Posted on 03/24/2010 11:48:18 AM PDT by OldDeckHand
It may be a technical issue. Full repeal won’t be possible till 2012. In the meantime compromises with handfuls of Dems could result in veto-proof revisions to whatever the GOP doesn’t utterly deny funding to.
How many do we need to get in the House? Let’s see. There were 34 Dems who voted against HC. It lost by 4. That totals 38. So we need 20 to take over? Is that right?
We have a stopper in the Senate as long as there are 41 there.
Five? What will that do? Did it matter who was a Senator once Caesar became EMPEROR? We are past talking and voting.
I think it’s going to be more than five seats. I think seven to ten is more likely.
My prediction for R/D split after this fall:
House: GOP 221 DEM 214
Senate: GOP 49 DEM/I 51
That’s a low ball prediction for the House Republican pickup.
SLOWLY??
He’s only been in office 14 months and already over half of the US economy is controlled by the feds. That ain’t slow, my friend.
I’m with ya!
That’s a good moderate guess which should be the midpoint. It maybe much worse for Dems especially in the House as the get back at Pelosi/Reid/Obama sentiment is getting more explosive by the day.
It's a census year, and the local weasels elected in 2010 will be doing the redistricting in 2011.
That's just MY $0.02 worth. 'Tis where I'm working the hardest, along with getting rid of my current Dim (democrat, also dim) CongressCritter.
LLS
‘I think a Dem blood bath is coming, from the local level all the way to DC.’
I agree. Here in Maryland there seems to be a very anti-incumbent sentiment, which is a very good thing for us since we have 7 Ds and 1R in congress right now.
Cummings will probably keep his seat but, I think rest are vunerable for the house races.
Mikulski will probably be reelected.
Ehrlich can beat O’Malley in a rematch.
I hear you but an holding out hope the courts will overturn parts of this and the GOP kills the rest.
If states and districts would vote the way they should (based on presidential elections and state governments) we would not only over turn this but all the other socialist garbage passed over the years.
Well it is up to us to donate time and money.... and pray.
That would mean beating every Democrat running...plus a few more who are not running.
Yep, in the Red states it will be tough for anyone with a D to win a race at any level. This will happen in some purple states as well. Governors and legislatures are going to shift to the GOP. These are the people who will redistrict for next ten years. Also Texas will gain some seats and some blue states up north will lose seats. This should shift the margin back toward the GOP.
It would mean Obama’s reign of terror would be over!
If the GOP doesn’t do stupid stuff,
Republicans should control both Senate and House next January.
We’ll have to wait until January of 2012 to get two-thirds of both Senate and House — if the GOP can get and keep its act together that long.
I’ve had a few dem aquaintences tell me they are frustrated with the arrogance in congress. They are also angry about the HC bill and want to throw them all out.
We’ll see how motivated the dems are to throw them all out in November. I think the state is about 2/3 dem. So we will need them just like we needed them when we elected Ehrlich.
Nate Silver is no Republican partisan and he’s currently projecting +5 for the GOP. Charlie Cook and Stu Rothenberg are both predicting similar gains. I think the final number could wind up between 7 and 10.
North Dakota and Delaware are virtual locks. Hoeven and Castle are both the strongest Republican office holders in their respective states. Arkansas, Indiana, Nevada, Pennsylvania, Colorado, and Illinois are also prime targets and Republicans expect to win at least 3 of those 6 races. The big question is how competitive the races will end up in places like California, New York, Wisconsin, and Washington. Republicans are defending a bunch of their own seats and at least four of those are expected to be close races (Ohio, Missouri, New Hampshire, Kentucky). Open seats in Florida and Kansas are heavily favored for the Republicans. It appears they have dodged a few bullets with a few of their own incumbents, namely Richard Burr and David Vitter. Both were thought to be vulnerable but the political winds have shifted and neither is expected to be seriously challenged at this point.
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