[mamelukesabre]

Wasnt’ he at minus 20 already once?

[Uncle Miltie]

[Cyber Ninja]

How can it be that good?....

[TruthHound]

3 more years of this sh!t. Sucks to be us.

[bigbob]

Obviously an isolated incident, no trend here ;-)

[GeorgeSaden]

I’ve heard some people make light of the approval index since it only considers strong feelings of approval/disapproval and not overall approval.

But strong feelings are EXACTLY what counts come election time. In elections, the demoralized tend to lose to the energized.

Mere approval isn’t enough to get people to the polls.

If the index remains strongly negative, you can bet the Democrats lose big in 2010.

The big election is 2012, of course. There are so many Dem Senate seats up for grabs.

[Oldeconomybuyer]

Rassumssen polls are RACIST! /rahm emanuel

[InterceptPoint]

Here is my 60 day moving average version. It only covers through 23 December 2009 but there hasn't been that much polling by Rasmussen since that date so it is still fairly current. Averaging over 60 days really shows the long term trend in the Rasmussen Approval Index and it doesn't look good for Obama.

The 60 day average stands at about -12 while his day to day numbers are in the -14 to -20 range indicating that the downward trend will continue. That would always be indicated if the day to day numbers are more negative than the 60 day average. If he starts polling better than the 60 day average then he will be in an upswing. If you look at the plot carefully you will see that there are periods of pretty constant ratings and periods of falling ratings and virtually no periods of improvement in Obama's rating. I find that somewhat surprising but, of course, a good thing.

...

[SandRat]

Going down by the bow faster than the H.M.S. Titanic

[ThePatriotsFlag]

When you look at the three factors driving the numbers, it becomes clear that it will "continue" to "continue." Also the "differential" is important at 15-20% but look at the other numbers. The "gap" Rasmussen reports may never get much over 20 ... but when you look at the Total Approve and see that continuing to tumble ... that's the "real" number. He won on "HOPE" because he encouraged people to project "anything they hoped for" on his "blank screen" ... that will get you elected, but when you see the final image appearing on the screen and it is not what you "hoped" for (be you lib, mod or consv) you are DISAPPOINTED ... and then numbers will go down. Hope and Change is a great strategy for "winning" ... but it is also the the key to losing decisively in the "end game."

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The Patriot's Flag - Blank Screen Politics

[Jimmy Valentine]

By November, 2010 he will be a negative 30%, no question.

If we get hit with a serious terror attack it will increase to over 60%

[fwdude]

All I can say is: Happy New Year!