Keyword: exitpolls

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  • Exit Poll Projects Mixed Voter Message in Sweden Election

    09/09/2018 12:56:11 PM PDT · by Texas Fossil · 62 replies
    U.S. News and World Report ^ | 9-9-18 | By PIETRO DECRISTOFARO and JAN OLSEN, Associated Press
    Exit poll projects center-left party will win Swedish election, far-right party with white supremacist roots coming in second. STOCKHOLM (AP) — An exit poll indicated that Sweden's first general election since the Scandinavian country accepted a significant number of asylum-seekers was likely to have the center-left party governing now as its winner, but an anti-immigrant party with white supremacist roots placing second in balloting Sunday. Public broadcaster SVT said immediately after polls closed that its exit poll indicated the ruling Social Democrats would remain Sweden's largest party, but making its worst-ever showing with 26.2 percent of the vote. The exit...
  • The Hidden Group that Won the Election for Trump: Exit Poll Analysis from Edison Research

    11/28/2016 10:36:32 PM PST · by Brad from Tennessee · 48 replies
    Edison Research ^ | November 15, 2016 | By Larry Rosin
    "I don’t think there’s ever been two more unlikeable candidates,’ said Michael Che during the Weekend Update sketch on Saturday Night Live this week. “Not one time in this election have I heard anyone say: ‘You know what? I like them both.'” The data from the Exit Polls conducted by Edison Research for the National Election Pool show Mr. Che to be correct – an extremely small portion of the voting public (only 2%) told our exit pollsters they had a favorable view of both. While most voters did have a favorable view of one of the two major candidates...
  • Early exit polls: Voters say they want a ‘strong leader’

    11/08/2016 9:14:43 AM PST · by wfu_deacons · 49 replies
    "More voters this year are looking for a strong leader than in previous presidential elections, according to an early morning exit poll, whose results could shift significantly over the course of Election Day."
  • Unprecedented Election Day Experiment (All day, real time exit polling)

    11/06/2016 1:30:19 AM PST · by 11th_VA · 42 replies
    Slate ^ | 6 Nov 2016 | Josh Voorhees
    This Election Day will be different—regardless of how it ends. This time, for the first time, you won’t have to wait until the polls close to find out what happened while they were open. In partnership with the data startup VoteCastr, Slate will be publishing real-time projections of which candidate is winning at any given moment of the day in seven battleground states, any of which could decide who is the next president of the United States. This, as you may have heard, is controversial. It will break a decadeslong journalistic tradition whereby media outlets obey a self-imposed embargo on...
  • Possible Errors in Exit Polls Suggest More Election Surprises Ahead

    06/14/2016 12:11:06 AM PDT · by Kaslin · 14 replies ^ | January 14, 2016 | Michael Barone
    Are the exit polls, on which just about every elections analyst has relied, wrong? That's a question raised by New York Times Upshot writer Nate Cohn -- a question whose answers have serious implications for how you look at the 2016 general election. Standard analysis is that Democrats have a built-in advantage because the electorate is increasingly non-white. The exit polls say the white percentage of the electorate declined from 77 percent in 2004 to 74 percent in 2008 and 72 percent in 2012. In that year, they said, 13 percent of voters were black, 10 percent Hispanics, 3 percent...
  • Breaking: Promising Exit Polls From PA, MD, CT

    04/26/2016 3:36:32 PM PDT · by BlackFemaleArmyCaptain · 200 replies
    <p>Exit polling from CNN looks promising for Trump. Republican voters feel candidate with most votes should WIN!</p>

    04/19/2016 5:47:29 PM PDT · by Mechanicos · 121 replies
    Drudge Report ^ | 4/19/16 | Drudge Report
  • First Exit Poll Results - Top Of The Hour (CNN)

    03/08/2016 1:39:03 PM PST · by goldstategop · 147 replies
    First exit poll results out at 5:00 PM EST.
  • ANALYSIS: Exit Polls Don't Back Rubio's Claim That New Hampshire Debate Hurt Him

