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No Exit Polls [in Massachusetts]
National Review ^

Posted on 01/19/2010 10:30:21 AM PST by Chet 99

No Exit Polls [Robert Costa]

John Fund of WSJ.com explains:

The Massachusetts Senate race was a complete snoozer until January 5, when pollster Scott Rasmussen released a survey showing Republican Scott Brown trailing Democrat Martha Coakley by only nine points. That surprised many, but still wasn't a true wake-up call that the race would be a barnburner. As late as January 10, the Boston Globe carried a headline trumpeting a poll showing Ms. Coakley with a 15-point lead. Mr. Brown's surge was so sudden that many of the usual accoutrements of closely-contested elections are missing in the Bay State.

One is exit polls. There will be none tonight from Massachusetts, disappointing journalists and political scientists alike. As Mike Allen of Politico.com reports, the consortium of news outlets that normally organizes such surveys didn't bother when the race was expected to be a blowout and now "wasn't confident a reliable system could be built so fast."

Another casualty of the expectation that the race would be a cakewalk for the Democrat will be an absence of absentee ballot fraud, the preferred method of putting an illegal thumb on the scale in a close race. Applications for absentee ballots had to be submitted by last Friday, providing little opportunity for those with ill intent to organize such an effort once they realized the race had tightened up . . . Both parties have concerns about vote fraud or intimidation in today's election. Hundreds of lawyers and observers have been deployed at key polling places. But it's likely to be a relatively quiet election from a litigation angle unless the final margin is razor-thin. The Brown surge came so suddenly there was no time to plan anything devious beyond the usual negative commercials — which in this race ran everywhere, including, for the first time in anyone's memory, The Weather Channel.


TOPICS: Breaking News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Massachusetts
KEYWORDS: 2010election; exitpolls; howtostealanelection; pravdamedia
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1 posted on 01/19/2010 10:30:22 AM PST by Chet 99
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To: All

Thought I’d post this since people keep posting supposed exit poll results from dubious sources.


2 posted on 01/19/2010 10:30:59 AM PST by Chet 99
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To: Chet 99
negative commercials — which in this race ran everywhere, including, for the first time in anyone's memory, The Weather Channel.

Manipulating the weather...typical Democraps!

3 posted on 01/19/2010 10:33:31 AM PST by Nonstatist
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To: Chet 99

I don’t see how anyone could post a valid exit poll this early in the day.

Even so, those polls have been known to be wrong. I wouldn’t pay a whole lot of attention to them.


4 posted on 01/19/2010 10:33:57 AM PST by fatnotlazy
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To: Chet 99

Dem opps are really feeling positive on the Cable channels today. Hope they are trying to put on a good face. Go Brown!


5 posted on 01/19/2010 10:34:24 AM PST by GoCards ("We eat therefore we hunt...")
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To: Chet 99

Are these not real?

http://www.charlotteconservative.com/index.php/2010/01/brown-coakley-exit-polls/


6 posted on 01/19/2010 10:34:40 AM PST by tatown (Obama is Kenyan for "turd")
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To: Chet 99

Reporting the exit polls will make it harder for them to cheat.


7 posted on 01/19/2010 10:36:04 AM PST by Tzimisce (No thanks. We have enough government already. - The Tick)
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To: Tzimisce

Remember the Bush/Kerry exit polls....Kerry was ready to pick out the curtains for the Oval Office.


8 posted on 01/19/2010 10:36:51 AM PST by Blue Turtle
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To: tatown
Early exit polls in the Gardner, Fitchburg and Peabody areas show Brown leading by 14, 17, and 15% points

My best guess is that this guy is confused. These numbers arent from an exit poll but from the bellwether polls released yesterday by Suffolk University.

Bellwether poll accuracy rate is 96%

9 posted on 01/19/2010 10:36:59 AM PST by freespirited (People talk about "too big to fail." Our government is too big to succeed. --Chris Chocola)
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To: tatown

Those numbers for the three “Bellweather Areas” of Massachusetts were reported yesterday. I do not believe those are exit polls from today.


10 posted on 01/19/2010 10:37:13 AM PST by Federalist Patriot
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To: freespirited

Yeah...and I was thinking: “Wow Suffolk was right on the money!”. LOL


11 posted on 01/19/2010 10:38:28 AM PST by tatown (Obama is Kenyan for "turd")
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To: tatown

Those are bogus. They’re the results of last minute polling from what are considered bellweather districts. The numbers are correct but they’re from a pre-election poll...not today’s exit polls.


12 posted on 01/19/2010 10:39:50 AM PST by pgkdan ( I miss Ronald Reagan!)
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To: Chet 99

I’m glad. Exit polls showing a big lead for Brown could suppress people voting later in the day for him. Gotta get out the vote like like we’re down a point.


13 posted on 01/19/2010 10:40:06 AM PST by Lou Budvis (She never bankrupted Alaska or bowed to royalty.)
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To: Chet 99

Have we had any of the very predictable complaints of not enough ballots and polls closed in minority neighborhoods yet? Got to set up the civil rights lawsuit ASAP don’t you know.


14 posted on 01/19/2010 10:41:16 AM PST by ElkGroveDan (Get rid of the dirty moderates. Get rid of them,)
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To: Blue Turtle
And “He” would be the one picking out curtains for sure! While Taaaresssa counted her 72 rum soaked raisins
15 posted on 01/19/2010 10:41:55 AM PST by Red_Devil 232 (VietVet - USMC All Ready On The Right? All Ready On The Left? All Ready On The Firing Line!)
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To: Timesink; martin_fierro; reformed_democrat; Loyalist; =Intervention=; PianoMan; GOPJ; ...
One is exit polls. There will be none tonight from Massachusetts, disappointing journalists and political scientists alike. As Mike Allen of Politico.com reports, the consortium of news outlets that normally organizes such surveys didn't bother when the race was expected to be a blowout and now "wasn't confident a reliable system could be built so fast."

The Pravda Media says "nothing to see here, move along".

16 posted on 01/19/2010 10:42:01 AM PST by a fool in paradise (Al Gore was more concerned with the evil influence of heavy metal than that of radical Imam.)
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To: GoCards

And can we also dispense with people feeling the need to post every smirk, frown, sneeze from some “operative” as indications of anything.

These people have no honest clue, and they are paid to represent their people.

This is the time of day bored people are way too anxious to find something to add.


17 posted on 01/19/2010 10:42:37 AM PST by VanDeKoik (Iran doesnt have a 2nd admendment. Ya see how that turned out?)
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To: ElkGroveDan

I’m waiting for accusations of potbellied tobacco chewing sheriffs with big dogs and shotguns at all the minority heavy precincts.


18 posted on 01/19/2010 10:52:57 AM PST by ChildOfThe60s (If you can remember the 60s, you weren't really there.)
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To: Chet 99

I hope Brown pulls it off, but I doubt we will be able to count on catching the dems with their pants down next time.

They’ll be ready. We had better be ready too!


19 posted on 01/19/2010 10:53:47 AM PST by Wrightclick (I refuse to suffer the socialist mediocrity of a Pringles chip.)
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To: a fool in paradise

I’m sitting here reading the post when Rush starts to read the same thing over the air. Kind of funny.....


20 posted on 01/19/2010 10:54:39 AM PST by Rational Thought
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