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Vast economic discontent marked the mood of Tuesday's off-year voters, portending potential trouble for incumbents generally and Democrats in particular in 2010. But in Virginia, where polls closed at 7 p.m., Creigh Deeds' main problem looks to have been Creigh Deeds. The Democratic gubernatorial nominee fell short on several measures in connecting with Virginia voters: They divided evenly in preliminary exit poll results on whether Deeds "shares your values" – 48 percent yes, 49 percent no. His Republican opponent, Bob McDonnell, scored better; 60 percent said he shares their values. Similarly, just 42 percent in Virginia saw Deeds as "about...

Pajamas Media is reporting the first exit poll data out of New Jersey and Virginia: First exit polls from Virginia: McDonnell 54.5, Deeds 45. And from New Jersey: Corzine 47, Christie: 47 with third-party candidate Daggett "barely registering."If Daggett is "barely registering, it should help Chris Christie.

<p>TRENTON, N.J. (AP) - The New Jersey Supreme Court has reinstated a ban on exit polls, surveys taken of people as they leave their voting places.</p> <p>It also has kept in place a ban on distributing leaflets or other materials within 100 feet of polling places. It said Wednesday prohibiting such activities will ensure voters feel no obstructions to casting their ballots.</p>

As soon as we’ve caught our breath regarding Kadima’s hairline win (according to exit polls only), the real story that emerges is the utter gutting of the Israeli Left, and the return of Likud. Of the four major parties today, three of them are Likud and its spin-offs: Kadima was founded by Ariel Sharon and is mostly made up of former Likudniks; Yisrael Beitenu’s chairman cut his teeth as the head of the Likud’s central committee.

Washington, DC -- Sarah Palin become an overnight rock star on the conservative side of the political spectrum and motivated pro-life voters who were anemic in their support of John McCain. Hours after McCain's election loss, the Alaska governor demurred on her own potential presidential bid in 2012.

Someone on Fox News (Jim Engle, I think) was just on saying that they are seeing a large amount of "WPE" (Within Precinct Error) in the exit polling, meaning that the actual results reported by the precincts are much lower for Obama than the results that the exit pollsters gathered. In Pennsylvania, I think he said that this number was 10.4%, meaning that Obama was exit polling 10.4% better than the actual results being reported. In Florida, they reported that it was a difference of 3.4 or 3.9%. Also significant in NC, VA, and other places.

Gender (2,369 Respondents) Obama McCain Male (46%) 52% 46% Female (54%) 56% 44% Age, four categories (2,371 Respondents) Obama McCain 18-29 (21%) 62% 37% 30-44 (30%) 54% 45% 45-64 (38%) 53% 46% 65+ (11%) 46% 53% To which age group do you belong? (2,371 Respondents) Obama McCain 18-24 (11%) 65% 33% 25-29 (10%) 59% 41% 30-39 (19%) 55% 44% 40-49 (23%) 51% 48% 50-64 (26%) 54% 45% 65 or over (11%) 46% 53% Race (2,337 Respondents) Obama McCain White (69%) 41% 58% Black (21%) 92% 8% Hispanic/Latino (5%) 67% 32% Asian (3%) — — Other (2%) — —

***BREAKING NEWS*** According to our sources embedded deep in their campaigns, the moles have determined that .......... Yes! ALGORE has won it yet again!!!!! It was grotesqly and unfairly stolen from him 8 long years ago and now he gets his revenge.

LETS FIGHT BACK !!!! Email this link to DRUDGE

I think we can assume that the Obama blowout, at least in these states if, if, if these polls are accurate, ain’t gonna happen.

BEGIN TRANSCRIPT RUSH: Now, ladies and gentlemen, I want to tell you what to look for. I'll tell you what I'm looking for today. In the first place I'm getting all kinds of reports from all over the country about turnout, and in some places it's low. For example, the Upper West Side of Manhattan, no lines whatsoever, which is unusual. My spy for the Upper West Side of Manhattan, I mean that's Moscow, folks, Moscow on the Hudson, the Upper West Side of Manhattan, and you would figure there would be lines out the wazoo up there to vote...

Are the Exit Pollsters Up To Old Tricks?I noticed this account of an exit pollster in Stafford, Virginia: 08:32 – AP doing exit polling in Stafford. Talking 4 to 1 to minorities over whites at a Republican precinct (Falmouth). Expect it to be skewed. Don’t trust the exit polls as they start to trickle out. Only an anecdote, but not promising. Are the exit pollsters aiming for egg on their faces two presidential races in a row? 11/04 04:02 PM

I have been told several times that i look like Sarah Palin when I wear my glasses and put my hair up. (I take that as a huge compliment) This morning when I went to go vote in Madison, Wisconsin, I wore a red shirt, my glasses, and put my hair up in my silent support of the McCain/Palin ticket. The exit pollers were at the door trying to talk to as many people as they could, with the exception that they noticably avoided me as I left after voting. I thought this was an interesting show of just how...