    02/11/2016 12:30:49 PM PST · by SeekAndFind · 17 replies
    ABC News ^ | 02/11/2016 | Gary Langer
    Given continued coverage of Marco Rubio's claim that his poor performance in Saturday's debate caused his fifth-place finish in the New Hampshire Republican primary, we wanted to put some data behind the point --- that the exit poll just doesn't back him up. We've got two ways to look at it, one direct, the other indirect, and neither shows any evidence that the debate harmed Rubio in terms of vote choices. Indirectly: 47 percent of New Hampshire GOP voters said they finally decided on their candidate either on Election Day itself, or in the previous few days. Twelve percent of...
  • Religion and the 2012 New Hampshire Republican Primary

    02/07/2016 6:49:39 AM PST · by justlittleoleme · 3 replies
    PewForum ^ | January 11, 2012
    Interviews conducted as voters left the polls in the 2012 New Hampshire Republican primary show that Mitt Romney – who won the overall vote by a double-digit margin – was the winner among born-again evangelical Christians as well as among non-evangelical voters. Romney’s advantage among evangelicals was smaller than it was in the electorate overall, but his performance among evangelicals in New Hampshire was better than it was among evangelicals in the Iowa GOP caucuses. -snip-In the exit polls, 22% of New Hampshire voters describe themselves as born-again or evangelical Christians.
  • Israel's Election: Exit Polls Show Netanyahu's Likud, Opposition In Tight Race

    03/17/2015 1:48:53 PM PDT · by Star Traveler · 26 replies
    NPR ^ | Tuesday, March 17, 2015 | Krishnadev Calamir, Bill Chappell
    Exit polls released after the close of voting in Israel's national election show that the race is too close to call. Israel's Channel 1 and Channel 10 both said Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's Likud party and Isaac Herzog's Zionist Union secured 27 seats each in the 120-seat Knesset. Channel 2, meanwhile, have Likud 28 seats and the Zionist Union 27. The numbers were published by Haaretz. What that is likely to mean is, as NPR's Emily Harris tells our Newscast unit, Israel's new government won't be immediately known. Emily says: "The new government will need approval from a majority of...
  • TV exit polls show Netanyahu likely to retain premiership

    03/17/2015 1:14:27 PM PDT · by The_Victor · 47 replies
    Times of Israel ^ | 3/17/2015 | Jonathan Beck and Haviv Rettig Gur
    Polling stations opened at 7 a.m. on Tuesday as Israeli citizens headed for the ballots to vote for Israel’s 20th Knesset, bringing a heated campaign season to a close. Polls from the end of last week left options open for a tight race. TV exit polls were published at 10 p.m., as polling stations closed, after which official results began to roll in. The official final results won’t be publicized until Thursday.
  • Breaking Twitter - Early exit polls show GOP wins in KY, AR, CO, IA, KS, GA

    11/04/2014 3:05:49 PM PST · by Perdogg · 1,803 replies
    Early exit polls show GOP wins in KY, AR, CO, IA, KS, GA - if those hold, GOP Senate majority is certain. Watch VA - closer than expected. Early exit polls show GOP wins in KY, AR, CO, IA, KS, GA - if those hold, GOP Senate majority is certain. Watch VA - closer than expected.— Sean Noble (@seannobledc)
  • Exit Polls: Why They So Often Mislead

    11/04/2014 1:07:04 PM PST · by Oldeconomybuyer · 9 replies
    New York Times ^ | November 3, 2014 | by Nate Cohn
    Did you think John Kerry was poised to win the presidency? That Scott Walker was close to losing the 2012 governor’s recall election in Wisconsin? Do you believe that the black share of the electorate in North Carolina dropped to 23 percent in 2012, from 26 percent in 2004? If you said “yes” to any of those things, you probably have too much faith in exit polls. Don’t get me wrong: Exit polls are an exciting piece of Election Day information. They’re just not perfect. The problem with them is that most analysts and readers treat them as if they’re...
  • How the Faithful Voted: 2012 Preliminary Analysis [Evang. up; other Prot. + white Catholics down]

