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Cal Lutheran forecast suggests state debt default likely
SacBee: Capitol Alert ^ | 12/16/9 | Dan Walters

Posted on 12/16/2009 8:02:49 AM PST by SmithL

California faces at least another year of recession, and the state budget is so far upside down that it's now "more likely to default than not," on some of its debt, a new economic forecast from California Lutheran University's economists declares.

The director of Cal Lutheran's new Center for Economic Research and Forecasting, Bill Watkins, cites the state's budget problems, its high regulatory and operating costs and its deficit infrastructure as impediments to rapid recovery.

(Excerpt) Read more at sacbee.com ...


TOPICS: Front Page News; Government; Politics/Elections; US: California
KEYWORDS: debt; default; goldenstate; yourtaxdollarsatwork
Data from the Cal Lutheran center can be found here.
1 posted on 12/16/2009 8:02:49 AM PST by SmithL
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To: NormsRevenge; calcowgirl

Running out of free money in the Golden State Ping.


2 posted on 12/16/2009 8:04:08 AM PST by SmithL (SARCHASM: The gulf between the maker of sarcastic wit and the person who just doesn't get it.)
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To: SmithL

No worries - 0 will bail CA and NY out.


3 posted on 12/16/2009 8:05:13 AM PST by tgusa (Gun control: deep breath, sight alignment, squeeze the trigger ....)
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To: SmithL
Agreed. The Democrats refuse to make the deep budget cuts necessary to allow the state to borrow more cash to get through another year. An Argentine-style economic collapse in the nation's largest state wouldn't be out of the question. Its just a matter of time before California defaults.

"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find only things evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelogus

4 posted on 12/16/2009 8:06:09 AM PST by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: SmithL

California represents 12 percent of America’s population but it has 32 percent of its welfare population. The best thing they could do is dump welfare people onto the streets and get their share back to 12 percent. You can be sure the most of those welfare cases are illegal immigrants. That’s why California has so many illegals. It pays them to come there. This is a case where business interests and crazy liberals desire for a socialist government work hand in glove. It’s a disgrace.


5 posted on 12/16/2009 8:07:35 AM PST by WashingtonSource
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To: SmithL
Despite the state's chronic fiscal woes and concerns about its mounting debt load, its top economic officials have consistently told investors and the public that the state is in no danger of defaulting on its bond payments, which by law have a high priority claim on the state's revenue streams.

Tell that to the suckers who held Chrysler and GM senior debt. When push comes to shove the public unions with some help from Zero will cut to the front of the line.

6 posted on 12/16/2009 8:10:41 AM PST by C19fan
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To: WashingtonSource

Even Jerry Brown admitted that it is the illegals that are the main cause of the deficit in CA. When asked “Then why don’t you do something about it?” He gave the usual liberal response of “Why would we want to do that?”


7 posted on 12/16/2009 8:12:01 AM PST by whitedog57
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To: WashingtonSource

Even Jerry Brown admitted that it is the illegals that are the main cause of the deficit in CA. When asked “Then why don’t you do something about it?” He gave the usual liberal response of “Why would we want to do that?”


8 posted on 12/16/2009 8:12:04 AM PST by whitedog57
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To: tgusa

>No worries - 0 will bail CA and NY out.

But wouldn’t that, ultimately, be a violation of the “No Taxation w/o Representation” principle?


9 posted on 12/16/2009 8:12:25 AM PST by OneWingedShark (Q: Why am I here? A: To do Justly, to love mercy, and to walk humbly with my God.)
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To: WashingtonSource

NOOOOO........if california dumps welfare, they will then migrate to the peoples democatik republik of michiganstan...we still have lifetime welfare benefits here ( one of only 2 states to do this ) ...


10 posted on 12/16/2009 8:19:58 AM PST by joe fonebone (I am racist, hear me roar....I don't give a crap anymore....)
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To: whitedog57

And our VP said only two weeks ago, “We may be wrong. But we believe in what we’re doing.”


11 posted on 12/16/2009 8:21:53 AM PST by Night Hides Not (If Dick Cheney = Darth Vader, then Joe Biden = Dark Helmet)
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To: SmithL

they seem to be pinning all of their hopes on getting a Washington bailout, but those hopes are fading as Obama’s poll numbers continue to plummet


12 posted on 12/16/2009 8:42:37 AM PST by Buckeye McFrog
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To: SmithL

I’ll believe it when I hear it from the Cal Baptists.


13 posted on 12/16/2009 8:47:58 AM PST by Phillipian
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To: Phillipian

If Cali has to be taken over by the feds and becomes a federal district, it may work out to our advantage. They would lose their congressional delagation and most of the electoral votes.


14 posted on 12/16/2009 9:06:22 AM PST by wolfman23601
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To: SmithL

Job growth will lag the economy recovery..

Yeah right.

What recovery?

as long as Gubamint IS the largest borrower and employer, what can be expected to change?


15 posted on 12/16/2009 10:13:43 AM PST by NormsRevenge (Semper Fi ... Godspeed .. Monthly Donor Onboard .. May yur bandwidth exceed your girth)
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To: SmithL
I don't think there'll be a California secessionist movement anytime soon...
16 posted on 12/16/2009 10:29:57 AM PST by danielmryan
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To: Buckeye McFrog

I believe California has 53 Congressional districts. That leaves them about 170 votes shy of Congressional approval for a bailout. And they are 49 votes short in the Senate. I think it would be political suicide for any member of Congress to vote for a bailout from California. Conservatives on principle, liberals in the knowledge that their constituents would say “where’s mines?”


17 posted on 12/16/2009 10:30:09 AM PST by henkster (0bamanomics: The "Final Solution" to America's "Prosperity Question.")
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