Traveling recently through North Virginia, it was clear that the area is no where near as pro-Obama as the media would have you believe. It reminded me of the CNN reporter in North Carolina who just days before had said on air that while the polls gave Obama an edge in that state, John McCain seemed to have a clear advantage on the ground. 80% OF THOSE ASKED TO BE POLLED REFUSE TO RESPOND EXIT POLLS WILL HAVE THIS EFFECT ON AN EVEN WORSE LEVEL IN THE END WE’LL WIN – EVERYTHING LOOKS THAT WAY ON THE GROUND

As we have seen in previous election cycles, the exit poll results do leak early and that ends up influencing the coverage of the race before even the first state polls close at 6:00 PM Eastern. However, we want to remind the campaign that the media’s own post-election study of the exit polls in 2004 showed that the exit polls overstate the Democratic candidate’s support. Therefore, we would discourage a rush to judgment based on the exit polls and wait until there has been a representative sampling of actual tabulated results from a variety of counties and precincts in a...

Drudge headline on an internal memo from Republicans on the exit polls.

Steve Nathan, the pollster/consultant in Nevada who's compiling a poll of that state's early voters, contacted me with his final sample size: a whopping 16,749 early voters. To refresh your memory, he had Obama ahead, 51.63 percent to 45.51 percent, with 2.87 percent going to other candidates. The one wrinkle is that Nathan doesn't ask respondents for their party ID. Obviously, a 6 percent lead in a heavily-Republican or even sample is good news, but a 6 percent lead in a heavily-Democratic sample might be reason for Team Obama to sweat. To get a sense of whether Obama's margin among...

Exit polls have been a source of controversy in the past four elections. Will there be problems again on Tuesday? A little background: Exit polls got their start 40 years ago in the 1967 Kentucky gubernatorial contest. Then, the late Warren Mitofsky of CBS (nyse: CBS - news - people ) News conducted the poll. Edison Media Research and Mitofsky International will conduct this year's poll for the National Election Pool, a consortium of the five major networks (ABC, CBS, NBC, FOX and CNN) and the Associated Press. About 3,000 people will be involved in the 50-state effort, and more...

Obviously, it's tough to measure the attitudes of those who refuse to talk to pollsters, but this question in Fox News' latest survey confirms a long-held suspicion: 40. Every election, the television networks conduct exit polls of people as they leave their polling places on Election Day. If you were asked to participate, how likely is it you would be willing to spend 10 minutes filling out a questionnaire? Obama voterswho responded very likely/somewhat likely: 77 percent. McCain voters who responded very likely/somewhat likely: 64 percent. Obama voters who responded not very likely/not at all likely: 20 percent. McCain voters...

WASHINGTON, DC: On presidential election day, November 4, all eyes will be on what exit polls say voters did, and analysts fear they could give a rosier view of support for Democrat Barack Obama than reality. The combination of the exclusion of early voting, and the greater tendency of young voters--more often Obama supporters--to take part in the surveys, could skew the results of the exit polls, which, taken just as voters leave polling booths, are the closely-watched first indicators of how the election is going. In a National Journal article in March, Mark Blumenthal of pollster.com stressed that overestimation...

Media outlets are preparing for the possibility that their Election Day surveys could be skewed because of overstated support for Barack Obama, largely because of the enthusiasm of his supporters. While exit polling is a notoriously inexact science—early exit poll results suggested John Kerry would be elected president in 2004—the introduction of several new variables, ranging from the zeal of Obama’s supporters to his racial background to widespread early voting, is causing concerns among those who charged with conducting the surveys and the networks that will be reporting them. “It’s in some ways the flip side of non-cooperation,” said one...

The best way to avoid shock and demoralization from a repeat of the 2004 exit poll nightmare is to expect it again this year and ignore it. Remember that pleasant afternoon on Election Day 2004 when the exit polls were leaked showing a Kerry blowout in the making? Politico. More recently, in 2004, exit poll data that began circulating early in the afternoon led to short-lived Democratic elation and deep Republican anxiety. By evening, some of President George W. Bush’s key strategists were frantic, emailing reporters at polling organizations to better understand the gap between what they were finding on...