    11/08/2012 2:10:53 PM PST · by Colofornian · 31 replies
    Pew Forum ^ | Nov. 7, 2012
    In his re-election victory, Democrat Barack Obama narrowly defeated Republican Mitt Romney in the national popular vote (50% to 48%)1. Obama’s margin of victory was much smaller than in 2008 when he defeated John McCain by a 53% to 46% margin, and he lost ground among white evangelical Protestants and white Catholics. But the basic religious contours of the 2012 electorate resemble recent elections – traditionally Republican groups such as white evangelicals and weekly churchgoers strongly backed Romney, while traditionally Democratic groups such as black Protestants, Hispanic Catholics, Jews and the religiously unaffiliated backed Obama by large margins. Vote Choice...
  • Exit polls: Obama's winning coalition of women and nonwhites

    11/07/2012 6:52:07 AM PST · by KeyLargo · 185 replies
    WLS AM ^ | Nov 7, 2012
    NEW YORK (WLS) - A coalition of women and nonwhites helped re-elect President Obama to a second term Tuesday night. Obama has always performed better with women than with men, and with nonwhites than with whites. But on Tuesday night, those numbers were so much in his favor that they built Obama a powerful firewall against a dropoff in support from white men and independent voters. Nonwhite voters turned out to vote in higher numbers than ever. They made up 21 percent of all voters. In 1996, they were just 10 percent. That new bloc was evident in Florida, the...
  • Majority of voters see America on wrong track

    11/06/2012 4:54:13 PM PST · by Oldeconomybuyer · 2 replies
    NBC News ^ | November 6, 2012 | by Tom Curry
    As voters left polling places Tuesday, a majority told exit poll interviewers they felt the country was “seriously off on the wrong track.” But the mood of the electorate was markedly more optimistic than it was four years ago, when a record three out of four voters said the country was on the wrong track. In preliminary results from early voters in the national NBC News exit poll, 52 percent said America was on the wrong track while 46 percent said the nation was"generally going in the right direction."
  • 2012 exit polls to skew heavily Democratic

    11/06/2012 4:45:18 PM PST · by library user · 3 replies
    Examiner ^ | Oct. 31, 2012 | by Conn Carroll
    The media consortium that organizes the national exit poll has decided not to do full exit polls in 19 states, 16 of which are expected to vote for Mitt Romney. At least some exit polling will be done in all 50 states, and the consortium is paying for full samples in 31 states. But 19 states will only get “bare bones” polling “to help predict the outcome of races.” According to the Associated Press not enough polling will be done in these 19 states “to draw narrative conclusions about the vote – what issues mattered most to women voting for...
  • Some CNN exit polls announced

    11/06/2012 3:32:08 PM PST · by Oldeconomybuyer · 42 replies
    The Palm Beach Post ^ | November 6, 2012 | by Tom Peeling
    According to CNN’s first exit polls, nationwide 60 percent of voters see the economy as the most important issue in the election. Only 4 percent thought foreign policy was most important. Nationwide, CNN says, exit polls showed the 51 percent believe Mitt Romney would be best at handling the economy and 47 percent think President Obama would do better. In the battleground state of Virginia, according to CNN exit polls, 49 percent of voters wanted to see the president’s healthcare plan — ObamaCare — repealed, while 46 percent did not want to see it repealed. Also in Virginia, exit polls...
  • Vanity:Doing some raw math off of the Exit's

    11/06/2012 3:29:45 PM PST · by aft_lizard · 8 replies
    varies | 11/06/2012 | me
    Doing the numbers you get from Drudge something is missing. He lists the locked numbers as 190-191, in favor of Romney however that's impossible as fall as I can tell if you use the states listed as toss actually come up with Obama 211-Romney 191..I hazard to guess they are giving Maine 1 to Obama. Now in order for it be the locked number that means both Minnesota and Wisconsin are toss ups as well..or some other combination(Oregon possibly?)and MN 1 goes to Romney..which is actually 190-192 Romney lead.