hr. Thus...the cyclone
should continue to weaken...becoming a tropical storm later
tonight...a tropical depression in 36-48 hr...and a remnant low by
72 hr. There is a chance the center could briefly emerge over the
Gulf of California tonight...but if this happens it will likely not
stay there long enough to affect the intensity of Jimena.
The initial motion is 350/11. All guidance agrees that Jimena
should decelerate and turn northwestward during the next 24 hr or
so as high pressure builds to the north of the cyclone. The bulk
of the track guidance subsequently moves Jimena slowly westward
into the Pacific...a motion that should continue until the system
dissipates. The new forecast track is an update of the previous
forecast...nudged a little northward due to the initial position
and motion.
Interests in the Hurricane Warning area are advised that strong
winds will precede the arrival of the center by several hours...so
preparations need to be completed very soon. Remember not to focus
on the exact forecast track since dangerous impacts extend some
distance from the center.
Forecast positions and Max winds
initial 02/2100z 26.4n 112.3w 75 kt
12hr VT 03/0600z 27.4n 112.7w 60 kt...inland
24hr VT 03/1800z 28.1n 113.3w 45 kt...inland
36hr VT 04/0600z 28.2n 114.2w 35 kt...over water
48hr VT 04/1800z 28.1n 114.7w 30 kt
72hr VT 05/1800z 28.0n 115.5w 25 kt...remnant low
96hr VT 06/1800z 28.0n 116.5w 20 kt...remnant low
120hr VT 07/1800z...dissipated
$$
forecaster Beven
The sea surface temps are too cold that far north.
me too
There are some thunderstorms out in the mountain area but widely scattered. One was by Yucaipa and maybe it will help with that fire. Yes we can sure use the rain.
“If it gets back out over the Pacific it could strengthen.”
“The sea surface temps are too cold that far north.”
Yes but it might help it maintain some strength by being over the water versus land as it moves Northwest. We can only hope.
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