NEW YORK - Barack Obama's tendency through the Democratic primaries to perform better in exit polls than he actually does at the ballot box has some media organizations nervous heading into Election Night. Television networks want to avoid having their performance become an issue for the third straight presidential election. Their political experts hope that experience gained during the primaries will help things run smoothly Nov. 4. ABC, CBS, NBC, CNN, Fox News Channel and The Associated Press pool resources to conduct exit polls in select precincts, hoping to glean information about why people vote the way they do and...

Polling place surveys frequently overstated Obama vote during primaries NEW YORK - Barack Obama’s tendency through the Democratic primaries to perform better in exit polls than he actually does at the ballot box has some media organizations nervous heading into Election Night. Television networks want to avoid having their performance become an issue for the third straight presidential election. Their political experts hope that experience gained during the primaries will help things run smoothly Nov. 4.

Polls have closed in Pennsylvania where a high turnout of voters is expected to weigh in on a gruelling primary battle between Sens. Barack Obama, D-Ill., and Hillary Clinton, D-N.Y. At this point, ABC News does not have enough information to project a winner in the Pennsylvania Democratic primary.

Though rarely mentioned on the campaign trail, race and gender weighed heavily on the minds of some voters in the Democratic presidential primary.The sharp divide among blacks and whites and women and men showed that it wasn't just the economy and the Iraq war that mattered to voters on Tuesday. Hillary Rodham Clinton won Ohio's primary, as well as the voting in Texas and Rhode Island.When asked how much race influenced their vote, 20 percent of Ohio voters said it was an important issue and three in five voted for Clinton, according to exit polls for The Associated Press and...

WASHINGTON (ABP) -- About the only thing the Feb. 5 "Super Tuesday" primaries made clear is that religious voters are as conflicted as the general electorate over who the next president should be. By the afternoon of Feb. 6, with results in from almost all of the states that held Republican and Democratic contests on the largest primary day in American history, neither party had a candidate with a prohibitive lead in delegates. Moreover, according to exit-poll data, no GOP candidate had a clear advantage among self-described evangelical voters, and no Democrat had a clear advantage among those who attend...

California 21 (all of Tulare County and the eastern half of Fresno County) Mitt Romney, 18,477 (36.1) John McCain, 18,261 (35.7) California 49 (much of Northern San Diego County and southwestern Riverside County) Mitt Romney, 24,264 (38.8) John McCain, 23,608 (37.7) California 52 (parts of Imperial and San Diego counties) Mitt Romney, 30,034 (40.3) John McCain, 27,844 (37.4) District 25: Romney down 1.9% (91% reporting) District 26: Romney down 7.4% (83.8% reporting) District 41: Romney down 5.7% (76.5% reporting) District 42: Romney down 0.2% (97.6% reporting) District 43: Romney down 11.2% (68.4% reporting) If things stay this way, the tally...

Mitt Romney 5,032 44% Mike Huckabee 2,492 22% Ron Paul 1,896 17% John McCain 1,767 16% Uncommitted 187 2

Fox News projects Hillary Clinton and John McCain the winners in California primaries.

Barack Obama has won in Alaska, according to Fox News.

Fox News calls Missouri for Barack Obama, contradicting AP's projection, which earlier gave the bellwether state to Clinton.

Looks like McCain is up about 2-3%. He leads among men, 41-35. Romney leads among women, 38-34. Here's how stupid Californians are: Giuliani is getting about 5%. This is NOT a winner-take-all state. Rather, it's like 53 separate elections, one in each congressional district. What's outrageous is that some districts have 20 times more Republicans than others. My fear is that McCain will win these. Either way, the battle will last for months to come.

Fox News projects John McCain the winner in Missouri.

CNN projects Mitt Romney the winner in Colorado.

Hillary Clinton has won Arizona, projects Fox News.

CNN projects Mitt Romney the winner in Minnesota.

Fox News projects Barack Obama the winner of the Idaho Democrat caucuses.

Barack Obama has won Colorada, predicts Fox News.

An invitation to post comments, polls, election calls, official results and other relevant commentary.

Mitt Romney wins in Montana, predicts Fox News

Hillary Clinton has won the bellwether state of Missouri, according to the AP.

AP and Fox News project Mike Huckabee has won Georgia; CNN gives Alabama to Huckabee

Fox News projects John McCain the winner in Arizona and Mike Huckabee the winner in Tennessee.

Mitt Romney has won the GOP caucuses in North Dakota, according to Fox News.

Barack Obama wins in Minnesota, according to Fox News.

Barack Obama has won the Connecticut Democrat primary, says Fox News.

Fox News predicts Barack Obama wins the North Dakota Democratic caucuses.

Fox News says Mitt Romney and Barack Obama win in Utah.

Fox News projects McCain the winner in Oklahoma.